JL Smith betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 124 | 7448 | 12646 | 42.3 | 58.9 | 8.7 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 24 | 1480 | 2014 | 40.0 | 73.5 | 9.7 | 64.8 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 61 | 1249 | 893 | 25.0 | 139.9 | 17.0 | 30.8 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 11 | 391 | 476 | 43.4 | 82.1 | 9.9 | 55.5 | HIGH |
| overall | HUNDRED | 26 | 608 | 382 | 23.4 | 159.2 | 22.5 | 30.9 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 14 | 365 | 309 | 26.1 | 118.1 | 18.4 | 50.5 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where JL Smith scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Warwickshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
974 runs off 1540 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.2 vs 58.9 overall, average 60.9 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Gloucestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
566 runs off 1092 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.8 vs 58.9 overall, average 94.3 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
756 runs off 998 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.8 vs 58.9 overall, average 94.5 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Kent (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
574 runs off 658 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 87.2 vs 58.9 overall, average 31.9 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: India (TEST)HIGH sample
434 runs off 542 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 80.1 vs 73.5 overall, average 62.0 vs 40.0 overall.
- Opposition: Worcestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
316 runs off 502 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.9 vs 58.9 overall, average 52.7 vs 42.3 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Hampshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
654 runs off 1176 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.6 vs 58.9 overall, average 27.3 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Northamptonshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
294 runs off 648 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.4 vs 58.9 overall, average 49.0 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Yorkshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
254 runs off 596 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.6 vs 58.9 overall, average 21.2 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Nottinghamshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
276 runs off 590 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.8 vs 58.9 overall, average 23.0 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Lancashire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
286 runs off 508 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.3 vs 58.9 overall, average 23.8 vs 42.3 overall.
- Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)HIGH sample
243 runs off 364 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 66.8 vs 73.5 overall, average 30.4 vs 40.0 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Warwickshire | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 974 | 1540 | 60.9 | 63.2 | 8.8 | 68.8 | HIGH |
| Essex | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 740 | 1388 | 41.1 | 53.3 | 8.5 | 76.8 | HIGH |
| Middlesex | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 772 | 1376 | 48.3 | 56.1 | 8.7 | 75.4 | HIGH |
| Hampshire | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 654 | 1176 | 27.3 | 55.6 | 8.5 | 72.4 | HIGH |
| Gloucestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 566 | 1092 | 94.3 | 51.8 | 7.7 | 74.2 | HIGH |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 756 | 998 | 94.5 | 75.8 | 10.8 | 62.5 | HIGH |
