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JP Kotze betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT203056847021.8120.918.548.3HIGH
overallODI1624436316.367.28.064.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where JP Kotze scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Oman (T20)MEDIUM sample

    160 runs off 124 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 129.0 vs 120.9 overall, average 32.0 vs 21.8 overall.

  • Venue: Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) (T20)MEDIUM sample

    160 runs off 124 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 129.0 vs 120.9 overall, average 32.0 vs 21.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    131 runs off 165 balls in 15 ODI matches — strike rate 79.4 vs 67.2 overall, average 16.4 vs 16.3 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    333 runs off 252 balls in 23 T20 matches — strike rate 132.1 vs 120.9 overall, average 33.3 vs 21.8 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    109 runs off 139 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 78.4 vs 67.2 overall, average 27.3 vs 16.3 overall.

  • Opposition: United Arab Emirates (ODI)LOW sample

    104 runs off 116 balls in 2 ODI matches — strike rate 89.7 vs 67.2 overall, average 52.0 vs 16.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    277 runs off 259 balls in 27 T20 matches — strike rate 106.9 vs 120.9 overall, average 23.1 vs 21.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    90 runs off 158 balls in 11 ODI matches — strike rate 57.0 vs 67.2 overall, average 12.9 vs 16.3 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    113 runs off 192 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 58.9 vs 67.2 overall, average 12.6 vs 16.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (T20)LOW sample

    81 runs off 79 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 102.5 vs 120.9 overall, average 20.3 vs 21.8 overall.

  • Venue: Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) (ODI)LOW sample

    39 runs off 73 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 53.4 vs 67.2 overall, average 9.8 vs 16.3 overall.

Current projections

Namibia v Ireland
ODI
15.5 runs
median 7 · 90th percentile 44 · plays 78% · 27 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

OmanT20516012432.0129.020.248.4MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesODI210411652.089.713.861.2LOW
OmanODI4518317.061.44.860.2LOW
UgandaT2051008220.0122.017.143.9LOW
ZimbabweT205817920.3102.513.950.6LOW
CanadaODI1487148.067.67.059.2LOW
United States of AmericaODI417374.345.95.478.4LOW
NetherlandsODI29344.526.50.082.4LOW
United Arab EmiratesT202553327.5166.730.333.3LOW
NepalT202363118.0116.116.141.9LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Wanderers Cricket Ground, WindhoekODI39213830.766.78.061.6MEDIUM
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T20516012432.0129.020.248.4MEDIUM
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekT20512410124.8122.817.844.6LOW
Wanderers Cricket Ground, WindhoekT2071027620.4134.222.443.4LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)ODI439739.853.45.569.9LOW
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekODI3727324.098.615.163.0LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurT204685517.0123.620.050.9LOW
Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, AccraT203465015.392.012.054.0LOW
Forthill, DundeeODI4334011.082.57.547.5LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurODI28394.020.50.082.1LOW
Achimota Senior Secondary School B Field, AccraT202313931.079.57.753.8LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT203056847021.8120.918.548.3HIGH
UnknownODI1624436316.367.28.064.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT202333325233.3132.124.654.0MEDIUM
powerplayODI1311319212.658.97.371.4MEDIUM
middleT201821919016.8115.312.638.9MEDIUM
middleODI510913927.378.410.157.6MEDIUM
deathODI3223211.068.83.150.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET202727725923.1106.917.056.4MEDIUM
PACEODI1513116516.479.410.965.5MEDIUM
SPINODI119015812.957.06.365.8MEDIUM
SPINT202019715621.9126.316.735.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT209945518.8170.930.945.5LOW
UNKNOWNODI52340—57.52.552.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.