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LJ Leokaoke betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT20819616732.7117.419.250.9MEDIUM
overallT2010813337.444.3LOW

Why we like it

Splits where LJ Leokaoke scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Malkerns Country Club oval (T20)MEDIUM sample

    186 runs off 137 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 135.8 vs 117.4 overall, average 62.0 vs 32.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Eswatini (T20)LOW sample

    102 runs off 65 balls in 2 T20 matches — strike rate 156.9 vs 117.4 overall, average 102.0 vs 32.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)LOW sample

    90 runs off 61 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 147.5 vs 117.4 overall, not yet dismissed vs 32.7 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    104 runs off 68 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 152.9 vs 117.4 overall, average 26.0 vs 32.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    77 runs off 84 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 91.7 vs 117.4 overall, average 25.7 vs 32.7 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)LOW sample

    42 runs off 69 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 60.9 vs 117.4 overall, average 21.0 vs 32.7 overall.

Current projections

Lesotho v Mozambique
World T20 Qualifier
14.2 runs
median 1 · 90th percentile 46 · plays 53% · 20 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

MozambiqueT203847242.0116.719.452.8LOW
EswatiniT20210265102.0156.927.738.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Malkerns Country Club ovalT20518613762.0135.823.446.0MEDIUM

Bowling

Malkerns Country Club ovalT20547828.739.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT20819616732.7117.419.250.9MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT2010813337.444.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT207426921.060.98.768.1LOW
middleT2061046826.0152.926.541.2LOW
deathT2025030—166.726.733.3LOW

Bowling

middleT20909636.432.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET208778425.791.713.153.6LOW
UNKNOWNT2039061—147.527.947.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.