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CS Nascimento betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20181101567.970.51.955.1MEDIUM
overallT20444382245.215.9HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where CS Nascimento scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    52 runs off 63 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 82.5 vs 70.5 overall, average 5.8 vs 7.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: St Albans Club, Buenos Aires (T20)LOW sample

    40 runs off 65 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 61.5 vs 70.5 overall, average 13.3 vs 7.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

ArgentinaT203224322.051.20.065.1LOW
United States of AmericaT20425428.359.52.457.1LOW

Bowling

United States of AmericaT20909016.090.0LOW
ArgentinaT208738102.63.8LOW
CanadaT20605215.252.0LOW
RwandaT20485146.412.8LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

St Albans Club, Buenos AiresT205406513.361.50.058.5LOW
Woodley Cricket Field, Los AngelesT20522425.552.42.461.9LOW

Bowling

Woodley Cricket Field, Los AngelesT201298163.813.5LOW
St Albans Club, Buenos AiresT201089965.516.5LOW
Gahanga B Ground, RwandaT20797845.919.5LOW
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20504335.214.3LOW
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT20363415.734.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT20181101567.970.51.955.1MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20444382245.215.9HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT209589211.663.02.262.0LOW
deathT201252635.882.51.644.4LOW

Bowling

middleT20262226155.215.1MEDIUM
powerplayT201146843.617.0LOW
deathT20688857.817.6LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT201256729.377.82.851.4LOW
PACET201036525.169.20.051.9LOW
UNKNOWNT209183218.056.33.168.8LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.