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LMM Tahuhu betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT206059346014.1128.914.838.3HIGH
overallODI2420119513.4103.112.345.1MEDIUM
overallT2016851812896.520.4HIGH
overallODI13441092454.924.3HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where LMM Tahuhu scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: death (T20)MEDIUM sample

    350 runs off 247 balls in 40 T20 matches — strike rate 141.7 vs 128.9 overall, average 15.2 vs 14.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    199 runs off 172 balls in 25 T20 matches — strike rate 115.7 vs 128.9 overall, average 13.3 vs 14.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington (T20)LOW sample

    108 runs off 97 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 111.3 vs 128.9 overall, average 10.8 vs 14.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (T20)LOW sample

    84 runs off 71 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 118.3 vs 128.9 overall, average 12.0 vs 14.1 overall.

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
1.4 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 5 · plays 43% · 6 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

WellingtonT20111089710.8111.39.337.1LOW
Northern DistrictsT208847112.0118.314.149.3LOW
EnglandODI8636010.5105.015.050.0LOW
Central DistrictsT2081085736.0189.526.326.3LOW
AucklandT207595111.8115.713.745.1LOW
EnglandT205574728.5121.314.936.2LOW
AustraliaODI3454145.0109.814.648.8LOW
OtagoT20549329.8153.115.625.0LOW

Bowling

EnglandODI406342145.124.4HIGH
IndiaODI25216173.823.0MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20216217116.019.7MEDIUM
WellingtonT2021625567.142.5MEDIUM
South AfricaODI18815955.131.8MEDIUM
EnglandT2018827898.930.9MEDIUM
AucklandT2016214275.320.3MEDIUM
OtagoT2016112694.714.0MEDIUM
PakistanODI15611254.322.4MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT2014815086.118.8LOW
South AfricaT2013814876.421.1LOW
AustraliaT20132178108.117.8LOW
AustraliaODI11412056.324.0LOW
Sri LankaODI1088654.817.2LOW
West IndiesODI1089345.223.3LOW
Sri LankaT20967564.712.5LOW
BangladeshT20906194.16.8LOW
IndiaT20484245.310.5LOW
West IndiesT204273110.473.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT201613310714.8124.314.037.4LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20427326.884.43.140.6LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT202383119.0122.616.141.9LOW

Bowling

Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20376384196.120.2HIGH
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI16211154.122.2MEDIUM
John Davies Oval, QueenstownODI13811735.139.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI11410945.727.3LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI1146733.522.3LOW
Galle International StadiumODI1088654.817.2LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI967234.524.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT209610336.434.3LOW
University Oval, DunedinT209611337.137.7LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI848756.217.4LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20849136.530.3LOW
Hagley OvalT20788046.220.0LOW
Boland Park, PaarlT20727676.310.9LOW
County Ground, BristolODI603223.216.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterODI604814.848.0LOW
Grace Road, LeicesterODI603753.77.4LOW
Basin ReserveT20605825.829.0LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT20606346.315.8LOW
Kingsmead, DurbanODI544334.814.3LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI543614.036.0LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyODI546317.063.0LOW
Pukekura Park, New PlymouthT20545145.712.8LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20484445.511.0LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT20484045.010.0LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20486327.931.5LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT20487018.870.0LOW
City Oval, PietermaritzburgODI444025.520.0LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20422703.9—LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20425147.312.8LOW
Molyneux Park, AlexandraT20414436.414.7LOW
Hagley OvalODI363816.338.0LOW
Senwes Park, PotchefstroomODI363205.3—LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20364106.8—LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, MackayT20364327.221.5LOW
P Sara Oval, ColomboT20363445.78.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT205857644214.4130.315.238.0HIGH
UnknownODI2420119513.4103.112.345.1MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT2016371742886.419.8HIGH
UnknownODI13441092454.924.3HIGH
United Arab EmiratesT20487018.870.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathT204035024715.2141.716.633.2MEDIUM
middleT202519917213.3115.712.841.9MEDIUM
deathODI1612111815.1102.511.040.7LOW
middleODI10807711.4103.914.351.9LOW
powerplayT205444111.0107.312.253.7LOW

Bowling

powerplayT20870881396.122.6HIGH
middleODI736543184.430.2HIGH
middleT20537564286.320.1HIGH
powerplayODI444357184.819.8HIGH
deathT20278367227.916.7MEDIUM
deathODI16419297.021.3MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT204934426814.3128.415.739.2MEDIUM
PACET203316813412.0125.413.438.1MEDIUM
SPINODI21858510.6100.012.950.6LOW
PACEODI14706411.7109.412.537.5LOW
UNKNOWNT2016815820.3139.713.834.5LOW
UNKNOWNODI10464646.0100.010.945.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.