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L Paul betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI451158168828.968.66.555.3HIGH
overallT204474867722.7110.512.637.2HIGH
overallODI47543365.572.2HIGH
overallT20291321126.626.8MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where L Paul scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Harare Sports Club (ODI)HIGH sample

    244 runs off 348 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 70.1 vs 68.6 overall, average 40.7 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Scotland (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    182 runs off 280 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 65.0 vs 68.6 overall, average 45.5 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Venue: VRA Ground, Amstelveen (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    146 runs off 163 balls in 2 ODI matches — strike rate 89.6 vs 68.6 overall, average 146.0 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)MEDIUM sample

    226 runs off 171 balls in 22 T20 matches — strike rate 132.2 vs 110.5 overall, average 17.4 vs 22.7 overall.

  • Phase: death (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    194 runs off 148 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 131.1 vs 68.6 overall, average 32.3 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)LOW sample

    101 runs off 118 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 85.6 vs 68.6 overall, average 50.5 vs 28.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample

    240 runs off 529 balls in 25 ODI matches — strike rate 45.4 vs 68.6 overall, average 17.1 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    73 runs off 128 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 57.0 vs 68.6 overall, average 12.2 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    81 runs off 126 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 64.3 vs 68.6 overall, average 20.3 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Venue: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    112 runs off 171 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 65.5 vs 68.6 overall, average 16.0 vs 28.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Scotland (T20)LOW sample

    60 runs off 70 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 85.7 vs 110.5 overall, average 20.0 vs 22.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (ODI)LOW sample

    38 runs off 65 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 58.5 vs 68.6 overall, average 19.0 vs 28.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

ZimbabweODI825437231.868.36.255.9HIGH
ScotlandODI418228045.565.06.858.2MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI317322686.576.58.452.7MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI310716535.764.84.853.3MEDIUM
South AfricaODI67312812.257.04.759.4MEDIUM
PakistanODI48112620.364.35.657.1MEDIUM
IndiaODI310111850.585.610.250.8LOW
South AfricaT20513511827.0114.417.841.5LOW
EnglandODI3568018.770.02.542.5LOW
BangladeshT205967224.0133.318.133.3LOW
ScotlandT203607020.085.77.145.7LOW
BangladeshODI4386519.058.53.160.0LOW
West IndiesODI418604.530.01.771.7LOW
EnglandT204395713.068.47.052.6LOW
United States of AmericaT201675267.0128.815.430.8LOW
NetherlandsT203584429.0131.818.234.1LOW
PakistanT205474311.8109.311.639.5LOW
ThailandODI16740—167.527.527.5LOW
Sri LankaT202263613.072.22.841.7LOW
ZimbabweT2033933—118.29.121.2LOW
GermanyT2016232—193.825.015.6LOW
West IndiesT20427306.890.03.343.3LOW

Bowling

ZimbabweODI26419944.549.8MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI806024.530.0LOW
South AfricaODI657206.6—LOW
ZimbabweT20485336.617.7LOW
West IndiesODI424806.9—LOW
South AfricaT20365218.752.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Harare Sports ClubODI624434840.770.16.655.5HIGH
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastODI817326921.664.33.750.9MEDIUM
Desert Springs Cricket Ground, AlmeriaODI317126557.064.57.259.2MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI711217116.065.54.154.4MEDIUM
VRA Ground, AmstelveenODI2146163146.089.69.846.6MEDIUM
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, RajkotODI310111850.585.610.250.8LOW
Pembroke Cricket Club, Sandymount, DublinT2069810324.595.110.741.7LOW
Mulpani Cricket GroundT2041229230.5132.617.430.4LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI513682.619.10.080.9LOW
Sylhet StadiumT203956747.5141.819.429.9LOW
Hazelaarweg, RotterdamT204926446.0143.817.231.3LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueODI1276327.042.94.868.3LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinT205556218.388.76.543.5LOW
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaODI317585.729.31.772.4LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT202475523.585.55.543.6LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurT203464423.0104.515.945.5LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgODI1304330.069.82.346.5LOW
Lahore City Cricket Association GroundODI16740—167.527.527.5LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI3193719.051.45.467.6LOW
St George's Park, GqeberhaODI1363636.0100.013.941.7LOW
Newlands, Cape TownT203393413.0114.717.635.3LOW
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, DublinT203393213.0121.915.637.5LOW
Boland Park, PaarlT202403120.0129.019.438.7LOW
County Ground, BristolT202243112.077.43.245.2LOW

Bowling

Harare Sports ClubODI24017944.544.8MEDIUM
Pembroke Cricket Club, Sandymount, DublinT20607737.725.7LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueODI503324.016.5LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI484906.1—LOW
Newlands, Cape TownT20485827.329.0LOW
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaODI424806.9—LOW
Hazelaarweg, RotterdamT20391642.54.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI39914134026.968.26.555.3HIGH
UnknownT204374067222.4110.112.537.5HIGH
ZimbabweODI624434840.770.16.655.5HIGH

Bowling

UnknownT20267293116.626.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI24017944.544.8MEDIUM
UnknownODI23525426.5127.0MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleODI29724101136.271.66.051.6HIGH
powerplayODI2524052917.145.44.970.7HIGH
middleT203043039026.9110.311.534.6HIGH
deathT202222617117.4132.216.429.8MEDIUM
deathODI919414832.3131.115.525.7MEDIUM
powerplayT20129211623.079.310.356.9LOW

Bowling

middleODI31733336.3111.0MEDIUM
middleT2015317346.843.3MEDIUM
powerplayODI904603.1—LOW
deathT20907785.19.6LOW
deathODI685434.818.0LOW
powerplayT20487108.9—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINODI3567191230.573.67.052.5HIGH
PACEODI3842467324.963.06.158.8HIGH
SPINT204143539918.9109.011.535.3HIGH
PACET202823922026.6108.614.542.7MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI126310363.061.24.957.3LOW
UNKNOWNT2014745874.0127.612.129.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.