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MA Nyabela betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2019921825.850.51.662.6MEDIUM
overallT20411434206.321.7HIGH

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

MozambiqueT20434528.565.41.957.7LOW
MalawiT20425436.358.14.760.5LOW
ZambiaT201183618.050.00.050.0LOW

Bowling

BotswanaT209611156.922.2LOW
MozambiqueT209611647.329.0LOW
MalawiT20667837.126.0LOW
ZambiaT20481531.95.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, GaboroneT2013621206.251.70.057.5MEDIUM
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT20630625.048.44.872.6LOW

Bowling

Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, GaboroneT20276304146.621.7MEDIUM
Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, GaboroneT2013513065.821.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2019921825.850.51.662.6MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20411434206.321.7HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT2013791427.255.62.159.9MEDIUM
powerplayT20911372.829.70.073.0LOW

Bowling

powerplayT2016518756.837.4MEDIUM
middleT2014411494.812.7LOW
deathT2010213367.822.2LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

UNKNOWNT201240855.747.12.462.4LOW
SPINT201025545.046.31.970.4LOW
PACET201027436.862.80.053.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.