| Somerset | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 628 | 962 | 44.9 | 65.3 | 9.6 | 71.9 | HIGH |
| Kent | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 574 | 658 | 31.9 | 87.2 | 14.6 | 67.5 | HIGH |
| Northamptonshire | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 294 | 648 | 49.0 | 45.4 | 5.9 | 76.9 | HIGH |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 254 | 596 | 21.2 | 42.6 | 5.0 | 76.8 | HIGH |
| Nottinghamshire | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 276 | 590 | 23.0 | 46.8 | 5.4 | 74.9 | HIGH |
| India | TEST | 5 | 434 | 542 | 62.0 | 80.1 | 10.7 | 60.9 | HIGH |
| Lancashire | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 286 | 508 | 23.8 | 56.3 | 7.9 | 72.8 | HIGH |
| Worcestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 316 | 502 | 52.7 | 62.9 | 11.2 | 74.5 | HIGH |
| Glamorgan | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 276 | 472 | 138.0 | 58.5 | 7.2 | 71.6 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | TEST | 3 | 280 | 368 | 46.7 | 76.1 | 9.2 | 62.8 | HIGH |
| Pakistan | TEST | 5 | 243 | 364 | 30.4 | 66.8 | 8.2 | 67.6 | HIGH |
| West Indies | TEST | 3 | 207 | 288 | 51.8 | 71.9 | 9.4 | 64.9 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | TEST | 5 | 211 | 287 | 26.4 | 73.5 | 10.8 | 68.3 | MEDIUM |
| New Zealand | TEST | 2 | 101 | 161 | 25.3 | 62.7 | 9.3 | 70.2 | MEDIUM |
| Australia | ODI | 6 | 139 | 144 | 23.2 | 96.5 | 11.8 | 52.8 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 82 | 140 | 13.7 | 58.6 | 10.0 | 77.1 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | T20 | 7 | 169 | 119 | 24.1 | 142.0 | 12.6 | 19.3 | LOW |
| Hampshire | T20 | 5 | 153 | 110 | 38.3 | 139.1 | 18.2 | 30.0 | LOW |
| Durham | LIST_A | 1 | 85 | 107 | 85.0 | 79.4 | 9.3 | 53.3 | LOW |
| South Africa | ODI | 4 | 116 | 100 | 29.0 | 116.0 | 20.0 | 52.0 | LOW |
| Gloucestershire | LIST_A | 1 | 69 | 98 | — | 70.4 | 7.1 | 54.1 | LOW |
| Gloucestershire | T20 | 4 | 110 | 90 | 27.5 | 122.2 | 13.3 | 26.7 | LOW |
| Somerset | T20 | 9 | 133 | 89 | 16.6 | 149.4 | 21.3 | 36.0 | LOW |
| Glamorgan | T20 | 3 | 131 | 85 | 65.5 | 154.1 | 18.8 | 32.9 | LOW |
| Middlesex | T20 | 6 | 95 | 80 | 31.7 | 118.8 | 13.8 | 31.3 | LOW |
| Trent Rockets | HUNDRED | 4 | 116 | 75 | 29.0 | 154.7 | 18.7 | 29.3 | LOW |
| Essex | T20 | 4 | 80 | 67 | 20.0 | 119.4 | 13.4 | 29.9 | LOW |
| Kent | T20 | 6 | 87 | 63 | 29.0 | 138.1 | 12.7 | 28.6 | LOW |
| Warwickshire | LIST_A | 1 | 45 | 58 | — | 77.6 | 8.6 | 58.6 | LOW |
| West Indies | ODI | 3 | 101 | 55 | 33.7 | 183.6 | 36.4 | 45.5 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | LIST_A | 1 | 25 | 54 | 25.0 | 46.3 | 7.4 | 77.8 | LOW |
| London Spirit | HUNDRED | 2 | 88 | 52 | 44.0 | 169.2 | 26.9 | 34.6 | LOW |
| MI Emirates | T20 | 3 | 70 | 50 | 35.0 | 140.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 3 | 102 | 50 | 34.0 | 204.0 | 30.0 | 26.0 | LOW |
| Oval Invincibles | HUNDRED | 2 | 88 | 48 | 44.0 | 183.3 | 29.2 | 22.9 | LOW |
| Leicestershire | LIST_A | 1 | 34 | 44 | 34.0 | 77.3 | 9.1 | 54.5 | LOW |
| Somerset | LIST_A | 1 | 40 | 41 | 40.0 | 97.6 | 12.2 | 46.3 | LOW |
| Welsh Fire | HUNDRED | 5 | 53 | 38 | 10.6 | 139.5 | 21.1 | 34.2 | LOW |
| Southern Brave | HUNDRED | 3 | 57 | 34 | 19.0 | 167.6 | 26.5 | 35.3 | LOW |
| Northern Superchargers | HUNDRED | 2 | 54 | 33 | 27.0 | 163.6 | 21.2 | 24.2 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Kennington Oval, London | FIRST_CLASS | 60 | 3812 | 5726 | 45.4 | 66.6 | 9.9 | 69.4 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Bristol | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 562 | 1076 | 140.5 | 52.2 | 7.8 | 74.0 | HIGH |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 478 | 922 | 59.8 | 51.8 | 7.2 | 73.8 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Chelmsford | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 390 | 878 | 32.5 | 44.4 | 7.3 | 81.8 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 294 | 648 | 49.0 | 45.4 | 5.9 | 76.9 | HIGH |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 272 | 564 | 45.3 | 48.2 | 5.7 | 74.1 | HIGH |
