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KNM Fernando betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS13764127242.460.16.463.3HIGH
overallTEST12569105828.453.86.671.6HIGH
overallODI315816852.794.011.347.0MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS121206.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where KNM Fernando scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Galle International Stadium (TEST)HIGH sample

    296 runs off 538 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 55.0 vs 53.8 overall, average 49.3 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (TEST)HIGH sample

    276 runs off 503 balls in 7 TEST matches — strike rate 54.9 vs 53.8 overall, average 69.0 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Phase: old_ball (TEST)HIGH sample

    318 runs off 577 balls in 7 TEST matches — strike rate 55.1 vs 53.8 overall, average 39.8 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Kurunegala Youth Cricket Club (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    112 runs off 161 balls in 1 FIRST CLASS match — strike rate 69.6 vs 60.1 overall, average 56.0 vs 42.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Panadura Sports Club (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    109 runs off 139 balls in 1 FIRST CLASS match — strike rate 78.4 vs 60.1 overall, average 54.5 vs 42.4 overall.

  • Venue: Colts Cricket Club Ground, Colombo (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    169 runs off 230 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 73.5 vs 60.1 overall, average 28.2 vs 42.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (TEST)HIGH sample

    293 runs off 555 balls in 12 TEST matches — strike rate 52.8 vs 53.8 overall, average 18.3 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    294 runs off 452 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.0 vs 60.1 overall, average 32.7 vs 42.4 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    271 runs off 432 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.7 vs 60.1 overall, average 33.9 vs 42.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Moors Sports Club (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    111 runs off 233 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.6 vs 60.1 overall, average 37.0 vs 42.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    93 runs off 205 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 45.4 vs 53.8 overall, average 31.0 vs 28.4 overall.

  • Venue: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    94 runs off 200 balls in 1 FIRST CLASS match — strike rate 47.0 vs 60.1 overall, average 94.0 vs 42.4 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Bloomfield Cricket and Athletic ClubFIRST_CLASS1209390209.053.63.862.6HIGH
IrelandTEST2234386117.060.67.064.0HIGH
Moors Sports ClubFIRST_CLASS211123337.047.65.271.7MEDIUM
PakistanTEST29320531.045.46.880.5MEDIUM
BangladeshTEST210317934.357.56.770.9MEDIUM
Kurunegala Youth Cricket ClubFIRST_CLASS111216156.069.69.360.2MEDIUM
Panadura Sports ClubFIRST_CLASS110913954.578.410.859.0MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST15812329.047.26.579.7MEDIUM
West IndiesODI21079853.5109.214.340.8LOW
Ace Capital Cricket ClubFIRST_CLASS1838241.5101.211.039.0LOW
West IndiesTEST2517812.865.49.070.5LOW
Chilaw Marians Cricket ClubFIRST_CLASS1567556.074.78.053.3LOW
AustraliaODI1517051.072.97.155.7LOW
Nugegoda Sports Welfare ClubFIRST_CLASS1215921.035.63.474.6LOW
EnglandTEST224596.040.73.472.9LOW
Police Sports ClubFIRST_CLASS1264626.056.56.569.6LOW
Nondescripts Cricket ClubFIRST_CLASS217448.538.64.575.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Galle International StadiumTEST429653849.355.06.568.4HIGH
Galle International StadiumFIRST_CLASS2318529106.060.15.761.6HIGH
Colts Cricket Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS416923028.273.58.355.2MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboFIRST_CLASS19420094.047.04.571.0MEDIUM
Colombo Cricket Club GroundFIRST_CLASS212418731.066.39.163.1MEDIUM
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramTEST19115091.060.77.368.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST15812329.047.26.579.7MEDIUM
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI21079853.5109.214.340.8LOW
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboTEST1378137.045.77.482.7LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaTEST2517812.865.49.070.5LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI1517051.072.97.155.7LOW
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS1215921.035.63.474.6LOW
Nondescripts Cricket Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS2305015.060.08.070.0LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1204010.050.05.070.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS13764127242.460.16.463.3HIGH
UnknownTEST11557102930.954.16.771.2HIGH
UnknownODI315816852.794.011.347.0MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS949384049.358.75.763.2HIGH
old_ballTEST731857739.855.16.469.2HIGH
new_ballTEST1225148120.952.26.974.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1227143233.962.77.963.4HIGH
middleODI31019433.7107.411.736.2LOW
powerplayODI35774—77.010.860.8LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINFIRST_CLASS1134958043.660.26.062.1HIGH
PACETEST1229355518.352.87.675.5HIGH
SPINTEST727650369.054.95.667.4HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS1229445232.765.08.264.2HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS5121240121.050.44.264.6MEDIUM
SPINODI310189101.0113.512.436.0LOW
PACEODI3516725.576.110.456.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.