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KR Patterson betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS10055741161633.648.05.573.7HIGH
overallLIST_A24932104644.489.19.647.6HIGH
overallT203062751121.6122.713.133.9HIGH
overallTEST2144269144.053.56.772.5MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS364026.720.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where KR Patterson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Western Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    994 runs off 2110 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.1 vs 48.0 overall, average 45.2 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1100 runs off 2080 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.9 vs 48.0 overall, average 61.1 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (LIST A)HIGH sample

    414 runs off 437 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 94.7 vs 89.1 overall, average 82.8 vs 44.4 overall.

  • Opposition: South Australia (LIST A)HIGH sample

    266 runs off 300 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 88.7 vs 89.1 overall, average 66.5 vs 44.4 overall.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1808 runs off 3188 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.7 vs 48.0 overall, average 45.2 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    670 runs off 1306 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.3 vs 48.0 overall, average 67.0 vs 33.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    790 runs off 1872 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.2 vs 48.0 overall, average 19.8 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    372 runs off 1046 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.6 vs 48.0 overall, average 37.2 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    336 runs off 798 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.1 vs 48.0 overall, average 15.3 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Drummoyne Oval, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    266 runs off 682 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.0 vs 48.0 overall, average 33.3 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Allan Border Field, Brisbane (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    138 runs off 356 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.8 vs 48.0 overall, average 23.0 vs 33.6 overall.

  • Venue: Park 25 No 2, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    164 runs off 314 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.2 vs 48.0 overall, average 20.5 vs 33.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS241356295032.346.04.974.8HIGH
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS16994211045.247.14.772.6HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS121100208061.152.95.269.1HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS24982206225.847.66.274.8HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS20790187219.842.25.377.7HIGH
TasmaniaLIST_A741443782.894.710.143.0HIGH
South AustraliaLIST_A526630066.588.78.747.3HIGH
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS217027485.062.08.873.7MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST2144269144.053.56.772.5MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS218226845.567.911.270.1MEDIUM
VictoriaLIST_A513716627.482.510.251.8MEDIUM
Western AustraliaLIST_A49411623.581.08.655.2LOW
Hobart HurricanesT2041138728.3129.911.524.1LOW
Melbourne StarsT2041048326.0125.312.032.5LOW
Sydney SixersT2041037825.8132.114.129.5LOW
Brisbane HeatT204846221.0135.517.741.9LOW
Adelaide StrikersT203776125.7126.213.127.9LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT202555127.5107.813.739.2LOW
Sydney ThunderT205474611.8102.210.945.7LOW
Perth ScorchersT204444311.0102.311.641.9LOW

Bowling

South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS364026.720.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS241808318845.256.76.568.7HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS8670130667.051.35.270.8HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS8472113833.741.54.076.8HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS6372104637.235.61.975.3HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS1233679815.342.16.580.5HIGH
Drummoyne Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS626668233.339.04.478.9HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS625659825.642.84.772.9HIGH
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS430458838.051.74.471.1HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS435254258.764.910.072.0HIGH
North Dalton Park, WollongongFIRST_CLASS428249247.057.37.772.8HIGH
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS413835623.038.86.282.0HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A428932796.388.47.042.5HIGH
Park 25 No 2, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS416431420.552.27.676.4HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A4286274143.0104.412.040.5MEDIUM
Manuka OvalTEST1114188—60.68.070.7MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS4401865.021.51.184.9MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A513318026.673.98.957.2MEDIUM
Lavington Sports Oval, AlburyFIRST_CLASS2201505.013.30.089.3MEDIUM
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS25214813.035.15.477.0MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundT20814611818.3123.713.636.4LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A5948818.8106.817.051.1LOW
Bankstown Oval, SydneyFIRST_CLASS2428421.050.09.578.6LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, WoolloongabbaTEST1308130.037.03.776.5LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A2707935.088.67.649.4LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT203916530.3140.018.536.9LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT203756225.0121.09.721.0LOW
Adelaide OvalLIST_A2376118.560.76.665.6LOW
International Sports Stadium, Coffs HarbourT203614920.3124.512.232.7LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT202464023.0115.012.535.0LOW
Carrara OvalT202463923.0117.910.328.2LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneT201543954.0138.515.425.6LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundLIST_A1223022.073.310.050.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS10055741161633.648.05.573.7HIGH
UnknownLIST_A24932104644.489.19.647.6HIGH
UnknownT203062751121.6122.713.133.9HIGH
UnknownTEST2144269144.053.56.772.5MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS364026.720.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS984820981633.049.15.472.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS78754180037.741.95.779.4HIGH
middleLIST_A1963370742.289.58.642.7HIGH
powerplayT202941433929.6122.114.238.1HIGH
powerplayLIST_A1627932455.886.111.759.6HIGH
old_ballTEST2119200119.059.58.070.0MEDIUM
middleT201520717014.8121.810.625.3MEDIUM
new_ballTEST22569—36.22.979.7LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS364026.720.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS1003224671632.248.06.075.5HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS821740360434.848.34.469.9HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS38610129638.147.15.675.0HIGH
PACELIST_A2458162541.593.010.949.6HIGH
PACET202939130323.0129.015.537.6HIGH
SPINLIST_A1623229538.778.66.144.1MEDIUM
SPINT202118215820.2115.210.127.8MEDIUM
PACETEST29813798.071.510.267.9MEDIUM
SPINTEST246132—34.83.077.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNLIST_A10119126119.094.411.146.0MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2010545018.0108.08.030.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.