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M van Lingen betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI371300140140.692.812.854.5HIGH
overallT202244636920.3120.917.943.9HIGH
overallODI746525.332.5LOW

Why we like it

Splits where M van Lingen scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Nepal (ODI)HIGH sample

    331 runs off 351 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 94.3 vs 92.8 overall, average 66.2 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Opposition: United Arab Emirates (ODI)HIGH sample

    322 runs off 306 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 105.2 vs 92.8 overall, average 53.7 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Venue: Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek (ODI)HIGH sample

    334 runs off 317 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 105.4 vs 92.8 overall, average 47.7 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Venue: United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek (ODI)HIGH sample

    344 runs off 312 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 110.3 vs 92.8 overall, average 49.1 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample

    471 runs off 561 balls in 31 ODI matches — strike rate 84.0 vs 92.8 overall, average 58.9 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (T20)MEDIUM sample

    222 runs off 159 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 139.6 vs 120.9 overall, average 27.8 vs 20.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample

    694 runs off 763 balls in 28 ODI matches — strike rate 91.0 vs 92.8 overall, average 31.5 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Oman (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    144 runs off 178 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 80.9 vs 92.8 overall, average 28.8 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Opposition: United States of America (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    136 runs off 152 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 89.5 vs 92.8 overall, average 22.7 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Scotland (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    74 runs off 124 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 59.7 vs 92.8 overall, average 14.8 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Venue: Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    227 runs off 280 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 81.1 vs 92.8 overall, average 32.4 vs 40.6 overall.

  • Venue: Forthill, Dundee (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    131 runs off 190 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 68.9 vs 92.8 overall, average 32.8 vs 40.6 overall.

Current projections

Namibia v Ireland
ODI
24.9 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 86 · plays 42% · 58 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

NepalODI633135166.294.311.749.0HIGH
United Arab EmiratesODI732230653.7105.215.753.6HIGH
OmanODI514417828.880.97.955.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweT20822215927.8139.623.943.4MEDIUM
Papua New GuineaODI416415782.0104.515.349.7MEDIUM
United States of AmericaODI613615222.789.515.160.5MEDIUM
ScotlandODI57412414.859.78.970.2MEDIUM
JerseyODI111092—119.616.344.6LOW
TanzaniaT201303330.090.93.039.4LOW
NepalT202303115.096.812.945.2LOW
NetherlandsT202273013.590.013.353.3LOW

Bowling

NepalODI362914.829.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Wanderers Cricket Ground, WindhoekODI933431747.7105.415.152.7HIGH
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekODI834431249.1110.315.749.0HIGH
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurODI722728032.481.110.458.2MEDIUM
Forthill, DundeeODI413119032.868.910.064.2MEDIUM
Wanderers Cricket Ground, WindhoekT20720815329.7135.920.339.2MEDIUM
Amini Park, Port MoresbyODI312712463.5102.413.745.2MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI2869486.091.512.855.3LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumODI2405420.074.19.353.7LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoT202635331.5118.915.130.2LOW
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekT204624815.5129.225.058.3LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurT203374212.388.111.947.6LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaT202433821.5113.215.850.0LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT203333311.0100.012.151.5LOW
ICC Academy, DubaiODI211305.536.70.073.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI351260134742.093.512.954.6HIGH
UnknownT202244636920.3120.917.943.9HIGH
United Arab EmiratesODI2405420.074.19.353.7LOW

Bowling

UnknownODI736325.231.5LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleODI2869476331.591.010.549.7HIGH
powerplayODI3147156158.984.014.366.1HIGH
powerplayT202234327624.5124.320.746.7MEDIUM
middleT2081039114.7113.29.934.1LOW
deathODI31357767.5175.324.718.2LOW

Bowling

middleODI736515.365.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEODI3463371045.289.213.758.5HIGH
SPINODI2851955134.694.211.351.7HIGH
PACET202228323625.7119.918.645.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI1314814049.3105.714.345.7MEDIUM
SPINT201614111914.1118.516.042.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.