M Rathnayake betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 30 | 332 | 419 | 12.8 | 79.2 | 10.5 | 59.7 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where M Rathnayake scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Germany (T20)MEDIUM sample
122 runs off 131 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 93.1 vs 79.2 overall, average 24.4 vs 12.8 overall.
- Venue: Grainville, St Saviour, Jersey (T20)LOW sample
96 runs off 108 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 88.9 vs 79.2 overall, average 24.0 vs 12.8 overall.
- Venue: Bayer Uerdingen Cricket Ground (T20)LOW sample
85 runs off 67 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 126.9 vs 79.2 overall, average 42.5 vs 12.8 overall.
- Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample
101 runs off 108 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 93.5 vs 79.2 overall, average 20.2 vs 12.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Roma Cricket Ground (T20)LOW sample
47 runs off 69 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 68.1 vs 79.2 overall, average 11.8 vs 12.8 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (T20)LOW sample
67 runs off 105 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 63.8 vs 79.2 overall, average 6.7 vs 12.8 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Germany | T20 | 7 | 122 | 131 | 24.4 | 93.1 | 13.7 | 58.8 | MEDIUM |
| Netherlands | T20 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 2.1 | 81.3 | LOW |
| Turkey | T20 | 1 | 51 | 38 | 51.0 | 134.2 | 21.1 | 39.5 | LOW |
| Jersey | T20 | 2 | 24 | 33 | 12.0 | 72.7 | 9.1 | 54.5 | LOW |
| Spain | T20 | 1 | 30 | 33 | 30.0 | 90.9 | 6.1 | 42.4 | LOW |
| Vanuatu | T20 | 2 | 35 | 33 | 35.0 | 106.1 | 15.2 | 51.5 | LOW |
| Ireland | T20 | 2 | 21 | 32 | 10.5 | 65.6 | 9.4 | 68.8 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Grainville, St Saviour, Jersey | T20 | 4 | 96 | 108 | 24.0 | 88.9 | 12.0 | 53.7 | LOW |
| Roma Cricket Ground | T20 | 4 | 47 | 69 | 11.8 | 68.1 | 5.8 | 56.5 | LOW |
| Bayer Uerdingen Cricket Ground | T20 | 3 | 85 | 67 | 42.5 | 126.9 | 19.4 | 49.3 | LOW |
| Hazelaarweg, Rotterdam | T20 | 6 | 25 | 50 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | LOW |
| Gahanga B Ground, Rwanda | T20 | 3 | 41 | 40 | 41.0 | 102.5 | 12.5 | 47.5 | LOW |
| Desert Springs Cricket Ground, Almeria | T20 | 4 | 25 | 38 | 6.3 | 65.8 | 10.5 | 65.8 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 30 | 332 | 419 | 12.8 | 79.2 | 10.5 | 59.7 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| powerplay | T20 | 28 | 221 | 298 | 12.3 | 74.2 | 10.4 | 63.8 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 11 | 101 | 108 | 20.2 | 93.5 | 11.1 | 49.1 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 26 | 186 | 223 | 14.3 | 83.4 | 10.3 | 58.3 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 15 | 67 | 105 | 6.7 | 63.8 | 9.5 | 64.8 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 9 | 79 | 91 | 26.3 | 86.8 | 12.1 | 57.1 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.