L Shaw betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 864 | 2004 | 36.0 | 43.1 | 5.0 | 78.2 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 10 | 291 | 304 | 32.3 | 95.7 | 12.2 | 49.7 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 11 | 196 | 136 | 24.5 | 144.1 | 18.4 | 26.5 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where L Shaw scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
372 runs off 862 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.2 vs 43.1 overall, average 46.5 vs 36.0 overall.
- Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
190 runs off 364 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.2 vs 43.1 overall, average 31.7 vs 36.0 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
206 runs off 398 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.8 vs 43.1 overall, average 103.0 vs 36.0 overall.
- Venue: Cricket Central, Sydney (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
192 runs off 191 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 100.5 vs 95.7 overall, average 48.0 vs 32.3 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample
156 runs off 102 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 152.9 vs 144.1 overall, average 26.0 vs 24.5 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
226 runs off 458 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.3 vs 43.1 overall, average 22.6 vs 36.0 overall.
- Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
100 runs off 324 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.9 vs 43.1 overall, average 25.0 vs 36.0 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
532 runs off 1252 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.5 vs 43.1 overall, average 26.6 vs 36.0 overall.
- Phase: middle (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
195 runs off 239 balls in 10 LIST A matches — strike rate 81.6 vs 95.7 overall, average 27.9 vs 32.3 overall.
- Opposition: Queensland (LIST A)LOW sample
83 runs off 95 balls in 2 LIST A matches — strike rate 87.4 vs 95.7 overall, average 41.5 vs 32.3 overall.
- Opposition: South Australia (LIST A)LOW sample
74 runs off 85 balls in 3 LIST A matches — strike rate 87.1 vs 95.7 overall, average 37.0 vs 32.3 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Tasmania | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 324 | 844 | 40.5 | 38.4 | 4.3 | 80.8 | HIGH |
| South Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 226 | 458 | 22.6 | 49.3 | 8.3 | 79.0 | HIGH |
| Queensland | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 166 | 360 | 83.0 | 46.1 | 3.3 | 71.1 | HIGH |
| Western Australia | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 148 | 342 | 37.0 | 43.3 | 4.1 | 78.4 | HIGH |
| Queensland | LIST_A | 2 | 83 | 95 | 41.5 | 87.4 | 11.6 | 55.8 | LOW |
| Victoria | LIST_A | 2 | 94 | 91 | 47.0 | 103.3 | 13.2 | 47.3 | LOW |
| South Australia | LIST_A | 3 | 74 | 85 | 37.0 | 87.1 | 9.4 | 45.9 | LOW |
| Hobart Hurricanes | T20 | 2 | 54 | 38 | 54.0 | 142.1 | 21.1 | 28.9 | LOW |
| Perth Scorchers | T20 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 16.0 | 137.1 | 17.1 | 34.3 | LOW |
| Tasmania | LIST_A | 3 | 40 | 33 | 13.3 | 121.2 | 18.2 | 48.5 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Cricket Central, Sydney | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 372 | 862 | 46.5 | 43.2 | 4.6 | 78.9 | HIGH |
| Sydney Cricket Ground | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 202 | 454 | 33.7 | 44.5 | 4.0 | 74.4 | HIGH |
| Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 190 | 364 | 31.7 | 52.2 | 8.8 | 76.9 | HIGH |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 100 | 324 | 25.0 | 30.9 | 3.1 | 83.3 | HIGH |
| Cricket Central, Sydney | LIST_A | 5 | 192 | 191 | 48.0 | 100.5 | 11.5 | 41.9 | MEDIUM |
| Adelaide Oval | LIST_A | 1 | 25 | 35 | 25.0 | 71.4 | 8.6 | 57.1 | LOW |
| Perth Stadium | T20 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 16.0 | 137.1 | 17.1 | 34.3 | LOW |
| Allan Border Field, Brisbane | LIST_A | 1 | 23 | 31 | 23.0 | 74.2 | 12.9 | 74.2 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 864 | 2004 | 36.0 | 43.1 | 5.0 | 78.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 10 | 291 | 304 | 32.3 | 95.7 | 12.2 | 49.7 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 11 | 196 | 136 | 24.5 | 144.1 | 18.4 | 26.5 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 810 | 1860 | 36.8 | 43.5 | 4.8 | 77.8 | HIGH |
| middle | LIST_A | 10 | 195 | 239 | 27.9 | 81.6 | 9.2 | 52.7 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 54 | 144 | 27.0 | 37.5 | 6.9 | 83.3 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 9 | 88 | 72 | 22.0 | 122.2 | 13.9 | 33.3 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 7 | 102 | 58 | 25.5 | 175.9 | 25.9 | 17.2 | LOW |
| death | LIST_A | 3 | 82 | 53 | 41.0 | 154.7 | 22.6 | 32.1 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 532 | 1252 | 26.6 | 42.5 | 5.4 | 80.4 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 206 | 398 | 103.0 | 51.8 | 5.0 | 69.3 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 126 | 354 | 63.0 | 35.6 | 3.4 | 80.8 | HIGH |
| PACE | LIST_A | 10 | 125 | 130 | 41.7 | 96.2 | 12.3 | 50.0 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 9 | 119 | 129 | 29.8 | 92.2 | 11.6 | 48.8 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | T20 | 10 | 156 | 102 | 26.0 | 152.9 | 20.6 | 27.5 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | LIST_A | 6 | 47 | 45 | 23.5 | 104.4 | 13.3 | 51.1 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.