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IC Gaze betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20761127101718.8110.816.044.5HIGH
overallODI1821934115.664.24.757.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where IC Gaze scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    405 runs off 331 balls in 55 T20 matches — strike rate 122.4 vs 110.8 overall, average 18.4 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (T20)MEDIUM sample

    189 runs off 123 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 153.7 vs 110.8 overall, not yet dismissed vs 18.8 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (T20)MEDIUM sample

    199 runs off 135 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 147.4 vs 110.8 overall, average 99.5 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)MEDIUM sample

    204 runs off 171 balls in 21 T20 matches — strike rate 119.3 vs 110.8 overall, average 22.7 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Opposition: England (ODI)LOW sample

    81 runs off 98 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 82.7 vs 64.2 overall, average 16.2 vs 15.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Central Districts (T20)LOW sample

    120 runs off 95 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 126.3 vs 110.8 overall, average 24.0 vs 18.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: England (T20)MEDIUM sample

    173 runs off 170 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 101.8 vs 110.8 overall, average 17.3 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    128 runs off 236 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 54.2 vs 64.2 overall, average 11.6 vs 15.6 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)LOW sample

    45 runs off 94 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 47.9 vs 64.2 overall, average 15.0 vs 15.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (T20)LOW sample

    86 runs off 91 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 94.5 vs 110.8 overall, average 17.2 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (T20)LOW sample

    75 runs off 90 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 83.3 vs 110.8 overall, average 10.7 vs 18.8 overall.

  • Venue: Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad (ODI)LOW sample

    45 runs off 94 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 47.9 vs 64.2 overall, average 15.0 vs 15.6 overall.

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
18.3 runs
median 13 · 90th percentile 44 · plays 90% · 16 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EnglandT201417317017.3101.812.947.1MEDIUM
OtagoT201116514715.0112.217.745.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweT203189123—153.721.122.8MEDIUM
WellingtonT20812412015.5103.316.751.7MEDIUM
EnglandODI5819816.282.76.144.9LOW
Central DistrictsT2061209524.0126.318.937.9LOW
IndiaODI3459415.047.93.266.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT207869117.294.515.453.8LOW
CanterburyT208759010.783.311.155.6LOW
West IndiesT203745737.0129.821.143.9LOW
Sri LankaODI2435143.084.35.945.1LOW
South AfricaT20636417.287.812.253.7LOW
PakistanODI3163816.042.10.071.1LOW
Sri LankaT203333016.5110.013.333.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT201525122317.9112.618.849.8MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20619913599.5147.420.727.4MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20811410116.3112.918.849.5LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI3459415.047.93.266.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT205888022.0110.013.838.8LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonODI2435143.084.35.945.1LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonT202535153.0103.911.841.2LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI1474847.097.96.333.3LOW
McLean Park, NapierT203474815.797.910.445.8LOW
University Oval, DunedinT203574819.0118.822.943.8LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI2153715.040.50.073.0LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT202383719.0102.710.835.1LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT204443611.0122.225.058.3LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI219329.559.43.153.1LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT20741107100218.8110.516.144.8HIGH
UnknownODI1821934115.664.24.757.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT204458752221.0112.519.353.1HIGH
middleT203633632414.6103.712.738.9HIGH
middleODI1312823611.654.23.061.4MEDIUM
deathT202120417122.7119.312.329.2MEDIUM
deathODI6827727.3106.511.736.4LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT206259256616.9104.614.044.9HIGH
PACET205540533118.4122.420.545.0HIGH
SPINODI1713922317.462.33.656.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT202413012043.3108.313.341.7MEDIUM
PACEODI12708817.579.59.154.5LOW
UNKNOWNODI410305.033.30.070.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.