| Lord's, London | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 338 | 532 | 42.3 | 63.5 | 8.3 | 67.7 | HIGH |
| Lord's, London | TEST | 5 | 284 | 428 | 31.6 | 66.4 | 9.3 | 67.5 | HIGH |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | TEST | 2 | 367 | 413 | 183.5 | 88.9 | 12.3 | 58.4 | HIGH |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 182 | 362 | 22.8 | 50.3 | 6.1 | 74.0 | HIGH |
| North Marine Road Ground, Scarborough | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 134 | 346 | 22.3 | 38.7 | 4.6 | 78.0 | HIGH |
| St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 356 | 278 | 59.3 | 128.1 | 22.3 | 52.5 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, New Road, Worcester | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 172 | 276 | 86.0 | 62.3 | 11.6 | 77.5 | MEDIUM |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 96 | 268 | 9.6 | 35.8 | 5.2 | 84.3 | MEDIUM |
| The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 162 | 262 | 27.0 | 61.8 | 12.2 | 77.1 | MEDIUM |
| Arundel Castle Cricket Club Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 80 | 254 | 40.0 | 31.5 | 4.7 | 84.3 | MEDIUM |
| Woodbridge Road, Guildford | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 112 | 234 | 56.0 | 47.9 | 5.1 | 74.4 | MEDIUM |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | TEST | 2 | 159 | 215 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 7.0 | 60.5 | MEDIUM |
| Kennington Oval, London | LIST_A | 5 | 150 | 199 | 50.0 | 75.4 | 8.0 | 55.3 | MEDIUM |
| Kennington Oval, London | T20 | 16 | 289 | 194 | 20.6 | 149.0 | 19.6 | 32.5 | MEDIUM |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | TEST | 3 | 107 | 168 | 26.8 | 63.7 | 8.3 | 71.4 | MEDIUM |
| Headingley, Leeds | TEST | 2 | 109 | 156 | 54.5 | 69.9 | 9.0 | 64.1 | MEDIUM |
| Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium | TEST | 1 | 92 | 135 | 46.0 | 68.1 | 8.1 | 71.9 | MEDIUM |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | T20 | 5 | 204 | 124 | 51.0 | 164.5 | 22.6 | 25.8 | MEDIUM |
| Kennington Oval, London | TEST | 2 | 93 | 123 | 23.3 | 75.6 | 11.4 | 63.4 | MEDIUM |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | TEST | 1 | 72 | 116 | 72.0 | 62.1 | 8.6 | 69.0 | LOW |
| Headingley, Leeds | ODI | 2 | 103 | 108 | 51.5 | 95.4 | 16.7 | 58.3 | LOW |
| Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street | LIST_A | 1 | 85 | 107 | 85.0 | 79.4 | 9.3 | 53.3 | LOW |
| Adelaide Oval | TEST | 1 | 82 | 107 | 41.0 | 76.6 | 12.1 | 71.0 | LOW |
| Lord's, London | HUNDRED | 4 | 173 | 101 | 43.3 | 171.3 | 23.8 | 28.7 | LOW |
| Kennington Oval | T20 | 4 | 89 | 90 | 44.5 | 98.9 | 6.7 | 22.2 | LOW |
| Multan Cricket Stadium | TEST | 2 | 58 | 89 | 19.3 | 65.2 | 6.7 | 61.8 | LOW |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | HUNDRED | 6 | 137 | 84 | 22.8 | 163.1 | 23.8 | 29.8 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 7 | 100 | 84 | 20.0 | 119.0 | 16.7 | 42.9 | LOW |
| County Ground, Hove | T20 | 4 | 116 | 77 | 29.0 | 150.6 | 14.3 | 22.1 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | HUNDRED | 5 | 86 | 65 | 17.2 | 132.3 | 16.9 | 33.8 | LOW |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | T20 | 2 | 96 | 61 | 48.0 | 157.4 | 19.7 | 37.7 | LOW |
| North Marine Road Ground, Scarborough | LIST_A | 1 | 25 | 54 | 25.0 | 46.3 | 7.4 | 77.8 | LOW |
| The Rose Bowl, Southampton | ODI | 1 | 62 | 48 | 62.0 | 129.2 | 20.8 | 47.9 | LOW |
| College Ground, Cheltenham | T20 | 1 | 60 | 46 | 60.0 | 130.4 | 17.4 | 26.1 | LOW |
| Perth Stadium | TEST | 1 | 48 | 46 | 24.0 | 104.3 | 15.2 | 54.3 | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | LIST_A | 1 | 34 | 44 | 34.0 | 77.3 | 9.1 | 54.5 | LOW |
