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ME Bouchier betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallLIST_A30921111832.982.411.256.9HIGH
overallT203977465024.2119.116.038.9HIGH
overallODI1548244937.1107.317.654.6HIGH
overallTEST315424725.762.310.975.3MEDIUM
overallLIST_A13811625.058.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where ME Bouchier scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (T20)HIGH sample

    357 runs off 301 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 118.6 vs 119.1 overall, average 32.5 vs 24.2 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (LIST A)HIGH sample

    422 runs off 494 balls in 26 LIST A matches — strike rate 85.4 vs 82.4 overall, average 60.3 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (LIST A)HIGH sample

    561 runs off 609 balls in 24 LIST A matches — strike rate 92.1 vs 82.4 overall, average 25.5 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (LIST A)HIGH sample

    331 runs off 483 balls in 22 LIST A matches — strike rate 68.5 vs 82.4 overall, average 55.2 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    256 runs off 236 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 108.5 vs 107.3 overall, average 51.2 vs 37.1 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    126 runs off 173 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 72.8 vs 62.3 overall, average 63.0 vs 25.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (LIST A)HIGH sample

    401 runs off 513 balls in 25 LIST A matches — strike rate 78.2 vs 82.4 overall, average 21.1 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Diamonds (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    184 runs off 248 balls in 6 LIST A matches — strike rate 74.2 vs 82.4 overall, average 30.7 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    155 runs off 158 balls in 10 ODI matches — strike rate 98.1 vs 107.3 overall, average 25.8 vs 37.1 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    277 runs off 298 balls in 14 ODI matches — strike rate 93.0 vs 107.3 overall, average 34.6 vs 37.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Central Sparks (LIST A)LOW sample

    83 runs off 104 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 79.8 vs 82.4 overall, average 16.6 vs 32.9 overall.

  • Venue: Lord's, London (LIST A)LOW sample

    48 runs off 73 balls in 1 LIST A match — strike rate 65.8 vs 82.4 overall, average 48.0 vs 32.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New ZealandT201335730132.5118.615.338.2HIGH
Western StormLIST_A522825776.088.710.952.5MEDIUM
Northern DiamondsLIST_A618424830.774.210.964.1MEDIUM
New ZealandODI625623651.2108.517.854.7MEDIUM
South East StarsLIST_A616120926.877.09.154.1MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST112617363.072.813.972.8MEDIUM
SunrisersLIST_A413814634.594.516.456.8MEDIUM
The BlazeLIST_A310612835.382.810.253.9MEDIUM
Central SparksLIST_A58310416.679.812.562.5LOW
South AfricaT2071008316.7120.519.345.8LOW
Sri LankaODI211281112.0138.321.034.6LOW
Sri LankaT204786426.0121.915.634.4LOW
IndiaTEST1255912.542.45.179.7LOW
PakistanODI2515725.589.514.061.4LOW
IndiaT204544918.0110.210.232.7LOW
PakistanT203424414.095.513.645.5LOW
West IndiesT204454115.0109.89.839.0LOW
South AfricaODI2373918.594.917.964.1LOW
AustraliaODI326368.772.213.977.8LOW
ScotlandT2016234—182.435.329.4LOW

Bowling

SunrisersLIST_A543904.3—LOW
Western StormLIST_A424105.9—LOW
Northern DiamondsLIST_A363325.516.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonLIST_A621222542.494.213.853.3MEDIUM
Mangaung Oval, BloemfonteinTEST112617363.072.813.972.8MEDIUM
Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A312315741.078.39.652.9MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterODI110088—113.619.353.4LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A2637631.582.913.260.5LOW
Lord's, LondonLIST_A1487348.065.86.856.2LOW
County Ground, BristolLIST_A2507225.069.411.166.7LOW
Millfield School, StreetLIST_A1717271.098.69.745.8LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT203937246.5129.222.244.4LOW
Sir Paul Getty's Ground, WormsleyLIST_A2587129.081.715.566.2LOW
County Ground, DerbyT204806920.0115.914.540.6LOW
Haslegrave Ground, LoughboroughLIST_A1646864.094.110.348.5LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetODI2846784.0125.423.950.7LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT202836741.5123.919.438.8LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonLIST_A15766—86.412.157.6LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT202976548.5149.223.138.5LOW
Grace Road, LeicesterODI1956495.0148.421.929.7LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonLIST_A2356317.555.66.371.4LOW
County Ground, HoveT203646232.0103.211.345.2LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1255912.542.45.179.7LOW
New Close County Cricket Ground, Newport, Isle-of-WightLIST_A1405240.076.911.557.7LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT206505012.5100.08.030.0LOW
County Ground, HoveLIST_A433498.367.38.261.2LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI2394719.583.012.866.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2014340—107.57.525.0LOW
Kingsmead, DurbanODI1333633.091.716.763.9LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyT202383419.0111.88.823.5LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordODI1343334.0103.018.257.6LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI1313131.0100.016.154.8LOW

Bowling

County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A543904.3—LOW
County Ground, BristolLIST_A424105.9—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownLIST_A30921111832.982.411.256.9HIGH
UnknownT203668157822.7117.815.238.2HIGH
UnknownODI1548244937.1107.317.654.6HIGH
UnknownTEST315424725.762.310.975.3MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesT203937246.5129.222.244.4LOW

Bowling

UnknownLIST_A13811625.058.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleLIST_A2456160925.592.111.849.6HIGH
powerplayLIST_A2233148355.268.510.667.7HIGH
powerplayT202839733924.8117.118.345.7HIGH
powerplayODI1427729834.693.015.161.4MEDIUM
middleT202029524732.8119.413.030.8MEDIUM
middleODI720515141.0135.822.541.1MEDIUM
old_ballTEST211714258.582.416.270.4MEDIUM
new_ballTEST3371059.335.23.881.9LOW
deathT2012826411.7128.115.634.4LOW

Bowling

middleLIST_A1089315.293.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINLIST_A2540151321.178.28.853.6HIGH
PACELIST_A2642249460.385.413.460.9HIGH
SPINT203138234223.9111.712.637.1HIGH
PACET203032925927.4127.019.740.5MEDIUM
PACETEST310318525.855.710.378.9MEDIUM
SPINODI1020717751.8116.918.147.5MEDIUM
PACEODI1015515825.898.116.558.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI1012011440.0105.318.459.6LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A109811149.088.312.654.1LOW
SPINTEST2495649.087.514.362.5LOW
UNKNOWNT2012634915.8128.620.442.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.