MB Bacon betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 44 | 706 | 1490 | 14.1 | 47.4 | 6.4 | 77.6 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 13 | 51 | 58 | 7.3 | 87.9 | 6.9 | 46.6 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 6864 | 4240 | 128 | 3.7 | 33.1 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 972 | 1422 | 50 | 8.8 | 28.4 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where MB Bacon scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
298 runs off 432 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.0 vs 47.4 overall, average 37.3 vs 14.1 overall.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
200 runs off 290 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 69.0 vs 47.4 overall, average 20.0 vs 14.1 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
124 runs off 220 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.4 vs 47.4 overall, average 15.5 vs 14.1 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
202 runs off 258 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 78.3 vs 47.4 overall, average 14.4 vs 14.1 overall.
- Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
52 runs off 82 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.4 vs 47.4 overall, average 26.0 vs 14.1 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
112 runs off 442 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 25.3 vs 47.4 overall, average 14.0 vs 14.1 overall.
- Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
34 runs off 246 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 13.8 vs 47.4 overall, average 5.7 vs 14.1 overall.
- Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
50 runs off 170 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 29.4 vs 47.4 overall, average 4.2 vs 14.1 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 112 | 442 | 14.0 | 25.3 | 3.2 | 84.6 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 164 | 332 | 11.7 | 49.4 | 7.2 | 77.7 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 200 | 290 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 10.3 | 72.4 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 124 | 220 | 15.5 | 56.4 | 7.3 | 74.5 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 106 | 206 | 10.6 | 51.5 | 5.8 | 72.8 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 2088 | 1298 | 24 | 3.7 | 54.1 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 1470 | 902 | 26 | 3.7 | 34.7 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 1274 | 772 | 48 | 3.6 | 16.1 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 1180 | 760 | 20 | 3.9 | 38.0 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 852 | 508 | 10 | 3.6 | 50.8 | HIGH |
| Central Districts | T20 | 233 | 323 | 11 | 8.3 | 29.4 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 214 | 333 | 9 | 9.3 | 37.0 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 195 | 293 | 11 | 9.0 | 26.6 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland | T20 | 174 | 222 | 11 | 7.7 | 20.2 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 156 | 251 | 8 | 9.7 | 31.4 | MEDIUM |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 298 | 432 | 37.3 | 69.0 | 9.7 | 69.0 | HIGH |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 34 | 246 | 5.7 | 13.8 | 1.6 | 91.1 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 86 | 174 | 21.5 | 49.4 | 9.2 | 81.6 | MEDIUM |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 50 | 170 | 4.2 | 29.4 | 2.4 | 82.4 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 58 | 122 | 14.5 | 47.5 | 6.6 | 78.7 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 114 | 15.5 | 54.4 | 8.8 | 77.2 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 52 | 82 | 26.0 | 63.4 | 9.8 | 73.2 | LOW |
| Queen's Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 18 | 48 | 4.5 | 37.5 | 4.2 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 26 | 42 | — | 61.9 | 0.0 | 57.1 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 16 | 38 | 8.0 | 42.1 | 5.3 | 84.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2098 | 1308 | 48 | 3.7 | 27.3 | HIGH |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 1480 | 934 | 24 | 3.8 | 38.9 | HIGH |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 672 | 370 | 20 | 3.3 | 18.5 | HIGH |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 558 | 372 | 10 | 4.0 | 37.2 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 384 | 180 | 2 | 2.8 | 90.0 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 372 | 206 | 2 | 3.3 | 103.0 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 360 | 188 | 6 | 3.1 | 31.3 | HIGH |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 324 | 224 | 4 | 4.1 | 56.0 | MEDIUM |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 240 | 385 | 8 | 9.6 | 48.1 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 220 | 174 | 6 | 4.7 | 29.0 | MEDIUM |
| Queen's Park, Invercargill | FIRST_CLASS | 192 | 152 | 0 | 4.8 | — | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 120 | 88 | 4 | 4.4 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 118 | 150 | 6 | 7.6 | 25.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 102 | 181 | 4 | 10.6 | 45.3 | LOW |
| Queen's Park | FIRST_CLASS | 84 | 44 | 2 | 3.1 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 75 | 86 | 5 | 6.9 | 17.2 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 72 | 110 | 5 | 9.2 | 22.0 | LOW |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 72 | 98 | 2 | 8.2 | 49.0 | LOW |
| University Oval | T20 | 60 | 103 | 3 | 10.3 | 34.3 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 48 | 57 | 0 | 7.1 | — | LOW |
| Molyneux Park | T20 | 47 | 66 | 4 | 8.4 | 16.5 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 36 | 47 | 2 | 7.8 | 23.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 644 | 1376 | 14.0 | 46.8 | 6.3 | 77.6 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 114 | 15.5 | 54.4 | 8.8 | 77.2 | LOW |
| Unknown | T20 | 13 | 51 | 58 | 7.3 | 87.9 | 6.9 | 46.6 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 6492 | 4034 | 126 | 3.7 | 32.0 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 954 | 1390 | 49 | 8.7 | 28.4 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 372 | 206 | 2 | 3.3 | 103.0 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 38 | 504 | 1232 | 14.0 | 40.9 | 4.9 | 79.1 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 202 | 258 | 14.4 | 78.3 | 14.0 | 70.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 4.9 | 87.2 | 7.7 | 51.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 5374 | 3382 | 98 | 3.8 | 34.5 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 1490 | 858 | 30 | 3.5 | 28.6 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 385 | 540 | 12 | 8.4 | 45.0 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 329 | 549 | 24 | 10.0 | 22.9 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 258 | 333 | 14 | 7.7 | 23.8 | MEDIUM |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 358 | 730 | 17.9 | 49.0 | 7.1 | 78.6 | HIGH |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 314 | 712 | 13.1 | 44.1 | 5.6 | 77.5 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 34 | 48 | 5.7 | 70.8 | 8.3 | 62.5 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.