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JA Duffy betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS921792303013.859.18.773.7HIGH
overallT20361611279.5126.812.631.5MEDIUM
overallTEST47810419.575.013.569.2LOW
overallODI5122012.060.010.070.0LOW
overallHUNDRED1010.00.00.0100.0LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS18594100483263.230.8HIGH
overallT20233233081248.526.7HIGH
overallTEST1030407252.416.3HIGH
overallODI634647266.124.9HIGH
overallHUNDRED12018089.022.5LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JA Duffy scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    948 runs off 1410 balls in 86 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.2 vs 59.1 overall, average 13.9 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    244 runs off 342 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.3 vs 59.1 overall, average 17.4 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Warwickshire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    86 runs off 128 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.2 vs 59.1 overall, average 43.0 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    140 runs off 204 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.6 vs 59.1 overall, average 70.0 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    132 runs off 180 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 73.3 vs 59.1 overall, average 22.0 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    134 runs off 162 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 82.7 vs 59.1 overall, average 22.3 vs 13.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    156 runs off 336 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.4 vs 59.1 overall, average 11.1 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Molyneux Park, Alexandra (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    160 runs off 328 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.8 vs 59.1 overall, average 13.3 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    714 runs off 1408 balls in 70 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.7 vs 59.1 overall, average 17.0 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    80 runs off 192 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.7 vs 59.1 overall, average 10.0 vs 13.8 overall.

  • Venue: Fitzherbert Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    36 runs off 142 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 25.4 vs 59.1 overall, average 9.0 vs 13.8 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS1848675217.464.610.972.3HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1844868416.065.58.571.6HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1631054811.156.68.073.7HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1226647419.056.18.976.8HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1015633611.146.46.076.8HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS48612843.067.29.465.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST1365536.065.510.970.9LOW
West IndiesTEST3424914.085.716.367.3LOW
SurreyFIRST_CLASS422303.773.313.373.3LOW

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS35221752563.031.3HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS32301606723.022.3HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS31341670403.241.8HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS30501572583.127.1HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS26801336343.039.3HIGH
West IndiesTEST927355232.315.4HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS686388163.424.3HIGH
SurreyFIRST_CLASS46843825.6219.0HIGH
EssexFIRST_CLASS456274103.627.4HIGH
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS456324164.320.3HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS360244104.124.4HIGH
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS31233066.355.0MEDIUM
AucklandT20293411148.429.4MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20274361147.925.8MEDIUM
DurhamFIRST_CLASS24011462.819.0MEDIUM
WellingtonT2023436269.360.3MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT20204273108.027.3MEDIUM
PakistanODI18618085.822.5MEDIUM
CanterburyT2017925558.551.0MEDIUM
PakistanT20166197147.114.1MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI16214675.420.9MEDIUM
IndiaT20148266710.838.0LOW
BangladeshODI12611745.629.3LOW
West IndiesT20108121106.712.1LOW
ZimbabweTEST1035223.026.0LOW
Sri LankaT20969585.911.9LOW
South AfricaT209013969.323.2LOW
IndiaODI60100310.033.3LOW
IrelandT20608948.922.3LOW
IrelandODI545215.852.0LOW
AustraliaT20487339.124.3LOW
EnglandT204889211.144.5LOW
Gujarat TitansT20487739.625.7LOW
ScotlandODI465236.817.3LOW
LancashireT20396219.562.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS2032448412.566.910.374.4HIGH
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS616032813.348.88.579.9HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS616226016.262.38.572.3MEDIUM
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS214020470.068.66.962.7MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS48019210.041.77.381.3MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS413218022.073.310.070.0MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS413416222.382.713.663.0MEDIUM
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS49214823.062.28.168.9MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS48814622.060.39.674.0MEDIUM
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS2361429.025.42.885.9MEDIUM
Queen's ParkFIRST_CLASS28413421.062.711.974.6MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS48213013.763.110.875.4MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS25810229.056.97.868.6LOW
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS454929.058.76.569.6LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS658667.387.915.266.7LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS2486224.077.49.764.5LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1365536.065.510.970.9LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS212463.026.14.387.0LOW
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS232448.072.79.159.1LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS26401.515.00.095.0LOW

