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L McCarthy betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT203252412.5104.212.541.7LOW
overallTEST1122412.050.08.375.0LOW
overallODI105—0.00.0100.0LOW
overallODI15018557.437.0MEDIUM
overallTEST14413015.4130.0LOW
overallT2066132112.0132.0LOW

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Bowling

West IndiesODI15018557.437.0MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST14413015.4130.0LOW
IndiaT20425117.351.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bowling

Castle Avenue, DublinODI15018557.437.0MEDIUM
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST14413015.4130.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT20425117.351.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

Bowling

UnknownODI15018557.437.0MEDIUM
UnknownTEST14413015.4130.0LOW
UnknownT2066132112.0132.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

Bowling

old_ballTEST13212615.7126.0LOW
middleODI10210426.152.0LOW
middleT203665110.865.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.