JD McKay betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 58 | 326 | 1276 | 8.2 | 25.5 | 3.4 | 86.4 | HIGH |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 9450 | 6438 | 160 | 4.1 | 40.2 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where JD McKay scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
80 runs off 232 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.5 vs 25.5 overall, average 20.0 vs 8.2 overall.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
72 runs off 178 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.4 vs 25.5 overall, average 12.0 vs 8.2 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
68 runs off 168 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.5 vs 25.5 overall, average 17.0 vs 8.2 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
68 runs off 186 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.6 vs 25.5 overall, average 11.3 vs 8.2 overall.
- Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
50 runs off 98 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.0 vs 25.5 overall, average 12.5 vs 8.2 overall.
- Venue: Molyneux Park, Alexandra (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
40 runs off 88 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.5 vs 25.5 overall, average 10.0 vs 8.2 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
82 runs off 470 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 17.4 vs 25.5 overall, average 4.1 vs 8.2 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
24 runs off 228 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 10.5 vs 25.5 overall, average 4.0 vs 8.2 overall.
- Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
44 runs off 288 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 15.3 vs 25.5 overall, average 7.3 vs 8.2 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
14 runs off 96 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 14.6 vs 25.5 overall, average 7.0 vs 8.2 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
8 runs off 88 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 9.1 vs 25.5 overall, average 4.0 vs 8.2 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 82 | 470 | 4.1 | 17.4 | 2.1 | 89.8 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 80 | 232 | 20.0 | 34.5 | 2.6 | 79.3 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 24 | 228 | 4.0 | 10.5 | 0.9 | 92.1 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 72 | 178 | 12.0 | 40.4 | 7.9 | 84.3 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 68 | 168 | 17.0 | 40.5 | 7.1 | 81.0 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 2186 | 1598 | 30 | 4.4 | 53.3 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 2000 | 1404 | 54 | 4.2 | 26.0 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 1978 | 1232 | 24 | 3.7 | 51.3 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 1918 | 1304 | 32 | 4.1 | 40.8 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 1368 | 900 | 20 | 3.9 | 45.0 | HIGH |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 44 | 288 | 7.3 | 15.3 | 0.7 | 87.5 | MEDIUM |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 46 | 198 | 11.5 | 23.2 | 3.0 | 88.9 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 36 | 192 | 6.0 | 18.8 | 3.1 | 92.7 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 50 | 98 | 12.5 | 51.0 | 10.2 | 77.6 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 14 | 96 | 7.0 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 85.4 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 8 | 88 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 88.6 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 40 | 88 | 10.0 | 45.5 | 4.5 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 12 | 50 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 92.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 4 | 50 | — | 8.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | LOW |
| Mainpower Oval, Rangiora | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 44 | 50 | 22.0 | 88.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 3010 | 2044 | 56 | 4.1 | 36.5 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 1498 | 1024 | 24 | 4.1 | 42.7 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 742 | 546 | 10 | 4.4 | 54.6 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 732 | 464 | 12 | 3.8 | 38.7 | HIGH |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 630 | 524 | 16 | 5.0 | 32.8 | HIGH |
| Mainpower Oval, Rangiora | FIRST_CLASS | 420 | 310 | 8 | 4.4 | 38.8 | HIGH |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 396 | 346 | 6 | 5.2 | 57.7 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 394 | 264 | 4 | 4.0 | 66.0 | HIGH |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 368 | 160 | 4 | 2.6 | 40.0 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 300 | 184 | 4 | 3.7 | 46.0 | MEDIUM |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 264 | 166 | 2 | 3.8 | 83.0 | MEDIUM |
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 228 | 118 | 6 | 3.1 | 19.7 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 168 | 102 | 4 | 3.6 | 25.5 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 168 | 104 | 0 | 3.7 | — | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 132 | 82 | 4 | 3.7 | 20.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 56 | 322 | 1226 | 8.1 | 26.3 | 3.6 | 86.0 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 4 | 50 | — | 8.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 9056 | 6174 | 156 | 4.1 | 39.6 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 394 | 264 | 4 | 4.0 | 66.0 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 56 | 258 | 1090 | 7.6 | 23.7 | 3.3 | 87.3 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 68 | 186 | 11.3 | 36.6 | 4.3 | 80.6 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 8874 | 6050 | 144 | 4.1 | 42.0 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 576 | 388 | 16 | 4.0 | 24.3 | HIGH |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 152 | 630 | 10.9 | 24.1 | 3.5 | 88.3 | HIGH |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 44 | 148 | 542 | 6.2 | 27.3 | 3.3 | 84.1 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 26 | 104 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 3.8 | 86.5 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.