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DK Ferns betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS741058240414.344.05.778.3HIGH
overallT202115712012.1130.814.231.7MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS1110066061883.635.1HIGH
overallT207801200499.224.5HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where DK Ferns scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    232 runs off 500 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.4 vs 44.0 overall, average 38.7 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    216 runs off 378 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.1 vs 44.0 overall, average 12.0 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    314 runs off 718 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.7 vs 44.0 overall, average 26.2 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    238 runs off 452 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.7 vs 44.0 overall, average 19.8 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    98 runs off 128 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 76.6 vs 44.0 overall, average 24.5 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    62 runs off 112 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.4 vs 44.0 overall, average 10.3 vs 14.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    66 runs off 222 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 29.7 vs 44.0 overall, average 11.0 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    64 runs off 188 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.0 vs 44.0 overall, average 16.0 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    56 runs off 182 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.8 vs 44.0 overall, average 14.0 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Venue: Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    20 runs off 60 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 33.3 vs 44.0 overall, not yet dismissed vs 14.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    74 runs off 62 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 119.4 vs 130.8 overall, average 14.8 vs 12.1 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1223250038.746.46.079.2HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1420849611.641.94.877.8HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS161924949.638.94.979.4HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS1216043613.336.75.082.1HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1821637812.057.18.575.1HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS250100—50.04.066.0LOW
Central DistrictsT207553713.8148.618.929.7LOW

Bowling

Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS29561760603.629.3HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS23361468363.840.8HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS23161276483.326.6HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1608810243.033.8HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS15721130184.362.8HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS31216223.181.0MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT2017124768.741.2MEDIUM
CanterburyT20165242128.820.2MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT2015625199.727.9MEDIUM
WellingtonT201502491010.024.9MEDIUM
OtagoT2098133118.112.1LOW
AucklandT204078111.778.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS1431471826.243.75.678.0HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS1423845219.852.76.271.2HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS46622211.029.74.586.5MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS26418816.034.03.281.9MEDIUM
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS25618214.030.84.485.7MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS69812824.576.612.570.3MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS46211210.355.48.976.8LOW
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS1062967.864.68.368.8LOW
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS22060—33.33.383.3LOW
Queen's Park, InvercargillFIRST_CLASS21856—32.13.678.6LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS24361.011.10.094.4LOW
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS218349.052.95.976.5LOW
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS24321.012.50.093.8LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS214327.043.86.381.3LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT206443111.0141.916.135.5LOW

Bowling

Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS21461170363.332.5HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS20401300323.840.6HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS16641082343.931.8HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS938554263.521.3HIGH
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS770358142.825.6HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS54043684.854.5HIGH
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS49227043.367.5HIGH
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS48024263.040.3HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS446260123.521.7HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS34815282.619.0MEDIUM
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS32420263.733.7MEDIUM
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS27617223.786.0MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20248363208.818.1MEDIUM
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS1808402.8—MEDIUM
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS1328203.7—LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS12013006.5—LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS1085803.2—LOW
Queen's Park, InvercargillFIRST_CLASS965403.4—LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT20729948.324.8LOW
McLean Park, NapierT20638818.488.0LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2060113111.3113.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20485046.312.5LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20426058.612.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT204072110.872.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS70992218214.645.55.877.5HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS46622211.029.74.586.5MEDIUM
UnknownT202014411012.0130.913.631.8LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1056061701803.534.3HIGH
UnknownT207291108469.124.1HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS54043684.854.5HIGH
New ZealandT205192310.830.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS70894207214.043.15.778.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2616433216.449.45.476.5HIGH
deathT20191239511.2129.513.733.7LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS822450161283.739.2HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS28761590603.326.5HIGH
powerplayT20351541159.236.1MEDIUM
deathT202554372610.316.8MEDIUM
middleT2017422287.727.8MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINFIRST_CLASS60446110813.940.34.379.8HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS64506108615.846.66.477.0HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2010621010.650.58.677.1MEDIUM
PACET2013746214.8119.412.933.9LOW
SPINT209604315.0139.514.027.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.