GES Sullivan betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 25 | 140 | 182 | 11.7 | 76.9 | 5.5 | 47.3 | MEDIUM |
| overall | T20 | 1094 | 1191 | 56 | 6.5 | 21.3 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where GES Sullivan scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Bowling type: SPIN (T20)LOW sample
68 runs off 78 balls in 21 T20 matches — strike rate 87.2 vs 76.9 overall, average 17.0 vs 11.7 overall.
- Phase: death (T20)LOW sample
58 runs off 68 balls in 17 T20 matches — strike rate 85.3 vs 76.9 overall, average 14.5 vs 11.7 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample
65 runs off 95 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 68.4 vs 76.9 overall, average 9.3 vs 11.7 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Wellington | T20 | 7 | 18 | 39 | 9.0 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 53.8 | LOW |
| Indonesia | T20 | 3 | 29 | 38 | 9.7 | 76.3 | 5.3 | 44.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| Otago | T20 | 232 | 255 | 13 | 6.6 | 19.6 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 203 | 229 | 7 | 6.8 | 32.7 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland | T20 | 198 | 197 | 11 | 6.0 | 17.9 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 176 | 231 | 8 | 7.9 | 28.9 | MEDIUM |
| Central Districts | T20 | 117 | 151 | 9 | 7.7 | 16.8 | LOW |
| Indonesia | T20 | 60 | 50 | 2 | 5.0 | 25.0 | LOW |
| Philippines | T20 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Albert Park 1, Suva | T20 | 3 | 54 | 58 | 18.0 | 93.1 | 8.6 | 43.1 | LOW |
| Udayana Cricket Ground | T20 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 6.3 | 61.3 | 3.2 | 54.8 | LOW |
Bowling
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 308 | 358 | 14 | 7.0 | 25.6 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval | T20 | 139 | 149 | 4 | 6.4 | 37.3 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 84 | 81 | 8 | 5.8 | 10.1 | LOW |
| Albert Park 1, Suva | T20 | 66 | 62 | 0 | 5.6 | — | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 60 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 66.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 60 | 70 | 1 | 7.0 | 70.0 | LOW |
| Udayana Cricket Ground | T20 | 60 | 30 | 5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 46 | 67 | 2 | 8.7 | 33.5 | LOW |
| Albert Park 2, Suva | T20 | 42 | 36 | 3 | 5.1 | 12.0 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 5.3 | 9.3 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 25 | 140 | 182 | 11.7 | 76.9 | 5.5 | 47.3 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 1094 | 1191 | 56 | 6.5 | 21.3 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| death | T20 | 17 | 58 | 68 | 14.5 | 85.3 | 5.9 | 39.7 | LOW |
| powerplay | T20 | 7 | 50 | 60 | 16.7 | 83.3 | 8.3 | 51.7 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 8 | 32 | 54 | 6.4 | 59.3 | 1.9 | 51.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 438 | 456 | 12 | 6.2 | 38.0 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 404 | 443 | 20 | 6.6 | 22.1 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 252 | 292 | 24 | 7.0 | 12.2 | MEDIUM |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 14 | 65 | 95 | 9.3 | 68.4 | 5.3 | 55.8 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 21 | 68 | 78 | 17.0 | 87.2 | 6.4 | 37.2 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.