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M Beardman betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallLIST_A49283.032.13.678.6LOW
overallT201262.033.30.066.7LOW
overallLIST_A277273145.919.5MEDIUM
overallT20270360188.020.0MEDIUM

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Bowling

New South WalesLIST_A909046.022.5LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A604644.611.5LOW
VictoriaLIST_A556026.530.0LOW
Adelaide StrikersT20547768.612.8LOW
Sydney SixersT20547758.615.4LOW
TasmaniaLIST_A425527.927.5LOW
Hobart HurricanesT20426018.660.0LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT20364327.221.5LOW
Sydney ThunderT20364617.746.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bowling

Perth StadiumT20144173117.215.7LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthLIST_A1149474.913.4LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A556026.530.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A425527.927.5LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A364217.042.0LOW
Sydney Showground StadiumT20364617.746.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

Bowling

UnknownLIST_A277273145.919.5MEDIUM
UnknownT20270360188.020.0MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

Bowling

middleLIST_A15014355.728.6MEDIUM
middleT2012616177.723.0LOW
powerplayLIST_A909746.524.3LOW
powerplayT207812029.260.0LOW
deathT20667997.28.8LOW
deathLIST_A373355.46.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.