Bowling

University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS43122374723.333.0HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS1788902183.050.1HIGH
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS1152534142.838.1HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS1130618283.322.1HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS1042424202.421.2HIGH
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS890480223.221.8HIGH
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS816568264.221.8HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS79244643.4111.5HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS78045083.556.3HIGH
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS746304142.421.7HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS670380203.419.0HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS612312183.117.3HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS48029403.7—HIGH
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS456274103.627.4HIGH
Queen's ParkFIRST_CLASS420152142.210.9HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS396210123.217.5HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS38414262.223.7HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST36415682.619.5HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST34512892.214.2MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS33612062.120.0MEDIUM
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS32417203.2—MEDIUM
Headingley, LeedsFIRST_CLASS31233066.355.0MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS28831606.6—MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinT20258364128.530.3MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS25210262.417.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST2187162.011.8MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS21614424.072.0MEDIUM
University OvalT2017427459.454.8MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20144148166.29.3LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1035223.026.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT209414679.320.9LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT209010777.115.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubT209010667.117.7LOW
Molyneux ParkT209012548.331.3LOW
McLean Park, NapierODI848426.042.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterT208412358.824.6LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI786555.013.0LOW
Eden Park Outer OvalT207210238.534.0LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20718036.826.7LOW
Hagley OvalT20719037.630.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20648247.720.5LOW
Holkar Cricket Stadium, IndoreODI60100310.033.3LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonODI605135.117.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT20608948.922.3LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT2060130013.0—LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20607647.619.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED558659.417.2LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI545215.852.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI523924.519.5LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT205195011.2—LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI504134.913.7LOW
Bay OvalT20485326.626.5LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruT204880510.016.0LOW
McLean Park, NapierT20487429.337.0LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT204882110.382.0LOW
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, RaipurT204886110.886.0LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghODI465236.817.3LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI424025.720.0LOW
National Stadium, KarachiODI424816.948.0LOW
Basin ReserveT20425417.754.0LOW
McLean ParkT20424937.016.3LOW
University Oval, DunedinODI363916.539.0LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT20364126.820.5LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumT20364617.746.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS841540259013.359.59.074.3HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS622039622.055.67.171.7HIGH
UnknownTEST47810419.575.013.569.2LOW
UnknownT2029117868.4136.012.823.3LOW
CanadaFIRST_CLASS232448.072.79.159.1LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1695091842943.331.2HIGH
UnknownT20177525481018.625.2HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS1392762263.329.3HIGH
UnknownTEST1030407252.416.3HIGH
UnknownODI634647266.124.9HIGH
New ZealandT20407573148.440.9HIGH
CanadaFIRST_CLASS25210262.417.0MEDIUM
UnknownHUNDRED12018089.022.5LOW
ZimbabweT209010667.117.7LOW
PakistanT20364617.746.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS881548268813.357.68.674.9HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2424434217.471.39.964.9HIGH
deathT203415011810.0127.112.729.7LOW
old_ballTEST4698817.378.414.868.2LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1211265742123.331.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS648234741143.230.5HIGH
powerplayT2012841709578.030.0HIGH
old_ballTEST763281222.212.8HIGH
deathT207061133509.622.7HIGH
middleT20342466178.227.4MEDIUM
powerplayODI33630095.433.3MEDIUM
new_ballTEST26712632.842.0MEDIUM
middleODI18618485.923.0MEDIUM
deathODI11216398.718.1LOW
powerplayHUNDRED9012268.120.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS86948141013.967.210.571.5HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS70714140817.050.76.876.0HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS261302126.561.39.473.6MEDIUM
PACET20311419611.8146.916.727.1LOW
PACETEST4627020.788.615.764.3LOW
SPINTEST3163416.047.18.879.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.