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L Mophakedi betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2045865106021.681.67.652.5HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where L Mophakedi scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample

    405 runs off 467 balls in 30 T20 matches — strike rate 86.7 vs 81.6 overall, average 31.2 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Mozambique (T20)MEDIUM sample

    170 runs off 178 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 95.5 vs 81.6 overall, average 34.0 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Malawi (T20)MEDIUM sample

    141 runs off 152 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 92.8 vs 81.6 overall, average 47.0 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Eswatini (T20)MEDIUM sample

    142 runs off 127 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 111.8 vs 81.6 overall, average 47.3 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Venue: Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, Gaborone (T20)MEDIUM sample

    289 runs off 271 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 106.6 vs 81.6 overall, average 41.3 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    255 runs off 274 balls in 24 T20 matches — strike rate 93.1 vs 81.6 overall, average 36.4 vs 21.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, Gaborone (T20)HIGH sample

    370 runs off 505 balls in 23 T20 matches — strike rate 73.3 vs 81.6 overall, average 18.5 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Rwanda (T20)MEDIUM sample

    69 runs off 125 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 55.2 vs 81.6 overall, average 11.5 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Venue: Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda (T20)MEDIUM sample

    117 runs off 161 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 72.7 vs 81.6 overall, average 19.5 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    175 runs off 260 balls in 27 T20 matches — strike rate 67.3 vs 81.6 overall, average 12.5 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Sierra Leone (T20)LOW sample

    82 runs off 117 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 70.1 vs 81.6 overall, average 20.5 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Kenya (T20)LOW sample

    72 runs off 114 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 63.2 vs 81.6 overall, average 14.4 vs 21.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

MozambiqueT20717017834.095.59.042.7MEDIUM
MalawiT20414115247.092.89.948.7MEDIUM
EswatiniT20314212747.3111.87.934.6MEDIUM
RwandaT2066912511.555.23.263.2MEDIUM
Sierra LeoneT2058211720.570.15.152.1LOW
KenyaT2057211414.463.27.966.7LOW
LesothoT2041159838.3117.314.339.8LOW
NigeriaT202344817.070.810.468.8LOW
BrazilT20319476.340.40.070.2LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT202337050518.573.35.152.9HIGH
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, GaboroneT20928927141.3106.610.741.0MEDIUM
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20611716119.572.79.963.4MEDIUM
Gahanga B Ground, RwandaT202838041.5103.812.548.8LOW
Entebbe Cricket OvalT2035391.712.80.087.2LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2045865106021.681.67.652.5HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT204038250727.375.38.160.7HIGH
middleT203040546731.286.77.946.0HIGH
deathT201378866.090.73.538.4LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET203743552622.982.77.252.1HIGH
UNKNOWNT202425527436.493.19.946.7MEDIUM
SPINT202717526012.567.36.259.2MEDIUM

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.