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JT Todd betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS221040208024.850.08.178.8HIGH
overallT202037724422.2154.524.638.5MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS965623.528.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JT Todd scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    226 runs off 364 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.1 vs 50.0 overall, average 28.3 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    458 runs off 686 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.8 vs 50.0 overall, average 38.2 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    188 runs off 496 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.9 vs 50.0 overall, average 47.0 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    198 runs off 320 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.9 vs 50.0 overall, average 33.0 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Central Districts (T20)LOW sample

    116 runs off 61 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 190.2 vs 154.5 overall, average 38.7 vs 22.2 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    196 runs off 508 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.6 vs 50.0 overall, average 32.7 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    120 runs off 250 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.0 vs 50.0 overall, average 10.0 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (T20)LOW sample

    119 runs off 95 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 125.3 vs 154.5 overall, average 29.8 vs 22.2 overall.

  • Venue: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui (T20)LOW sample

    107 runs off 81 balls in 2 T20 matches — strike rate 132.1 vs 154.5 overall, average 53.5 vs 22.2 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    20 runs off 74 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.0 vs 50.0 overall, average 5.0 vs 24.8 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS425052631.347.58.081.0HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS419650832.738.67.185.0HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS424843231.057.48.372.7HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS422636428.362.19.373.1HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS612025010.048.08.080.8MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT2041199529.8125.316.838.9LOW
Central DistrictsT2051166138.7190.232.829.5LOW
WellingtonT20434348.5100.014.752.9LOW

Bowling

CanterburyFIRST_CLASS725024.225.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS645868638.266.810.270.6HIGH
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS624453220.345.97.180.5HIGH
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS218849647.037.96.985.1HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS211024427.545.18.283.6MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2021078153.5132.117.337.0LOW
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS220745.027.02.783.8LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT205954723.8202.136.234.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT206564711.2119.117.046.8LOW
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS212363.033.35.683.3LOW

Bowling

Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS725024.225.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS20852158422.453.88.576.9HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS218849647.037.96.985.1HIGH
UnknownT202037724422.2154.524.638.5MEDIUM

Bowling

New ZealandFIRST_CLASS725024.225.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS20962189825.350.78.278.4HIGH
powerplayT201929318422.5159.226.641.8MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS87818219.542.96.683.5MEDIUM
middleT205785226.0150.021.228.8LOW

Bowling

new_ballFIRST_CLASS603023.015.0LOW
old_ballFIRST_CLASS362604.3—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS22520117220.044.47.281.1HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS1832258832.254.88.876.5HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS1019832033.061.910.075.0HIGH
PACET201623014820.9155.425.740.5MEDIUM
SPINT20111177929.3148.121.534.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.