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JL Curtis betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS341288275023.946.86.277.7HIGH
overallLIST_A943840948.7107.114.249.6HIGH
overallT201121.050.00.050.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JL Curtis scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    584 runs off 1098 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 46.8 overall, average 41.7 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    430 runs off 760 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.6 vs 46.8 overall, average 16.5 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    580 runs off 1074 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.0 vs 46.8 overall, average 96.7 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    288 runs off 246 balls in 9 LIST A matches — strike rate 117.1 vs 107.1 overall, average 57.6 vs 48.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)LOW sample

    97 runs off 80 balls in 2 LIST A matches — strike rate 121.2 vs 107.1 overall, average 48.5 vs 48.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    634 runs off 1488 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.6 vs 46.8 overall, average 15.1 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    92 runs off 284 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.4 vs 46.8 overall, average 23.0 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    74 runs off 188 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.4 vs 46.8 overall, average 12.3 vs 23.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    238 runs off 212 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 112.3 vs 107.1 overall, average 34.0 vs 48.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (LIST A)LOW sample

    48 runs off 65 balls in 6 LIST A matches — strike rate 73.8 vs 107.1 overall, average 16.0 vs 48.7 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

VictoriaFIRST_CLASS8584109841.753.27.774.1HIGH
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS829070020.741.45.482.3HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS619247019.240.94.779.1HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS821646618.046.45.677.7HIGH
VictoriaLIST_A215914679.5108.913.747.3MEDIUM
QueenslandLIST_A212111860.5102.513.650.8LOW
TasmaniaLIST_A2978048.5121.216.343.8LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A2464723.097.914.955.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS1443076016.556.67.173.9HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS2310620155.050.07.775.5HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS415437425.741.24.878.6HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS29228423.032.44.285.2MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS410826227.041.24.679.4MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS29824424.540.26.684.4MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS29019022.547.45.375.8MEDIUM
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A418317145.8107.014.051.5MEDIUM
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A1116108116.0107.414.850.9LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A1686468.0106.314.145.3LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A1443344.0133.321.239.4LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS341288275023.946.86.277.7HIGH
UnknownLIST_A943840948.7107.114.249.6HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS321170249024.447.06.378.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1411826019.745.45.474.6MEDIUM
middleLIST_A723821234.0112.313.242.5MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A8200197100.0101.515.257.4MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS30634148815.142.66.080.4HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS24580107496.754.06.973.6HIGH
PACELIST_A928824657.6117.117.552.0MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS127418812.339.43.279.8MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A510298102.0104.111.238.8LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A6486516.073.86.256.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.