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JM Gibson betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS321080191622.556.47.271.9HIGH
overallT202845531719.8143.516.430.9HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS37282322483.748.4HIGH
overallT20396562188.531.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where JM Gibson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    396 runs off 652 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.7 vs 56.4 overall, average 33.0 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    326 runs off 404 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.7 vs 56.4 overall, average 54.3 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    382 runs off 492 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 77.6 vs 56.4 overall, average 31.8 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (T20)MEDIUM sample

    190 runs off 126 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 150.8 vs 143.5 overall, average 47.5 vs 19.8 overall.

  • Venue: Fitzherbert Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    138 runs off 204 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.6 vs 56.4 overall, average 34.5 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    160 runs off 278 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.6 vs 56.4 overall, average 40.0 vs 22.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    126 runs off 390 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.3 vs 56.4 overall, average 9.0 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    172 runs off 364 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.3 vs 56.4 overall, average 17.2 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    118 runs off 340 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.7 vs 56.4 overall, average 14.8 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    84 runs off 182 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.2 vs 56.4 overall, average 21.0 vs 22.5 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    173 runs off 133 balls in 17 T20 matches — strike rate 130.1 vs 143.5 overall, average 19.2 vs 19.8 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    80 runs off 246 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.5 vs 56.4 overall, average 8.0 vs 22.5 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS839665233.060.77.169.9HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS632640454.380.711.461.4HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS81263909.032.34.183.6HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS617236417.247.36.074.7HIGH
CanterburyT20519012647.5150.816.726.2MEDIUM
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS46010610.056.67.571.7LOW
Northern DistrictsT205865821.5148.315.529.3LOW
Central DistrictsT20759478.4125.514.936.2LOW
AucklandT20745447.5102.39.140.9LOW
WellingtonT204754237.5178.626.231.0LOW

Bowling

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS1082694203.834.7HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1032612143.643.7HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS82854283.967.8HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS43218642.646.5HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS35428824.9144.0MEDIUM
AucklandT2010814337.947.7LOW
Central DistrictsT2010816068.926.7LOW
WellingtonT207810047.725.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT207010949.327.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS838249231.877.69.860.6HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS411834014.834.74.783.5HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS212424462.050.85.774.6MEDIUM
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS213820434.567.68.866.7MEDIUM
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS210019425.051.56.272.2MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS28418221.046.26.678.0MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinT20716610641.5156.615.126.4LOW
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS2709435.074.510.668.1LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT201966396.0152.420.631.7LOW
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS2446011.073.310.066.7LOW
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS216468.034.84.378.3LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT202573257.0178.128.131.3LOW

Bowling

University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS860550123.845.8HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS624452124.337.7HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS57638684.048.3HIGH
Molyneux ParkFIRST_CLASS31211242.228.0MEDIUM
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS30014823.074.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS28818643.946.5MEDIUM
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS25214063.323.3MEDIUM
Molyneux Park, AlexandraFIRST_CLASS22816604.4—MEDIUM
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS15610003.8—MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS1207403.7—LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2010817949.944.8LOW
McLean Park, NapierT20668848.022.0LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT20628548.221.3LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20547308.1—LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20364627.723.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS28962157624.161.07.769.4HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS411834014.834.74.783.5HIGH
UnknownT202845531719.8143.516.430.9HIGH

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS31521936403.748.4HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS57638684.048.3HIGH
UnknownT20396562188.531.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS281000167026.359.97.870.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS16802468.032.53.382.1MEDIUM
middleT201415412325.7125.210.628.5MEDIUM
deathT201615510214.1152.016.724.5LOW
powerplayT20111469224.3158.723.941.3LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS31641904403.647.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS56441884.452.3HIGH
middleT2024432077.945.7MEDIUM
deathT20116193910.021.4LOW
powerplayT20364928.224.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS32578102818.156.27.872.8HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS2434261028.556.15.969.8HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS1616027840.057.67.973.4MEDIUM
PACET202322914422.9159.021.531.3MEDIUM
SPINT201717313319.2130.19.830.1MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT209534013.3132.520.032.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.