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L Ostergaard betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT202020132411.862.03.153.4HIGH
overallT20379323155.121.5HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where L Ostergaard scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

No split stands out from their own format baseline by enough to call it an edge.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Koge Cricket Club (T20)LOW sample

    39 runs off 73 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 53.4 vs 62.0 overall, average 13.0 vs 11.8 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

OmanT204457215.062.54.251.4LOW
LuxembourgT201275227.051.90.055.8LOW
SwedenT202235111.545.10.060.8LOW
GreeceT204324810.766.72.147.9LOW

Bowling

OmanT209611116.9111.0LOW
GreeceT20795924.529.5LOW
NorwayT20422313.323.0LOW
SwedenT20424326.121.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Koge Cricket ClubT203397313.053.41.457.5LOW
Albertslund Cricket ClubT203467223.063.94.258.3LOW
Marina Ground, CorfuT204324810.766.72.147.9LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2)T20328479.359.66.457.4LOW
GelsenTrabPark, GelsenkirchenT20318306.060.03.353.3LOW

Bowling

Marina Ground, CorfuT20795924.529.5LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2)T20727416.274.0LOW
Albertslund Cricket ClubT20724553.89.0LOW
Koge Cricket ClubT20422723.913.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT202020132411.862.03.153.4HIGH

Bowling

UnknownT20379323155.121.5HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201410117211.258.73.554.1MEDIUM
powerplayT20127311912.261.33.455.5LOW
deathT203273313.581.80.042.4LOW

Bowling

middleT2020414594.316.1MEDIUM
deathT2015114865.924.7MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201812321712.356.72.357.1MEDIUM
SPINT201035567.062.53.650.0LOW
UNKNOWNT208435121.584.35.941.2LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.