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CG Heaphy betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS503046773639.139.44.077.1HIGH
overallT201933831722.5106.611.737.5HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where CG Heaphy scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    812 runs off 2014 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.3 vs 39.4 overall, average 50.8 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    714 runs off 1710 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.8 vs 39.4 overall, average 51.0 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    358 runs off 1006 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.6 vs 39.4 overall, average 59.7 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    292 runs off 752 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.8 vs 39.4 overall, average 73.0 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    320 runs off 704 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.5 vs 39.4 overall, average 53.3 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    274 runs off 516 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.1 vs 39.4 overall, average 68.5 vs 39.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    556 runs off 1462 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.0 vs 39.4 overall, average 30.9 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    114 runs off 468 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 24.4 vs 39.4 overall, average 11.4 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    102 runs off 328 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 31.1 vs 39.4 overall, average 51.0 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    312 runs off 802 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.9 vs 39.4 overall, average 26.0 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    800 runs off 2206 balls in 50 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.3 vs 39.4 overall, average 28.6 vs 39.1 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    38 runs off 180 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 21.1 vs 39.4 overall, average 9.5 vs 39.1 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS12812201450.840.34.277.7HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS10714171051.041.83.973.5HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS10622154431.140.33.575.4HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS10556146230.938.04.079.3HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS8342100634.234.04.481.5HIGH
CanterburyT2051149738.0117.515.533.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT203959347.5102.28.636.6LOW
OtagoT204657016.392.97.140.0LOW
AucklandT204393313.0118.215.242.4LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS10556138639.740.13.974.9HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS4358100659.735.64.680.9HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS634689034.638.93.878.4HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS229275273.038.84.577.7HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS432070453.345.54.074.7HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS227451668.553.14.365.5HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS611446811.424.41.782.9HIGH
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS216245840.535.43.581.2HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS219635849.054.76.170.9HIGH
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS210232851.031.13.781.7HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS212630663.041.24.677.1HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS2381809.521.11.185.6MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS25215013.034.71.377.3MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS27814039.055.77.175.7MEDIUM
McLean Park, NapierT20514411248.0128.615.228.6LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS2329416.034.02.176.6LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT202505625.089.33.635.7LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT203323610.788.98.341.7LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT201313431.091.25.932.4LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS503046773639.139.44.077.1HIGH
UnknownT201933831722.5106.611.737.5HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS402246553044.940.64.376.3HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS50800220628.636.33.279.1HIGH
powerplayT201414114614.196.613.045.2MEDIUM
middleT20714513372.5109.09.030.8MEDIUM
deathT206523817.3136.815.831.6LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS501716438437.339.13.977.9HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS401018255050.939.94.175.3HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2031280226.038.93.778.3HIGH
PACET201516115523.0103.912.341.9MEDIUM
SPINT20101029020.4113.310.026.7LOW
UNKNOWNT2010757225.0104.212.541.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.