| The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton | LIST_A | 1 | 40 | 41 | 40.0 | 97.6 | 12.2 | 46.3 | LOW |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | HUNDRED | 2 | 64 | 40 | 32.0 | 160.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | T20 | 2 | 33 | 38 | 16.5 | 86.8 | 2.6 | 28.9 | LOW |
| St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury | T20 | 2 | 58 | 37 | 58.0 | 156.8 | 16.2 | 27.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 124 | 7448 | 12646 | 42.3 | 58.9 | 8.7 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 23 | 1388 | 1879 | 39.7 | 73.9 | 9.8 | 64.3 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 53 | 1117 | 779 | 25.4 | 143.4 | 17.8 | 31.3 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 11 | 391 | 476 | 43.4 | 82.1 | 9.9 | 55.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | HUNDRED | 26 | 608 | 382 | 23.4 | 159.2 | 22.5 | 30.9 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 14 | 365 | 309 | 26.1 | 118.1 | 18.4 | 50.5 | HIGH |
| Pakistan | TEST | 1 | 92 | 135 | 46.0 | 68.1 | 8.1 | 71.9 | MEDIUM |
| United Kingdom | T20 | 5 | 89 | 91 | 29.7 | 97.8 | 6.6 | 23.1 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 124 | 6656 | 11338 | 42.1 | 58.7 | 8.7 | 72.6 | HIGH |
| old_ball | TEST | 24 | 1365 | 1889 | 40.1 | 72.3 | 9.5 | 65.2 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 54 | 792 | 1308 | 44.0 | 60.6 | 8.6 | 71.7 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 10 | 370 | 449 | 52.9 | 82.4 | 9.8 | 55.2 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 37 | 621 | 449 | 25.9 | 138.3 | 13.8 | 26.7 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 33 | 434 | 324 | 27.1 | 134.0 | 20.1 | 39.8 | HIGH |
| powerplay | HUNDRED | 22 | 334 | 209 | 37.1 | 159.8 | 24.4 | 36.8 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 8 | 184 | 183 | 23.0 | 100.5 | 10.9 | 47.0 | MEDIUM |
| middle | HUNDRED | 17 | 253 | 161 | 16.9 | 157.1 | 19.3 | 23.0 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | ODI | 9 | 181 | 126 | 30.2 | 143.7 | 29.4 | 55.6 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | TEST | 6 | 115 | 125 | 38.3 | 92.0 | 13.6 | 59.2 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 21 | 194 | 120 | 19.4 | 161.7 | 20.8 | 21.7 | MEDIUM |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 124 | 4968 | 8156 | 40.7 | 60.9 | 9.7 | 73.3 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 90 | 2368 | 4236 | 49.3 | 55.9 | 6.9 | 70.5 | HIGH |
| PACE | TEST | 22 | 874 | 1147 | 33.6 | 76.2 | 10.6 | 64.3 | HIGH |
| SPIN | TEST | 16 | 454 | 654 | 45.4 | 69.4 | 8.4 | 66.5 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 54 | 699 | 475 | 22.5 | 147.2 | 20.2 | 33.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | T20 | 45 | 449 | 347 | 29.9 | 129.4 | 13.0 | 27.4 | HIGH |
| PACE | LIST_A | 11 | 196 | 264 | 49.0 | 74.2 | 10.2 | 62.9 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 112 | 254 | 18.7 | 44.1 | 7.1 | 81.1 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | HUNDRED | 26 | 401 | 251 | 21.1 | 159.8 | 24.3 | 34.3 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | TEST | 12 | 152 | 213 | 152.0 | 71.4 | 8.9 | 62.4 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | ODI | 12 | 217 | 186 | 27.1 | 116.7 | 19.9 | 54.8 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 9 | 161 | 185 | 40.3 | 87.0 | 8.6 | 48.6 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | HUNDRED | 17 | 189 | 118 | 27.0 | 160.2 | 19.5 | 22.9 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 14 | 101 | 71 | 25.3 | 142.3 | 15.5 | 26.8 | LOW |
| SPIN | ODI | 8 | 87 | 68 | 14.5 | 127.9 | 14.7 | 36.8 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 5 | 61 | 55 | — | 110.9 | 18.2 | 52.7 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.