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M Lollo betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201814518910.476.71.642.9MEDIUM
overallT20844353.18.6LOW

Why we like it

Splits where M Lollo scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: St George's College Ground, Buenos Aires (T20)LOW sample

    61 runs off 67 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 91.0 vs 76.7 overall, average 12.2 vs 10.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    63 runs off 74 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 85.1 vs 76.7 overall, average 15.8 vs 10.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

No split is materially below their own format baseline.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

CanadaT201010612613.384.11.637.3MEDIUM
United States of AmericaT20416335.348.53.066.7LOW
BrazilT20423307.776.70.040.0LOW

Bowling

CanadaT20844353.18.6LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

St Albans Club, Buenos AiresT206639015.870.01.146.7LOW
St George's College Ground, Buenos AiresT206616712.291.01.535.8LOW
Woodley Cricket Field, Los AngelesT20621324.265.63.146.9LOW

Bowling

St George's College Ground, Buenos AiresT20844353.18.6LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201814518910.476.71.642.9MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20844353.18.6LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201262848.973.82.440.5LOW
powerplayT20730577.552.60.059.6LOW
deathT206534817.7110.42.127.1LOW

Bowling

powerplayT20603253.26.4LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT201366918.372.52.245.1LOW
PACET2013637415.885.11.440.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.