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JA Davies betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS1043472231.060.19.171.5HIGH
overallT201620913519.0154.821.528.1MEDIUM
overallLIST_A1201020.0200.030.020.0LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS1258562182.731.2HIGH
overallT20318372197.019.6MEDIUM
overallLIST_A10211036.536.7LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JA Davies scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: old_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    424 runs off 668 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.5 vs 60.1 overall, average 42.4 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    202 runs off 292 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.2 vs 60.1 overall, average 25.3 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Queensland (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    104 runs off 126 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 82.5 vs 60.1 overall, not yet dismissed vs 31.0 overall.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    168 runs off 190 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 88.4 vs 60.1 overall, average 42.0 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    151 runs off 88 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 171.6 vs 154.8 overall, average 18.9 vs 19.0 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    123 runs off 71 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 173.2 vs 154.8 overall, average 20.5 vs 19.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    272 runs off 496 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.8 vs 60.1 overall, average 19.4 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Western Australia (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    100 runs off 224 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.6 vs 60.1 overall, average 25.0 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    100 runs off 224 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.6 vs 60.1 overall, average 25.0 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    28 runs off 80 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.0 vs 60.1 overall, average 14.0 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    28 runs off 80 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.0 vs 60.1 overall, average 14.0 vs 31.0 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    86 runs off 64 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 134.4 vs 154.8 overall, average 17.2 vs 19.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS420229225.369.211.069.9MEDIUM
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS210022425.044.65.472.3MEDIUM
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS2104126—82.512.763.5MEDIUM
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS2288014.035.07.587.5LOW
Brisbane HeatT203503825.0131.615.828.9LOW

Bowling

Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS52826863.044.7HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS44219682.724.5HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS2889842.024.5MEDIUM
TasmaniaLIST_A605425.427.0LOW
Sydney ThunderT20607837.826.0LOW
BangladeshT20485847.314.5LOW
Melbourne StarsT20483143.97.8LOW
Perth ScorchersT20487419.374.0LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A425618.056.0LOW
Brisbane HeatT20423835.412.7LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT20425017.150.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS213822834.560.58.870.2MEDIUM
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS210022425.044.65.472.3MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS416819042.088.414.765.3MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS2288014.035.07.587.5LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundT208925611.5164.325.032.1LOW

Bowling

Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS52826863.044.7HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS2889842.024.5MEDIUM
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS28617863.729.7MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS1561820.79.0MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundT209010466.917.3LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A605425.427.0LOW
Sydney Showground StadiumT20546937.723.0LOW
Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, ChattogramT20485847.314.5LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A425618.056.0LOW
Perth StadiumT20426218.962.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1043472231.060.19.171.5HIGH
UnknownT201620913519.0154.821.528.1MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1258562182.731.2HIGH
UnknownT20318372197.019.6MEDIUM
UnknownLIST_A10211036.536.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1042466842.463.59.670.1HIGH
deathT20111237120.5173.225.428.2LOW
middleT209866417.2134.417.228.1LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS410542.518.53.788.9LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1222556182.730.9HIGH
middleT20240259156.517.3MEDIUM
middleLIST_A788326.441.5LOW
powerplayT20425227.426.0LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS36601.0—LOW
deathT203661210.230.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS1027249619.454.89.777.4HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS8124188—66.06.459.6MEDIUM
PACET20161518818.9171.625.026.1LOW
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS23838—100.015.852.6LOW
SPINT209483616.0133.319.436.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.