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M Valner betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2014391613.924.20.678.9MEDIUM
overallT20353278224.712.6MEDIUM

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

GibraltarT2031390.32.60.094.9LOW
CyprusT203133313.039.40.063.6LOW
DenmarkT2011231—38.73.274.2LOW

Bowling

GibraltarT20726115.161.0LOW
CyprusT20605505.5—LOW
FinlandT20606556.513.0LOW
Czech RepublicT20593683.74.5LOW
BulgariaT20422062.93.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Europa Sports ComplexT2031390.32.60.094.9LOW
Happy Valley GroundT203133313.039.40.063.6LOW
Ekeberg Cricket Ground 2, OsloT2011231—38.73.274.2LOW

Bowling

Estonian National Cricket and Rugby FieldT2013195164.45.9LOW
Europa Sports ComplexT20726115.161.0LOW
Happy Valley GroundT20605505.5—LOW
Kerava National Cricket GroundT20543634.012.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2014391613.924.20.678.9MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20353278224.712.6MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201014712.019.70.081.7LOW
deathT204195119.037.32.068.6LOW
powerplayT2046393.015.40.087.2LOW

Bowling

powerplayT20216174154.811.6MEDIUM
deathT20836854.913.6LOW
middleT20543624.018.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201021984.221.41.080.6LOW
SPINT20712334.036.40.066.7LOW
UNKNOWNT2086303.020.00.086.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.