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CT Bancroft betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS214140663172838.644.34.774.8HIGH
overallLIST_A712597309545.683.99.049.7HIGH
overallT20771908155429.8122.813.630.2HIGH
overallTEST24416111.027.33.782.0MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS362023.310.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where CT Bancroft scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    2086 runs off 4714 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.3 vs 44.3 overall, average 52.1 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Northamptonshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1034 runs off 1900 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.4 vs 44.3 overall, average 51.7 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    774 runs off 1410 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.9 vs 44.3 overall, average 64.5 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Glamorgan (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    826 runs off 1358 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.8 vs 44.3 overall, average 82.6 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: South Australia (LIST A)HIGH sample

    349 runs off 426 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 81.9 vs 83.9 overall, average 58.2 vs 45.6 overall.

  • Venue: Adelaide Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    926 runs off 2256 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.0 vs 44.3 overall, average 51.4 vs 38.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1038 runs off 2766 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.5 vs 44.3 overall, average 28.8 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Lancashire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    490 runs off 1070 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.8 vs 44.3 overall, average 30.6 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Yorkshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    266 runs off 740 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.9 vs 44.3 overall, average 33.3 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Kent (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    304 runs off 648 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.9 vs 44.3 overall, average 25.3 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Middlesex (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    296 runs off 642 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.1 vs 44.3 overall, average 21.1 vs 38.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Durham (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    210 runs off 478 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.9 vs 44.3 overall, average 26.3 vs 38.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS222086471452.144.34.374.9HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS261526372836.340.94.076.3HIGH
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS201240336232.636.93.277.5HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS241598332640.048.05.874.3HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS221038276628.837.53.378.4HIGH
NorthamptonshireFIRST_CLASS141034190051.754.45.669.8HIGH
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS12766173242.644.24.672.7HIGH
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS10698152638.845.75.976.3HIGH
LeicestershireFIRST_CLASS8774141064.554.96.570.9HIGH
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS6826135882.660.87.465.5HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS6500123241.740.63.675.0HIGH
LancashireFIRST_CLASS10490107030.645.85.071.0HIGH
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS426674033.335.92.475.7HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS630464825.346.95.974.4HIGH
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS829664221.146.16.278.8HIGH
DurhamFIRST_CLASS421047826.343.96.377.0HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS415643026.036.34.280.5HIGH
South AustraliaLIST_A734942658.281.96.645.3HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS413029216.344.55.574.7MEDIUM
LeicestershireLIST_A423426878.087.310.450.0MEDIUM
New South WalesLIST_A620126433.576.18.757.2MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A719225448.075.67.553.9MEDIUM
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS28022040.036.44.581.8MEDIUM
QueenslandLIST_A619221738.488.59.246.1MEDIUM
GlamorganLIST_A319820699.096.111.747.1MEDIUM
NorthamptonshireLIST_A2219201219.0109.011.940.3MEDIUM
SurreyLIST_A417519158.391.611.047.1MEDIUM
TasmaniaLIST_A513818127.676.27.249.7MEDIUM
EnglandTEST24416111.027.33.782.0MEDIUM
LancashireLIST_A312315941.077.49.456.0MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS24815412.031.25.287.0MEDIUM
Sydney SixersT20815014425.0104.210.436.1MEDIUM
KentLIST_A2149135—110.412.634.8MEDIUM
SussexT20516413441.0122.414.226.1MEDIUM
Brisbane HeatT20617213334.4129.314.325.6MEDIUM
Birmingham BearsT203179132179.0135.614.421.2MEDIUM
NottinghamshireLIST_A310212434.082.39.750.8MEDIUM
Melbourne RenegadesT20416610683.0156.617.920.8LOW
MiddlesexT20414710649.0138.718.925.5LOW
WorcestershireLIST_A36010030.060.06.061.0LOW
WarwickshireLIST_A3499416.352.16.462.8LOW
Adelaide StrikersT2041018525.3118.810.625.9LOW
SomersetT204908022.5112.513.842.5LOW
Sydney ThunderT203877943.5110.110.136.7LOW
GlamorganT204997724.8128.615.632.5LOW
HampshireT204817220.3112.516.738.9LOW
DerbyshireLIST_A2467023.065.74.358.6LOW
Hobart HurricanesT203836827.7122.111.825.0LOW
KentT204625620.7110.710.737.5LOW
Melbourne StarsT204665516.5120.014.532.7LOW
SussexLIST_A14953—92.511.347.2LOW
YorkshireLIST_A2314231.073.87.152.4LOW
SomersetLIST_A2344117.082.99.858.5LOW
EssexLIST_A325398.364.17.761.5LOW
SurreyT202463923.0117.912.838.5LOW

