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M Mwangi betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201817224814.369.46.056.9MEDIUM
overallT20146112134.68.6LOW

Why we like it

Splits where M Mwangi scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Uganda (T20)LOW sample

    56 runs off 71 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 78.9 vs 69.4 overall, average 18.7 vs 14.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    80 runs off 103 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 77.7 vs 69.4 overall, average 16.0 vs 14.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    86 runs off 144 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 59.7 vs 69.4 overall, average 12.3 vs 14.3 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

UgandaT204567118.778.99.957.7LOW
MalaysiaT201233723.062.25.456.8LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT204567814.071.87.756.4LOW
Kinrara Academy Oval, Kuala LumpurT202244512.053.34.462.2LOW
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT204394239.092.94.840.5LOW
High Performance Oval, WindhoekT202223911.056.45.166.7LOW

Bowling

Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT20483053.86.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201817224814.369.46.056.9MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20146112134.68.6LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayT20168614412.359.75.661.1MEDIUM
middleT209547710.870.16.558.4LOW

Bowling

middleT20662872.54.0LOW
deathT20565746.114.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET20148010316.077.76.854.4LOW
SPINT208558813.862.55.758.0LOW
UNKNOWNT2010375712.364.95.359.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.