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LH Ferguson betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT203318917010.5111.211.841.2MEDIUM
overallODI14591038.457.34.961.2LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS6748012.392.515.062.5LOW
overallHUNDRED3272013.5135.015.040.0LOW
overallTEST119—11.10.088.9LOW
overallT20253033571538.021.9HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS1650726382.619.1HIGH
overallODI13021326276.149.1HIGH
overallHUNDRED394573228.726.0HIGH
overallTEST664704.3—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where LH Ferguson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    159 runs off 123 balls in 29 T20 matches — strike rate 129.3 vs 111.2 overall, average 11.4 vs 10.5 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

No split is materially below their own format baseline.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
Twenty20 International
3.8 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 15 · plays 44% · 11 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS4545213.5103.815.457.7LOW
IndiaODI523365.863.95.661.1LOW
Northern DistrictsT202333016.5110.016.746.7LOW

Bowling

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS672300142.721.4HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS522232162.714.5HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS45619482.624.3HIGH
IndiaODI38341176.458.7HIGH
PakistanODI15014535.848.3MEDIUM
Rajasthan RoyalsT2013819498.421.6LOW
BangladeshODI13310354.620.6LOW
AustraliaODI13215437.051.3LOW
Sunrisers HyderabadT20122257312.685.7LOW
IrelandODI12010425.252.0LOW
IndiaT20120240612.040.0LOW
Chennai Super KingsT20114214411.353.5LOW
EnglandODI10813027.265.0LOW
West IndiesODI10813517.5135.0LOW
OtagoT2096114107.111.4LOW
PakistanT209611657.323.2LOW
CanterburyT209511457.222.8LOW
Dubai CapitalsT208913949.434.8LOW
South AfricaT20888765.914.5LOW
Delhi CapitalsT20848796.29.7LOW
Royal Challengers BangaloreT208211158.122.2LOW
London SpiritHUNDRED8012269.120.3LOW
EnglandT2078136410.534.0LOW
Gulf GiantsT20728647.221.5LOW
West IndiesT20727636.325.3LOW
WellingtonT20668918.189.0LOW
AustraliaTEST664704.3—LOW
Northern SuperchargersHUNDRED659338.631.0LOW
AustraliaT20655565.19.2LOW
Southern BraveHUNDRED609409.4—LOW
ScotlandODI607727.738.5LOW
Sri LankaODI603523.517.5LOW
Northern DistrictsT20605465.49.0LOW
Punjab KingsT20609149.122.8LOW
Mumbai IndiansT20588048.320.0LOW
MI EmiratesT20575045.312.5LOW
IrelandT20564684.95.8LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED556066.510.0LOW
NetherlandsODI483204.0—LOW
Abu Dhabi Knight RidersT20486047.515.0LOW
Central DistrictsT20485647.014.0LOW
Kolkata Knight RidersT204880210.040.0LOW
LeicestershireT20486327.931.5LOW
Lucknow Super GiantsT20425017.150.0LOW
Sri LankaT20424446.311.0LOW
Welsh FireHUNDRED404626.923.0LOW
Birmingham BearsT20395818.958.0LOW
WorcestershireT20395228.026.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS2383619.0105.611.150.0LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT203393419.5114.717.638.2LOW

Bowling

Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS900420162.826.3HIGH
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS34814482.518.0MEDIUM
Cobham OvalFIRST_CLASS2287461.912.3MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20206280118.225.5MEDIUM
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS1748883.011.0MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiODI15014535.848.3MEDIUM
Headingley, LeedsT20144154116.414.0LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20144167107.016.7LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffHUNDRED130176108.117.6LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT20121234211.6117.0LOW
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI12010425.252.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT2012012776.318.1LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT20118127116.511.5LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI11411636.138.7LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI10813517.5135.0LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI10810916.1109.0LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT2010211786.914.6LOW
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, MumbaiT209013158.726.2LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamHUNDRED8512328.761.5LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT208411037.936.7LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI735424.427.0LOW
Brabourne Stadium, MumbaiT207210338.634.3LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT20723663.06.0LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT2068116110.2116.0LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaODI6610129.250.5LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruT2066114510.422.8LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundT20669228.446.0LOW
Perth StadiumTEST664704.3—LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI605935.919.7LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghODI607727.738.5LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI604914.949.0LOW
Holkar Cricket Stadium, IndoreODI605305.3—LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruODI603523.517.5LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiODI604934.916.3LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataT2060113211.356.5LOW
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED558439.228.0LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonODI548018.980.0LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffODI545015.650.0LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI486508.1—LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20486367.910.5LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneT20486648.316.5LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT20484565.67.5LOW
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, MullanpurT20487749.619.3LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneT20487449.318.5LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraT20485146.412.8LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT20484916.149.0LOW
Sydney Showground StadiumT20486127.630.5LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetT20426539.321.7LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamHUNDRED404056.08.0LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20394156.38.2LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadT203870111.170.0LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaT203672212.036.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT203218015810.0113.912.741.1MEDIUM
UnknownODI14591038.457.34.961.2LOW
UnknownFIRST_CLASS6748012.392.515.062.5LOW

Bowling

UnknownT20242832401458.022.3HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS1650726382.619.1HIGH
UnknownODI13021326276.149.1HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED394573228.726.0HIGH
United Arab EmiratesT2010211786.914.6LOW
UnknownTEST664704.3—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathT203116413810.3118.811.637.7MEDIUM
old_ballFIRST_CLASS6748012.392.515.062.5LOW
deathODI1146659.270.87.758.5LOW
middleODI313386.534.20.065.8LOW
middleT205253212.578.112.556.3LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS1038408242.417.0HIGH
powerplayT209261121587.319.3HIGH
middleT208401073387.728.2HIGH
middleODI797793166.049.6HIGH
deathT207641163579.120.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS612318143.122.7HIGH
powerplayODI28226955.753.8MEDIUM
deathODI22326467.144.0MEDIUM
deathHUNDRED165268119.724.4MEDIUM
middleHUNDRED15421468.335.7MEDIUM
powerplayHUNDRED759157.318.2LOW
old_ballTEST422103.0—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET202915912311.4129.315.441.5MEDIUM
PACEODI12476611.871.27.656.1LOW
SPINFIRST_CLASS6464411.5104.518.259.1LOW
SPINODI412374.032.40.070.3LOW
PACEFIRST_CLASS6283614.077.811.166.7LOW
SPINT201017364.347.20.050.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.