Cricket betting

CR McLachlan betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	40	1920	3396	27.4	56.5	7.5	72.4	HIGH
overall	T20	15	146	159	11.2	91.8	9.4	41.5	MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where CR McLachlan scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
672 runs off 1224 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.9 vs 56.5 overall, average 48.0 vs 27.4 overall.
Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
340 runs off 510 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.7 vs 56.5 overall, average 21.3 vs 27.4 overall.
Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
382 runs off 662 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.7 vs 56.5 overall, average 95.5 vs 27.4 overall.
Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
286 runs off 392 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 73.0 vs 56.5 overall, average 35.8 vs 27.4 overall.
Venue: Fitzherbert Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
174 runs off 384 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.3 vs 56.5 overall, average 43.5 vs 27.4 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
234 runs off 352 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.5 vs 56.5 overall, average 39.0 vs 27.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
128 runs off 302 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.4 vs 56.5 overall, average 10.7 vs 27.4 overall.
Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
54 runs off 122 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.3 vs 56.5 overall, average 6.8 vs 27.4 overall.
Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (T20)LOW sample
73 runs off 89 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 82.0 vs 91.8 overall, average 10.4 vs 11.2 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
28 runs off 72 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.9 vs 56.5 overall, average 7.0 vs 27.4 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	10	672	1224	48.0	54.9	8.0	73.2	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	10	434	850	21.7	51.1	7.3	76.5	HIGH
Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	8	316	586	22.6	53.9	5.8	72.0	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	8	340	510	21.3	66.7	7.1	65.1	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	4	158	226	26.3	69.9	10.6	69.9	MEDIUM
Otago	T20	4	51	60	12.8	85.0	6.7	41.7	LOW
Northern Districts	T20	4	33	34	8.3	97.1	11.8	44.1	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	4	382	662	95.5	57.7	9.1	73.1	HIGH
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	4	286	392	35.8	73.0	7.7	63.3	HIGH
Fitzherbert Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	174	384	43.5	45.3	5.7	76.6	HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	192	348	96.0	55.2	5.7	71.3	HIGH
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	6	128	302	10.7	42.4	6.6	79.5	HIGH
Colin Maiden Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	152	292	38.0	52.1	6.8	74.0	MEDIUM
Saxton Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	114	192	28.5	59.4	7.3	67.7	MEDIUM
Cobham Oval, Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	96	158	24.0	60.8	8.9	70.9	MEDIUM
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	4	96	148	12.0	64.9	10.8	81.1	MEDIUM
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	2	78	136	19.5	57.4	7.4	75.0	MEDIUM
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	4	54	122	6.8	44.3	4.9	72.1	MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	60	98	30.0	61.2	8.2	67.3	LOW
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	80	90	40.0	88.9	15.6	62.2	LOW
Basin Reserve, Wellington	T20	8	73	89	10.4	82.0	4.5	37.1	LOW
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	28	72	7.0	38.9	0.0	75.0	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	40	1920	3396	27.4	56.5	7.5	72.4	HIGH
Unknown	T20	15	146	159	11.2	91.8	9.4	41.5	MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	40	1696	3078	24.9	55.1	7.1	72.7	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	12	224	318	112.0	70.4	11.3	69.2	HIGH
middle	T20	9	78	95	19.5	82.1	6.3	42.1	LOW
death	T20	9	66	55	9.4	120.0	16.4	34.5	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	36	778	1558	20.5	49.9	6.0	73.8	HIGH
PACE	FIRST_CLASS	38	908	1486	34.9	61.1	8.7	71.9	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	14	234	352	39.0	66.5	8.5	68.2	HIGH
SPIN	T20	10	76	88	12.7	86.4	6.8	40.9	LOW
PACE	T20	12	59	60	9.8	98.3	13.3	46.7	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.