Bowling

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS362023.310.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS543388801636.042.34.576.6HIGH
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS281834387438.247.35.372.2HIGH
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS10926225651.441.03.574.9HIGH
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS16494155217.631.84.082.5HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS10500142641.735.12.979.7HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS6772139877.255.25.468.2HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS10696137843.550.55.872.1HIGH
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS6534116653.445.85.876.8HIGH
College Ground, CheltenhamFIRST_CLASS8650113646.457.26.966.4HIGH
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS4610996101.761.27.669.9HIGH
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS635499229.535.72.878.4HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS640695633.842.54.475.5HIGH
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS439075048.852.05.169.3HIGH
Sedbergh SchoolFIRST_CLASS2338650169.052.05.868.9HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS431062838.849.45.472.3HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A1242158538.372.06.553.7HIGH
Park 25 No 2, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS426257643.745.54.974.7HIGH
Bankstown Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS223854459.543.83.371.7HIGH
County Ground, DerbyFIRST_CLASS419651449.038.13.175.5HIGH
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS217449243.535.42.879.7HIGH
County Ground, BristolLIST_A940346367.287.010.851.0HIGH
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS618843618.843.15.076.1HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS213238033.034.73.780.0HIGH
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetLIST_A5343333171.5103.010.240.5HIGH
Sophia Gardens, CardiffFIRST_CLASS213231233.042.35.178.2HIGH
North Marine Road Ground, ScarboroughFIRST_CLASS211026027.542.34.675.4MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS410225217.040.53.276.2MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamFIRST_CLASS26820434.033.33.982.4MEDIUM
County Ground, BristolT201024920331.1122.714.832.5MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS49219611.546.95.177.6MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS28619021.545.35.375.8MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A414817374.085.59.850.3MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamLIST_A315317151.089.59.443.3MEDIUM
Perth StadiumT20624216780.7144.916.821.6MEDIUM
Sydney Showground StadiumT20817716435.4107.99.837.2MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20419515765.0124.215.331.8MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A412415231.081.67.948.7MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetT20716813833.6121.710.123.9MEDIUM
Old Trafford, ManchesterLIST_A19811998.082.410.153.8LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneLIST_A2124109124.0113.811.025.7LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonLIST_A1100109100.091.78.340.4LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS24810812.044.43.774.1LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A48610621.581.19.459.4LOW
Lord'sTEST12910514.527.62.981.9LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A36010030.060.06.061.0LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS2369018.040.04.477.8LOW
Adelaide OvalLIST_A18088—90.99.142.0LOW
College Ground, CheltenhamLIST_A3738424.386.914.358.3LOW
Rugby School GroundLIST_A1468346.055.47.262.7LOW
College Ground, CheltenhamT2041068326.5127.715.730.1LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A1637563.084.04.040.0LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraT205767315.2104.111.039.7LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT202826441.0128.112.523.4LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordT2021096454.5170.325.026.6LOW
Adelaide OvalT202816040.5135.013.318.3LOW
EdgbastonTEST115567.526.85.482.1LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT203565318.7105.79.432.1LOW
Kibworth Cricket Club New GroundLIST_A1405240.076.99.657.7LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT202524826.0108.316.741.7LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonLIST_A2344117.082.99.858.5LOW
Roseworth Terrace, GosforthLIST_A2254012.562.57.562.5LOW
Carrara OvalT202363818.094.710.539.5LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A2223711.059.58.167.6LOW
Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A16037—162.218.916.2LOW
County Ground, HoveT202383419.0111.814.732.4LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT2014632—143.815.621.9LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyT202423242.0131.39.421.9LOW

Bowling

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS362023.310.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS214140663172838.644.34.774.8HIGH
UnknownLIST_A712597309545.683.99.049.7HIGH
UnknownT20771908155429.8122.813.630.2HIGH
UnknownTEST12910514.527.62.981.9LOW
United KingdomTEST115567.526.85.482.1LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS362023.310.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS18498822172844.145.54.673.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS21441841000029.941.84.877.5HIGH
middleLIST_A521755202151.686.88.444.2HIGH
powerplayLIST_A5359489833.066.19.267.7HIGH
powerplayT206983972332.3116.015.239.6HIGH
middleT205086369528.8124.211.222.2HIGH
deathLIST_A1124817649.6140.914.821.0MEDIUM
deathT201620613625.8151.516.921.3MEDIUM
new_ballTEST23610518.034.34.877.1LOW
old_ballTEST18564.014.31.891.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS362023.310.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS21294322241232.342.14.776.9HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS1363432656671.552.34.867.2HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS801202275050.143.74.776.1HIGH
PACELIST_A661525194550.878.48.353.1HIGH
SPINLIST_A4993697846.895.710.543.4HIGH
PACET2068112591535.2123.015.434.3HIGH
SPINT206171958124.0123.811.223.9HIGH
UNKNOWNLIST_A2313617219.479.18.148.3MEDIUM
PACETEST24415422.028.63.981.8MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2014645832.0110.38.627.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.