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JCT Boyle betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS642734644826.342.44.976.7HIGH
overallT204397982023.9119.413.835.0HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS526266123.022.2HIGH
overallT20121819.018.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JCT Boyle scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    522 runs off 1464 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.7 vs 42.4 overall, average 37.3 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    690 runs off 1288 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.6 vs 42.4 overall, average 34.5 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington (T20)HIGH sample

    443 runs off 332 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 133.4 vs 119.4 overall, average 44.3 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Venue: Fitzherbert Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    288 runs off 616 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.8 vs 42.4 overall, average 48.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    332 runs off 570 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.2 vs 42.4 overall, average 83.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval, Nelson (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    152 runs off 464 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.8 vs 42.4 overall, average 38.0 vs 26.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    408 runs off 1126 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.2 vs 42.4 overall, average 17.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    172 runs off 612 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 28.1 vs 42.4 overall, average 17.2 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    156 runs off 482 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.4 vs 42.4 overall, average 26.0 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    162 runs off 466 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.8 vs 42.4 overall, average 13.5 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    68 runs off 216 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 31.5 vs 42.4 overall, average 6.8 vs 26.3 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (T20)MEDIUM sample

    214 runs off 195 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 109.7 vs 119.4 overall, average 21.4 vs 23.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS8522146437.335.74.480.9HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS10574136031.942.24.977.4HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS12690128834.553.65.969.9HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS16408112617.036.24.380.5HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1247299426.247.55.473.0HIGH
WellingtonT201044333244.3133.415.728.9HIGH
AucklandT20831423652.3133.116.528.4MEDIUM
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS6682166.831.52.882.4MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20876859.589.48.249.4LOW
OtagoT20750787.164.12.650.0LOW
Central DistrictsT206866814.3126.519.142.6LOW

Bowling

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS2529622.348.0MEDIUM
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1427483.19.3LOW
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS605005.0—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS428861648.046.85.273.7HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS817261217.228.13.384.3HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS624258230.341.63.871.5HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS233257083.058.26.064.9HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS415648226.032.44.683.0HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS816246613.534.82.681.1HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS215246438.032.84.382.8HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS218643046.543.35.178.6HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS418037422.548.15.973.3HIGH
Queen's ParkFIRST_CLASS212435231.035.25.181.3HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS416024620.065.06.565.0MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS29421023.544.86.781.9MEDIUM
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS29419823.547.55.175.8MEDIUM
Hagley OvalT201021419521.4109.710.332.3MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS27218636.038.76.584.9MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS25416427.032.93.780.5MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS26015830.038.03.878.5MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS27814619.553.45.572.6MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20421013852.5152.220.326.8MEDIUM
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS28812422.071.09.764.5MEDIUM
McLean Park, NapierT2041228940.7137.121.338.2LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT202836041.5138.316.733.3LOW
Basin ReserveT202605630.0107.18.932.1LOW
Eden Park Outer OvalT2016952—132.715.421.2LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS234508.568.012.068.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT204404210.095.211.950.0LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT202433221.5134.415.628.1LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT202333216.5103.19.440.6LOW
McLean ParkT202363218.0112.515.643.8LOW

Bowling

Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS1928422.642.0MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS1427483.19.3LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS601201.2—LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS485006.3—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS622656630226.642.14.976.8HIGH
UnknownT203269657322.5121.514.837.2HIGH
New ZealandT201128324728.3114.611.330.0MEDIUM
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS27814619.553.45.572.6MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS526266123.022.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS541874406629.346.15.474.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS60860238221.536.13.980.7HIGH
powerplayT203747739826.5119.816.841.7HIGH
middleT202545038920.5115.710.329.6HIGH
deathT203523352.0157.618.218.2LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS466252123.221.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS601401.4—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS641596394024.940.54.477.9HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS48850176232.748.25.872.9HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2628874620.638.65.179.6HIGH
PACET204153743329.8124.016.438.3HIGH
SPINT202732229421.5109.59.231.0MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20161209315.0129.016.132.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.