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JM Kerr betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT207197779120.4123.514.832.6HIGH
overallODI2827626013.1106.213.144.2MEDIUM
overallT20229723301106.121.2HIGH
overallODI17421206504.224.1HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where JM Kerr scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: death (T20)HIGH sample

    463 runs off 322 balls in 51 T20 matches — strike rate 143.8 vs 123.5 overall, average 16.5 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (T20)MEDIUM sample

    212 runs off 152 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 139.5 vs 123.5 overall, average 30.3 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Phase: death (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    192 runs off 168 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 114.3 vs 106.2 overall, average 11.3 vs 13.1 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (T20)LOW sample

    90 runs off 64 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 140.6 vs 123.5 overall, average 22.5 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)LOW sample

    102 runs off 73 balls in 17 T20 matches — strike rate 139.7 vs 123.5 overall, average 25.5 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)LOW sample

    108 runs off 72 balls in 16 ODI matches — strike rate 150.0 vs 106.2 overall, average 15.4 vs 13.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample

    479 runs off 424 balls in 34 T20 matches — strike rate 113.0 vs 123.5 overall, average 26.6 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    139 runs off 165 balls in 24 ODI matches — strike rate 84.2 vs 106.2 overall, average 11.6 vs 13.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Auckland (T20)LOW sample

    132 runs off 119 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 110.9 vs 123.5 overall, average 26.4 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Opposition: England (T20)LOW sample

    100 runs off 91 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 109.9 vs 123.5 overall, average 14.3 vs 20.4 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)LOW sample

    84 runs off 92 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 91.3 vs 106.2 overall, average 21.0 vs 13.1 overall.

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
3.3 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 12 · plays 97% · 7 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Northern DistrictsT201021215230.3139.517.830.3MEDIUM
OtagoT201118314520.3126.213.831.0MEDIUM
AucklandT20913211926.4110.914.340.3LOW
Central DistrictsT20813010421.7125.014.430.8LOW
CanterburyT2081189216.9128.318.532.6LOW
EnglandT20101009114.3109.913.235.2LOW
EnglandODI9888912.698.914.648.3LOW
Sri LankaODI2444722.093.66.442.6LOW
West IndiesODI2323916.082.17.753.8LOW

Bowling

EnglandODI555403154.426.9HIGH
AucklandT20312297185.716.5MEDIUM
OtagoT20294264175.415.5MEDIUM
CanterburyT20282244155.216.3MEDIUM
IndiaODI277230135.017.7MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT20276251175.514.8MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20264276116.325.1MEDIUM
EnglandT2022830838.1102.7MEDIUM
AustraliaODI18613724.468.5MEDIUM
South AfricaT20162186106.918.6MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI1606642.516.5MEDIUM
West IndiesODI15610173.914.4MEDIUM
BangladeshODI1386752.913.4LOW
South AfricaODI13810524.652.5LOW
PakistanODI1329724.448.5LOW
AustraliaT2010816729.383.5LOW
Sri LankaT20727856.515.6LOW
ZimbabweT20634354.18.6LOW
West IndiesT20603553.57.0LOW
BangladeshT20483304.1—LOW
PakistanT20446008.2—LOW
IndiaT20423324.716.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Basin Reserve, WellingtonT202237731322.2120.414.733.5HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT206906422.5140.617.228.1LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT202754975.0153.120.426.5LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT204414813.785.46.339.6LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonODI2444722.093.66.442.6LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT202604730.0127.712.827.7LOW
University Oval, DunedinT204614430.5138.618.234.1LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT204513851.0134.215.821.1LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI3483416.0141.220.641.2LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT204423214.0131.321.934.4LOW
University OvalODI1283028.093.310.050.0LOW

Bowling

Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20552509365.514.1HIGH
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI20115264.525.3MEDIUM
Basin ReserveT2019820866.334.7MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT2019819165.831.8MEDIUM
John Davies Oval, QueenstownODI17212884.516.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI16810563.817.5MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI15011634.638.7MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonT2012912595.813.9LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonODI1204532.315.0LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT201209554.819.0LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI1119855.319.6LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2010410636.135.3LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI965853.611.6LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20969856.119.6LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT20909246.123.0LOW
McLean Park, NapierODI884122.820.5LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterODI876504.5—LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI846114.461.0LOW
University OvalODI845033.616.7LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT20789026.945.0LOW
County Ground, DerbyODI604704.7—LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI603623.618.0LOW
Senwes Park, PotchefstroomODI604724.723.5LOW
Boland Park, PaarlT20606326.331.5LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT20607927.939.5LOW
County Ground, BristolODI574234.414.0LOW
Bay OvalODI483013.830.0LOW
Eden Park Outer OvalT20485436.818.0LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthT20484345.410.8LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20483434.311.3LOW
Sky Stadium, WellingtonT20485937.419.7LOW
City Oval, PietermaritzburgODI363505.8—LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaT20361833.06.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT207197779120.4123.514.832.6HIGH
UnknownODI2827626013.1106.213.144.2MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20229723301106.121.2HIGH
UnknownODI17421206504.224.1HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT203447942426.6113.013.436.6HIGH
deathT205146332216.5143.817.124.2HIGH
deathODI2119216811.3114.314.341.1MEDIUM
middleODI12849221.091.310.950.0LOW
powerplayT209354517.577.811.155.6LOW

Bowling

powerplayT2013381246485.626.0HIGH
powerplayODI828583214.227.8HIGH
middleODI655428153.928.5HIGH
deathT20497593457.213.2HIGH
middleT20462491176.428.9HIGH
deathODI259195144.513.9MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT206160750918.4119.313.833.4HIGH
PACET204426820924.4128.216.332.5MEDIUM
SPINODI2413916511.684.29.152.1MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20171027325.5139.717.827.4LOW
PACEODI161087215.4150.020.829.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.