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LM Gabriel betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201718120911.386.611.558.4MEDIUM
overallT208412418.9124.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where LM Gabriel scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Integrated Polytechnic Regional Centre (T20)LOW sample

    90 runs off 67 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 134.3 vs 86.6 overall, average 30.0 vs 11.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    100 runs off 132 balls in 17 T20 matches — strike rate 75.8 vs 86.6 overall, average 8.3 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Botswana (T20)LOW sample

    63 runs off 82 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 76.8 vs 86.6 overall, average 12.6 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Venue: Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, Gaborone (T20)LOW sample

    40 runs off 68 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 58.8 vs 86.6 overall, average 10.0 vs 11.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)LOW sample

    56 runs off 72 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 77.8 vs 86.6 overall, average 9.3 vs 11.3 overall.

Current projections

Lesotho v Mozambique
World T20 Qualifier
12.0 runs
median 7 · 90th percentile 31 · plays 95% · 13 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

BotswanaT205638212.676.89.865.9LOW
MozambiqueT203364612.078.313.063.0LOW
MaliT202474247.0111.99.533.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT204406810.058.87.475.0LOW
Integrated Polytechnic Regional CentreT204906730.0134.317.937.3LOW
Malkerns Country Club ovalT20541578.271.910.559.6LOW

Bowling

Integrated Polytechnic Regional CentreT20547418.274.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201718120911.386.611.558.4MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT208412418.9124.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT20171001328.375.812.968.2MEDIUM
middleT205555418.3101.99.338.9LOW

Bowling

middleT20364717.847.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET2014809716.082.59.356.7LOW
UNKNOWNT20856729.377.89.762.5LOW
SPINT20745409.0112.520.055.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.