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JA Warrican betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST1722942310.054.16.171.9HIGH
overallT201454.080.00.040.0LOW
overallTEST34531636622.826.4HIGH
overallT2014421448.953.5LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JA Warrican scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    114 runs off 160 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 71.3 vs 54.1 overall, average 22.8 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Venue: Multan Cricket Stadium (TEST)LOW sample

    85 runs off 91 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 93.4 vs 54.1 overall, average 42.5 vs 10.0 overall.

  • Venue: Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad (TEST)LOW sample

    49 runs off 68 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 72.1 vs 54.1 overall, not yet dismissed vs 10.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Providence Stadium, Guyana (TEST)LOW sample

    25 runs off 66 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 37.9 vs 54.1 overall, average 25.0 vs 10.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

PakistanTEST511416022.871.37.560.0MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST2609860.061.28.273.5LOW
IndiaTEST438726.352.86.975.0LOW
Sri LankaTEST26411.514.60.087.8LOW
BangladeshTEST28312.725.83.287.1LOW

Bowling

IndiaTEST1010470102.847.0HIGH
PakistanTEST932409252.616.4HIGH
BangladeshTEST572285103.028.5HIGH
Sri LankaTEST53125592.928.3HIGH
South AfricaTEST28816683.520.8MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST1205102.5—LOW
St Kitts and Nevis PatriotsT20487419.374.0LOW
Antigua and Barbuda FalconsT20364116.841.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Multan Cricket StadiumTEST2859142.593.49.950.5LOW
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST34968—72.18.863.2LOW
Providence Stadium, GuyanaTEST1256625.037.94.583.3LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST26411.514.60.087.8LOW
Windsor Park, Roseau, DominicaTEST119319.561.39.777.4LOW

Bowling

Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, TrinidadTEST801401163.025.1HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST53125592.928.3HIGH
Multan Cricket StadiumTEST431171192.49.0HIGH
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury StadiumTEST39519072.927.1HIGH
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiTEST29613742.834.3MEDIUM
Windsor Park, Roseau, DominicaTEST27010612.4106.0MEDIUM
Shere Bangla National StadiumTEST1779533.231.7MEDIUM
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadTEST17410213.5102.0MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaTEST1206503.3—LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadTEST1085603.1—LOW
Providence Stadium, GuyanaTEST1024022.420.0LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosT208413219.4132.0LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosTEST481802.3—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST1722942310.054.16.171.9HIGH

Bowling

UnknownTEST34531636622.826.4HIGH
UnknownT2014421448.953.5LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST171993959.050.45.673.2HIGH

Bowling

old_ballTEST31471499602.925.0HIGH
new_ballTEST30613722.768.5MEDIUM
middleT2011416438.654.7LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINTEST1313622513.660.46.269.3MEDIUM
PACETEST12871816.748.16.174.0MEDIUM

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.