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I Vrignaud betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2089917016.558.24.156.5MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where I Vrignaud scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Luxembourg (T20)LOW sample

    55 runs off 78 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 70.5 vs 58.2 overall, average 13.8 vs 16.5 overall.

  • Venue: Pierre Werner Cricket Ground (T20)LOW sample

    55 runs off 78 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 70.5 vs 58.2 overall, average 13.8 vs 16.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Scott Page Field, Vinor (T20)LOW sample

    44 runs off 92 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 47.8 vs 58.2 overall, average 22.0 vs 16.5 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    55 runs off 116 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 47.4 vs 58.2 overall, average 18.3 vs 16.5 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

PortugalT203428342.050.62.457.8LOW
LuxembourgT204557813.870.56.452.6LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Scott Page Field, VinorT204449222.047.82.259.8LOW
Pierre Werner Cricket GroundT204557813.870.56.452.6LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2089917016.558.24.156.5MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT207498524.557.62.454.1LOW
deathT206477711.861.06.558.4LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET2075511618.347.41.756.0LOW
UNKNOWNT203303630.083.311.161.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.