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H Kerr betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS261052203626.351.76.674.6HIGH
overallT203351439321.4130.812.226.7HIGH
overallLIST_A1313515111.389.46.645.7MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS32281488502.829.8HIGH
overallT2011201625628.726.2HIGH
overallLIST_A607565185.631.4HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where H Kerr scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    388 runs off 554 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 70.0 vs 51.7 overall, average 48.5 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    114 runs off 166 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.7 vs 51.7 overall, not yet dismissed vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    172 runs off 288 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.7 vs 51.7 overall, average 86.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    134 runs off 194 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.1 vs 51.7 overall, average 67.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Adelaide Strikers (T20)LOW sample

    130 runs off 78 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 166.7 vs 130.8 overall, average 130.0 vs 21.4 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)LOW sample

    116 runs off 71 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 163.4 vs 130.8 overall, average 58.0 vs 21.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    86 runs off 206 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.7 vs 51.7 overall, average 21.5 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    48 runs off 136 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.3 vs 51.7 overall, average 12.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    76 runs off 202 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.6 vs 51.7 overall, average 19.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Lavington Sports Oval, Albury (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    42 runs off 164 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 25.6 vs 51.7 overall, average 10.5 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: County Ground, Hove (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    48 runs off 136 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.3 vs 51.7 overall, average 12.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    154 runs off 131 balls in 24 T20 matches — strike rate 117.6 vs 130.8 overall, average 17.1 vs 21.4 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

VictoriaFIRST_CLASS626453233.049.66.876.7HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS626448826.454.17.876.2HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS424041830.057.46.767.9HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS28620621.541.73.975.7MEDIUM
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS2114166—68.79.671.1MEDIUM
SussexFIRST_CLASS24813612.035.34.479.4MEDIUM
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS436906.040.02.280.0LOW
Adelaide StrikersT20413078130.0166.717.914.1LOW
Brisbane HeatT205817227.0112.58.327.8LOW
Perth ScorchersT206837216.6115.311.137.5LOW
VictoriaLIST_A3555318.3103.87.534.0LOW
NorthamptonshireT202583929.0148.717.920.5LOW

Bowling

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS744386143.127.6HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS700344122.928.7HIGH
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS60020482.025.5HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS42019462.832.3HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS29616463.327.3MEDIUM
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS28811642.429.0MEDIUM
Perth ScorchersT20186280129.023.3MEDIUM
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS1808002.7—MEDIUM
TasmaniaLIST_A15714655.629.2MEDIUM
Brisbane HeatT20150197107.919.7MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A13212365.620.5LOW
Adelaide StrikersT2012219129.495.5LOW
Sydney ThunderT2010714768.224.5LOW
QueenslandLIST_A1028525.042.5LOW
Western AustraliaLIST_A1028234.827.3LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT2010214088.217.5LOW
Melbourne StarsT209012348.230.8LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A849927.149.5LOW
Hobart HurricanesT2084141510.128.2LOW
LancashireT20486928.634.5LOW
Birmingham BearsT204285012.1—LOW
NorthamptonshireT20365228.726.0LOW
NottinghamshireT203662110.362.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS829257224.351.06.376.6HIGH
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS638855448.570.08.765.0HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS217228886.059.79.072.2MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS27620219.037.64.081.2MEDIUM
Lavington Sports Oval, AlburyFIRST_CLASS24216410.525.63.786.6MEDIUM
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS24813612.035.34.479.4MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundT20917312824.7135.214.125.0MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS2341148.529.83.580.7LOW
County Ground, DerbyT204554713.8117.08.531.9LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundLIST_A1434143.0104.97.334.1LOW
Perth StadiumT203463915.3117.910.346.2LOW

Bowling

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS984484183.026.9HIGH
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS756292142.320.9HIGH
Bankstown Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS34813022.265.0MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundT20301457179.126.9MEDIUM
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS29616463.327.3MEDIUM
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS2289802.6—MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS22011263.118.7MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS21612043.330.0MEDIUM
Lavington Sports Oval, AlburyFIRST_CLASS1808802.9—MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A17914975.021.3MEDIUM
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A13213226.066.0LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A11411025.855.0LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A1049935.733.0LOW
County Ground, DerbyT2010215749.239.3LOW
Adelaide OvalT207210919.1109.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT206610539.535.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT20667266.512.0LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT20609759.719.4LOW
International Sports Stadium, Coffs HarbourT20606926.934.5LOW
Perth StadiumT204888111.088.0LOW
Carrara OvalT20425067.18.3LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT20424336.114.3LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundT20425618.056.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS261052203626.351.76.674.6HIGH
UnknownT203351439321.4130.812.226.7HIGH
UnknownLIST_A1313515111.389.46.645.7MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS32281488502.829.8HIGH
UnknownT2011201625628.726.2HIGH
UnknownLIST_A607565185.631.4HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS26918184224.249.86.174.8HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS813419467.069.111.372.2MEDIUM
middleT201822318727.9119.311.831.6MEDIUM
deathT202217513512.5129.68.921.5MEDIUM
middleLIST_A99411111.884.77.250.5LOW
powerplayT2071167158.0163.419.723.9LOW
deathLIST_A5414010.3102.55.032.5LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS28561280482.726.7HIGH
middleT20456627228.328.5HIGH
middleLIST_A444372115.033.8HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS37220823.4104.0HIGH
powerplayT20336473158.431.5MEDIUM
deathT20328525259.621.0MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A908135.427.0LOW
deathLIST_A7311249.228.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS26622117628.352.97.574.3HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS2239675233.052.75.974.7HIGH
PACET203332824621.9133.312.625.6MEDIUM
SPINT202415413117.1117.69.931.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS6341085.731.51.975.9LOW
PACELIST_A12738010.491.37.547.5LOW
SPINLIST_A1049609.881.75.043.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.