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J Baguma betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20940538.075.55.747.2LOW
overallT20361379256.315.2HIGH

Current projections

Uganda v Zambia
World T20 Qualifier
1.2 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 3 · plays 40% · 10 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

RwandaT204293314.587.99.145.5LOW

Bowling

RwandaT2011991114.68.3LOW
TanzaniaT2011012756.925.4LOW
BotswanaT20364126.820.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT207384912.777.66.146.9LOW

Bowling

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20253250185.913.9MEDIUM

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT208405210.076.95.846.2LOW

Bowling

UnknownT20343353246.214.7MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathT20724338.072.73.042.4LOW

Bowling

middleT20284316196.716.6MEDIUM
deathT20534354.98.6LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET20827389.071.12.644.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.