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J Weatherald betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS9669561123640.061.98.769.6HIGH
overallLIST_A2460578926.376.79.959.3HIGH
overallTEST622432420.469.111.167.0HIGH
overallT202237327919.6133.718.333.7MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS726605.5—LOW
overallLIST_A5607.2—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where J Weatherald scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1300 runs off 1918 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.8 vs 61.9 overall, average 50.0 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    340 runs off 454 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 74.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 42.5 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    2528 runs off 3532 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.6 vs 61.9 overall, average 55.0 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Allan Border Field, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    620 runs off 766 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 103.3 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Grace Road, Leicester (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    332 runs off 396 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 83.8 vs 61.9 overall, average 41.5 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    620 runs off 822 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.4 vs 61.9 overall, average 77.5 vs 40.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1034 runs off 1928 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.6 vs 61.9 overall, average 47.0 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    354 runs off 572 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 22.1 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Adelaide Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1370 runs off 2818 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.6 vs 61.9 overall, average 38.1 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    696 runs off 1250 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.7 vs 61.9 overall, average 26.8 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    360 runs off 668 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.9 vs 61.9 overall, average 22.5 vs 40.0 overall.

  • Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    176 runs off 446 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.5 vs 61.9 overall, average 14.7 vs 40.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

VictoriaFIRST_CLASS181200222437.554.07.070.9HIGH
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS181190198835.059.98.672.1HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS121034192847.053.66.872.4HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS141300191850.067.89.667.6HIGH
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS14912142632.664.09.770.1HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS835457222.161.910.175.5HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS434045442.574.911.061.7HIGH
EnglandTEST520128422.370.811.366.2MEDIUM
QueenslandLIST_A626627744.396.013.054.5MEDIUM
SurreyFIRST_CLASS219223296.082.814.764.7MEDIUM
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS2208230—90.412.251.3MEDIUM
Western AustraliaLIST_A615020530.073.28.358.0MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A510315720.665.610.263.7MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS212215061.081.310.753.3MEDIUM
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS210411426.091.210.549.1LOW
New South WalesLIST_A4438210.852.44.968.3LOW
Sydney ThunderT2061198223.8145.122.039.0LOW
Perth ScorchersT203724624.0156.526.132.6LOW
Brisbane HeatT203434514.395.64.428.9LOW
Hobart HurricanesT203934593.0206.735.624.4LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A1354435.079.59.152.3LOW
Melbourne StarsT203364212.085.74.828.6LOW
BangladeshTEST1234011.557.510.072.5LOW

Bowling

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS36601.0—LOW
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS3660010.0—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS242528353255.071.610.466.4HIGH
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS181370281838.148.66.375.2HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS14696125026.855.78.273.9HIGH
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS4620766103.380.911.558.7HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS836066822.553.97.274.3HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS817644614.739.54.075.8HIGH
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS433239641.583.811.657.6HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS219223296.082.814.764.7MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS28223020.535.74.383.5MEDIUM
Sophia Gardens, CardiffFIRST_CLASS2208230—90.412.251.3MEDIUM
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A415918039.888.310.651.1MEDIUM
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A411218037.362.25.659.4MEDIUM
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS211217228.065.19.362.8MEDIUM
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS212215061.081.310.753.3MEDIUM
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A411315028.375.39.364.0MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A49914624.867.810.361.6MEDIUM
Bankstown Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS24012010.033.35.078.3MEDIUM
North Dalton Park, WollongongFIRST_CLASS24612011.538.38.386.7MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS27210618.067.99.467.9LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST18910189.088.114.960.4LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundTEST1557627.572.411.864.5LOW
Adelaide OvalT20857648.189.17.834.4LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A3836227.7133.925.851.6LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A1285128.054.93.968.6LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraT202875087.0174.026.036.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT202934493.0211.436.422.7LOW
Marrara Stadium, DarwinTEST1234011.557.510.072.5LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST115387.539.52.678.9LOW
Perth StadiumTEST1233611.563.98.366.7LOW
Adelaide OvalTEST119339.557.612.172.7LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT202353217.5109.46.325.0LOW
Perth StadiumT201563256.0175.031.331.3LOW

Bowling

Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS3660010.0—LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS36601.0—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS9669561123640.061.98.769.6HIGH
UnknownLIST_A2460578926.376.79.959.3HIGH
UnknownTEST622432420.469.111.167.0HIGH
UnknownT202237327919.6133.718.333.7MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS726605.5—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS844816716246.367.29.265.9HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS962140407430.652.57.876.0HIGH
powerplayLIST_A2433647430.570.910.363.9HIGH
middleLIST_A1226931522.485.49.252.4HIGH
new_ballTEST616724133.469.311.267.6MEDIUM
middleT201120614429.4143.118.828.5MEDIUM
powerplayT201313311713.3113.716.241.0LOW
old_ballTEST557839.568.710.865.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS726605.5—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS964824811638.359.48.771.8HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS621512229837.865.88.163.9HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS3062082277.575.410.564.0HIGH
PACELIST_A2442059424.770.79.462.3HIGH
PACETEST620230218.466.910.668.9HIGH
SPINLIST_A916617541.594.910.949.7MEDIUM
PACET201719015221.1125.015.832.9MEDIUM
SPINT201616211320.3143.420.434.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.