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L Steenkamp betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201845333326.6136.017.731.8HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where L Steenkamp scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    286 runs off 201 balls in 18 T20 matches — strike rate 142.3 vs 136.0 overall, average 47.7 vs 26.6 overall.

  • Venue: Harare Sports Club (T20)LOW sample

    110 runs off 75 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 146.7 vs 136.0 overall, average 22.0 vs 26.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: South Africa (T20)LOW sample

    115 runs off 90 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 127.8 vs 136.0 overall, average 57.5 vs 26.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (T20)LOW sample

    74 runs off 60 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 123.3 vs 136.0 overall, average 18.5 vs 26.6 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    138 runs off 110 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 125.5 vs 136.0 overall, average 19.7 vs 26.6 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

South AfricaT2031159057.5127.815.634.4LOW
ZimbabweT204746018.5123.313.331.7LOW
ScotlandT203784926.0159.222.422.4LOW
United States of AmericaT201583958.0148.720.533.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Namibia Cricket Ground, WindhoekT20821315830.4134.817.732.3MEDIUM
Harare Sports ClubT2051107522.0146.717.325.3LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT201583958.0148.720.533.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201334325828.6132.917.833.7MEDIUM
ZimbabweT2051107522.0146.717.325.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT201728821132.0136.519.936.0MEDIUM
middleT20913811019.7125.511.825.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201828620147.7142.320.934.3MEDIUM
SPINT20131219220.2131.514.128.3LOW
UNKNOWNT201046409.2115.010.027.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.