Cricket betting

JF Carter betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	94	6502	12872	43.9	50.5	6.6	74.5	HIGH
overall	T20	47	907	744	23.3	121.9	15.7	37.6	HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where JF Carter scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
2108 runs off 4004 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.6 vs 50.5 overall, average 65.9 vs 43.9 overall.
Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1524 runs off 2862 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 50.5 overall, average 54.4 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
942 runs off 1884 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 50.5 overall, average 94.2 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
862 runs off 1574 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.8 vs 50.5 overall, average 53.9 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
774 runs off 1314 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.9 vs 50.5 overall, average 64.5 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
712 runs off 1232 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.8 vs 50.5 overall, average 71.2 vs 43.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1210 runs off 2634 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.9 vs 50.5 overall, average 28.8 vs 43.9 overall.
Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
758 runs off 1440 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.6 vs 50.5 overall, average 34.5 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
340 runs off 950 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.8 vs 50.5 overall, average 34.0 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
268 runs off 694 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.6 vs 50.5 overall, average 26.8 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
126 runs off 348 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.2 vs 50.5 overall, average 15.8 vs 43.9 overall.
Venue: Cobham Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
132 runs off 346 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.2 vs 50.5 overall, average 66.0 vs 43.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	22	2108	4004	65.9	52.6	6.6	71.9	HIGH
Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	18	1524	2862	54.4	53.2	6.8	73.4	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	24	1210	2634	28.8	45.9	6.4	77.4	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	18	902	1932	37.6	46.7	5.9	76.6	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	12	758	1440	34.5	52.6	7.1	75.8	HIGH
Otago	T20	12	256	195	25.6	131.3	16.4	30.8	MEDIUM
Auckland	T20	7	259	179	51.8	144.7	19.6	31.8	MEDIUM
Canterbury	T20	12	184	176	20.4	104.5	12.5	43.8	MEDIUM
Central Districts	T20	8	107	108	13.4	99.1	12.0	44.4	LOW
Wellington	T20	8	101	86	14.4	117.4	17.4	44.2	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	8	942	1884	94.2	50.0	5.6	73.0	HIGH
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	10	862	1574	53.9	54.8	6.6	71.9	HIGH
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	8	774	1314	64.5	58.9	8.5	71.1	HIGH
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	6	712	1232	71.2	57.8	7.1	68.8	HIGH
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	4	694	1106	115.7	62.7	9.4	71.6	HIGH
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	6	340	950	34.0	35.8	4.8	80.2	HIGH
Bay Oval	FIRST_CLASS	6	268	694	26.8	38.6	4.9	80.4	HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	6	342	558	42.8	61.3	8.6	71.7	HIGH
Saxton Oval, Nelson	FIRST_CLASS	2	220	546	55.0	40.3	4.8	77.3	HIGH
Cobham Oval, Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	198	438	99.0	45.2	3.7	72.1	HIGH
Mainpower Oval, Rangiora	FIRST_CLASS	4	126	348	15.8	36.2	3.4	81.6	HIGH
Cobham Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	132	346	66.0	38.2	4.6	83.8	HIGH
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	6	170	340	21.3	50.0	7.6	78.8	HIGH
McLean Park	FIRST_CLASS	4	152	284	19.0	53.5	8.5	79.6	MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	6	108	268	10.8	40.3	6.0	79.1	MEDIUM
Saxton Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	122	266	30.5	45.9	6.8	78.2	MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	112	252	28.0	44.4	5.6	76.2	MEDIUM
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	4	122	238	15.3	51.3	8.4	79.0	MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	T20	9	235	205	29.4	114.6	12.7	39.0	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	4	66	188	11.0	35.1	5.3	85.1	MEDIUM
Seddon Park, Hamilton	T20	8	219	165	31.3	132.7	20.0	36.4	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	T20	6	113	98	28.3	115.3	14.3	40.8	LOW
University Oval, Dunedin	T20	3	109	66	54.5	165.2	22.7	19.7	LOW
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	FIRST_CLASS	2	40	46	20.0	87.0	8.7	47.8	LOW
Pukekura Park, New Plymouth	T20	2	42	36	21.0	116.7	13.9	36.1	LOW
Seddon Park	T20	1	55	32	55.0	171.9	18.8	12.5	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	94	6502	12872	43.9	50.5	6.6	74.5	HIGH
Unknown	T20	44	888	722	24.0	123.0	16.2	38.0	HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	92	6016	11790	43.6	51.0	6.6	74.1	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	56	486	1082	48.6	44.9	5.9	78.7	HIGH
middle	T20	31	518	429	24.7	120.7	14.2	36.4	HIGH
powerplay	T20	32	244	233	18.8	104.7	15.5	45.9	MEDIUM
death	T20	12	145	82	29.0	176.8	24.4	20.7	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	94	2800	5948	46.7	47.1	6.6	77.2	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	80	2948	5434	42.1	54.3	6.6	71.5	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	50	754	1490	41.9	50.6	6.6	74.4	HIGH
SPIN	T20	36	439	365	24.4	120.3	13.7	35.3	HIGH
PACE	T20	42	329	296	21.9	111.1	15.2	42.2	MEDIUM
UNKNOWN	T20	16	139	83	23.2	167.5	26.5	31.3	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.