L Neil-Smith betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 800 | 2536 | 15.4 | 31.5 | 3.8 | 84.1 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 1 | 11 | 12 | — | 91.7 | 8.3 | 41.7 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 6598 | 3610 | 118 | 3.3 | 30.6 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 30 | 31 | 0 | 6.2 | — | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where L Neil-Smith scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Venue: Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
238 runs off 698 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.1 vs 31.5 overall, average 29.8 vs 15.4 overall.
- Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
198 runs off 530 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.4 vs 31.5 overall, average 49.5 vs 15.4 overall.
- Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
90 runs off 216 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.7 vs 31.5 overall, average 11.3 vs 15.4 overall.
- Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
56 runs off 122 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.9 vs 31.5 overall, average 14.0 vs 15.4 overall.
- Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
110 runs off 260 balls in 18 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.3 vs 31.5 overall, average 13.8 vs 15.4 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
80 runs off 174 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.0 vs 31.5 overall, not yet dismissed vs 15.4 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
76 runs off 416 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 18.3 vs 31.5 overall, average 7.6 vs 15.4 overall.
- Venue: Drummoyne Oval, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
18 runs off 78 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.1 vs 31.5 overall, average 9.0 vs 15.4 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 250 | 858 | 20.8 | 29.1 | 3.7 | 85.8 | HIGH |
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 246 | 640 | 20.5 | 38.4 | 5.9 | 83.4 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 76 | 416 | 7.6 | 18.3 | 1.4 | 88.5 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 138 | 406 | 13.8 | 34.0 | 1.5 | 78.3 | HIGH |
| Victoria | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 90 | 216 | 11.3 | 41.7 | 6.5 | 82.4 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 1740 | 832 | 30 | 2.9 | 27.7 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 1430 | 738 | 24 | 3.1 | 30.8 | HIGH |
| New South Wales | FIRST_CLASS | 1338 | 694 | 38 | 3.1 | 18.3 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 1224 | 814 | 22 | 4.0 | 37.0 | HIGH |
| Victoria | FIRST_CLASS | 866 | 532 | 4 | 3.7 | 133.0 | HIGH |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 280 | 1072 | 10.0 | 26.1 | 2.1 | 85.3 | HIGH |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 238 | 698 | 29.8 | 34.1 | 4.6 | 83.7 | HIGH |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 198 | 530 | 49.5 | 37.4 | 5.3 | 83.0 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 56 | 122 | 14.0 | 45.9 | 8.2 | 82.0 | MEDIUM |
| Drummoyne Oval, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 18 | 78 | 9.0 | 23.1 | 2.6 | 82.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 3248 | 1786 | 52 | 3.3 | 34.3 | HIGH |
| Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, Perth | FIRST_CLASS | 1106 | 582 | 24 | 3.2 | 24.3 | HIGH |
| Junction Oval, Melbourne | FIRST_CLASS | 588 | 366 | 2 | 3.7 | 183.0 | HIGH |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 552 | 340 | 12 | 3.7 | 28.3 | HIGH |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | FIRST_CLASS | 414 | 188 | 6 | 2.7 | 31.3 | HIGH |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 394 | 208 | 20 | 3.2 | 10.4 | HIGH |
| Drummoyne Oval, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 296 | 140 | 2 | 2.8 | 70.0 | MEDIUM |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 800 | 2536 | 15.4 | 31.5 | 3.8 | 84.1 | HIGH |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 6598 | 3610 | 118 | 3.3 | 30.6 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 720 | 2362 | 13.8 | 30.5 | 3.9 | 84.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 80 | 174 | — | 46.0 | 2.3 | 75.9 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 5004 | 2804 | 94 | 3.4 | 29.8 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 1594 | 806 | 24 | 3.0 | 33.6 | HIGH |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 40 | 446 | 1588 | 15.9 | 28.1 | 2.9 | 84.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 28 | 244 | 688 | 15.3 | 35.5 | 4.9 | 83.4 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 110 | 260 | 13.8 | 42.3 | 6.2 | 81.5 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.