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JW Hartshorn betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS4437883010.545.55.576.1HIGH
overallT20112—50.00.050.0LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS56863140903.334.9HIGH
overallT20138193138.414.8LOW

Why we like it

Splits where JW Hartshorn scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    88 runs off 214 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.1 vs 45.5 overall, average 22.0 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    78 runs off 138 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.5 vs 45.5 overall, average 9.8 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    108 runs off 158 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.4 vs 45.5 overall, average 13.5 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    78 runs off 108 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 72.2 vs 45.5 overall, average 9.8 vs 10.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    62 runs off 170 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.5 vs 45.5 overall, average 5.2 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    48 runs off 142 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 33.8 vs 45.5 overall, average 12.0 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    82 runs off 272 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.1 vs 45.5 overall, average 8.2 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    60 runs off 168 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.7 vs 45.5 overall, average 10.0 vs 10.5 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    22 runs off 82 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 26.8 vs 45.5 overall, not yet dismissed vs 10.5 overall.

  • Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    10 runs off 66 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 15.2 vs 45.5 overall, average 2.5 vs 10.5 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS108821422.041.15.678.5MEDIUM
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS12621705.236.55.983.5MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS84814212.033.82.878.9MEDIUM
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS6781389.856.55.872.5MEDIUM
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS6781089.872.29.364.8LOW
KentFIRST_CLASS22458—41.43.469.0LOW

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1384782183.443.4HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1310674243.128.1HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS998590163.536.9HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS984604203.730.2HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS65031262.952.0HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS36017863.029.7HIGH
OtagoT20607957.915.8LOW
Central DistrictsT20426659.413.2LOW
CanterburyT20364838.016.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS109619612.049.05.171.4MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS810815813.568.47.667.1MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS22282—26.82.482.9LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS428684.741.28.885.3LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS410662.515.20.084.8LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS43060—50.06.776.7LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS22458—41.43.469.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS438546.370.411.174.1LOW
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS212446.027.34.586.4LOW
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS21030—33.36.786.7LOW

Bowling

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS1482932183.851.8HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS86649883.562.3HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS572274122.922.8HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS552328143.623.4HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS43421663.036.0HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS40019062.831.7HIGH
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS36017863.029.7HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS30019884.024.8MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS27612022.660.0MEDIUM
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS22811022.955.0MEDIUM
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS2169682.712.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT2066113310.337.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS4437883010.545.55.576.1HIGH

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS56863140903.334.9HIGH
UnknownT20138193138.414.8LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS4031866210.648.06.075.5HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS166016810.035.73.678.6MEDIUM

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS43142392663.336.2HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1372748243.331.2HIGH
powerplayT208412548.931.3LOW
middleT20363555.87.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS3625650212.851.06.875.3HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS30822728.230.11.577.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS840566.771.414.375.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.