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MG Bracewell betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS502352459229.451.26.675.5HIGH
overallT201002087145328.2143.618.332.3HIGH
overallODI2975765437.9115.714.844.5HIGH
overallTEST933959122.657.47.871.4HIGH
overallHUNDRED1059607.498.38.346.7LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS56122940843.135.0HIGH
overallTEST19951198253.647.9HIGH
overallT2015982169908.124.1HIGH
overallODI15241239364.934.4HIGH
overallHUNDRED11516578.623.6LOW

Why we like it

Splits where MG Bracewell scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    824 runs off 1412 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 58.4 vs 51.2 overall, average 58.9 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    468 runs off 1016 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.1 vs 51.2 overall, average 46.8 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    484 runs off 720 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.2 vs 51.2 overall, average 60.5 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    1223 runs off 767 balls in 91 T20 matches — strike rate 159.5 vs 143.6 overall, average 29.8 vs 28.2 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    238 runs off 434 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.8 vs 51.2 overall, average 59.5 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample

    448 runs off 337 balls in 26 ODI matches — strike rate 132.9 vs 115.7 overall, average 40.7 vs 37.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    498 runs off 942 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.9 vs 51.2 overall, average 17.8 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    242 runs off 510 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.5 vs 51.2 overall, average 17.3 vs 29.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    743 runs off 611 balls in 74 T20 matches — strike rate 121.6 vs 143.6 overall, average 25.6 vs 28.2 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)HIGH sample

    297 runs off 307 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 96.7 vs 115.7 overall, average 37.1 vs 37.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample

    1041 runs off 783 balls in 67 T20 matches — strike rate 133.0 vs 143.6 overall, average 33.6 vs 28.2 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample

    412 runs off 420 balls in 19 ODI matches — strike rate 98.1 vs 115.7 overall, average 41.2 vs 37.9 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
ODI
19.7 runs
median 3 · 90th percentile 61 · plays 85% · 30 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS10824141258.958.47.571.7HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS6468101646.846.14.777.0HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS1449894217.852.97.476.6HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1032071222.944.97.078.7HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1024251017.347.55.576.5HIGH
CanterburyT201543429639.5146.617.932.4MEDIUM
EnglandTEST414224520.358.08.673.5MEDIUM
AucklandT201025619742.7129.913.729.4MEDIUM
IndiaODI524317360.8140.520.238.7MEDIUM
PakistanODI917616325.1108.011.746.6MEDIUM
PakistanTEST28213827.359.48.773.2MEDIUM
IrelandODI3190137—138.718.239.4MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT20623513447.0175.424.628.4MEDIUM
OtagoT20718012136.0148.819.031.4MEDIUM
West IndiesTEST17111735.560.77.765.8LOW
Northern DistrictsT20712610218.0123.514.730.4LOW
PakistanT20813710227.4134.317.637.3LOW
Sri LankaTEST1356817.551.54.467.6LOW
Sri LankaT205926523.0141.516.933.8LOW
West IndiesODI3516325.581.09.549.2LOW
Lahore QalandarsT2031136337.7179.428.630.2LOW
Sri LankaODI3475623.583.912.558.9LOW
IndiaT203233211.571.93.143.8LOW
AustraliaODI219309.563.36.756.7LOW

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1934850262.632.7HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1596858223.239.0HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS1438818163.451.1HIGH
EnglandTEST591493105.049.3HIGH
PakistanTEST57031683.339.5HIGH
PakistanODI504362114.332.9HIGH
Sri LankaTEST39019463.032.3HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS376262164.216.4HIGH
West IndiesTEST34214112.5141.0MEDIUM
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS26815243.438.0MEDIUM
IndiaODI21020936.069.7MEDIUM
PakistanT2017421477.430.6MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI16815465.525.7MEDIUM
CanterburyT20162187136.914.4MEDIUM
IrelandODI15011924.859.5MEDIUM
South AfricaODI1209624.848.0LOW
NetherlandsODI1149655.119.2LOW
OtagoT2011414457.628.8LOW
AucklandT2010814958.329.8LOW
West IndiesODI1029705.7—LOW
Sri LankaT2010214848.737.0LOW
ZimbabweTEST1025403.2—LOW
West IndiesT20787755.915.4LOW
Northern DistrictsT207510968.718.2LOW
Lahore QalandarsT20729357.818.6LOW
BangladeshODI602642.66.5LOW
ScotlandODI604334.314.3LOW
Central DistrictsT20608328.341.5LOW
IndiaT20545245.813.0LOW
Islamabad UnitedT20548829.844.0LOW
BangladeshT20485346.613.3LOW
YorkshireT20486738.422.3LOW
NorthamptonshireT204273110.473.0LOW
AustraliaODI363706.2—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS16766175429.543.75.579.1HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS448472060.567.28.666.4HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS1238271827.353.27.275.2HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS213427433.548.95.175.2MEDIUM
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS214827037.054.88.175.6MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS28424221.034.72.581.0MEDIUM
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS219622649.086.713.364.6MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20931620445.1154.920.128.4MEDIUM
Basin ReserveT201427020024.5135.016.033.5MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST210618526.557.36.566.5MEDIUM
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS24614611.531.55.583.6MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiTEST28213827.359.48.773.2MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI3190137—138.718.239.4MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS2381189.532.23.483.1LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20717411529.0151.321.734.8LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST17410337.071.813.671.8LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2051438747.7164.420.729.9LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI114078140.0179.528.233.3LOW
Hagley OvalT203717171.0100.07.029.6LOW
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS230687.544.12.976.5LOW
National Stadium, KarachiODI5606620.090.99.142.4LOW
Pukekura Park, New PlymouthT20114165—216.933.820.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2031066453.0165.623.432.8LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI3516325.581.09.549.2LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT203816181.0132.813.127.9LOW
National Stadium, KarachiT2061126022.4186.728.328.3LOW
Headingley, LeedsTEST1225811.037.95.279.3LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST1325616.057.15.473.2LOW
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS2404620.087.013.060.9LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT207544610.8117.413.037.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI2554355.0127.911.632.6LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI1593959.0151.317.943.6LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI2473523.5134.317.137.1LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI321357.060.02.962.9LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI13432—106.315.640.6LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI219309.563.36.756.7LOW
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, RaipurODI1223022.073.313.363.3LOW
McLean Park, NapierT201413041.0136.716.740.0LOW

Bowling

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS1602834103.183.4HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS1080536123.044.7HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS600340103.434.0HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS57629883.137.3HIGH
National Stadium, KarachiTEST57031683.339.5HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS536314223.514.3HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST49227773.439.6HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST40818522.792.5HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS37221643.554.0HIGH
Colin Maiden ParkFIRST_CLASS36298121.68.2HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS34821223.7106.0MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiODI30019373.927.6MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20228236196.212.4MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT2018924147.760.3MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI18013744.634.3MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST15212234.840.7MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI15011924.859.5MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST1378133.527.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsTEST13416327.381.5LOW
National Stadium, KarachiT2012018269.130.3LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI1148424.442.0LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI11412146.430.3LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI1029705.7—LOW
Basin ReserveT2010213597.915.0LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20102182110.7182.0LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1025403.2—LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI966123.830.5LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS882641.86.5LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumT2078133410.233.3LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterT20729347.823.3LOW
Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, EdinburghODI604334.314.3LOW
McLean Park, NapierODI606016.060.0LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI603643.69.0LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumODI602642.66.5LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20609619.696.0LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI544515.045.0LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI547318.173.0LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonHUNDRED507248.618.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS486608.3—LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20485436.818.0LOW
Harare Sports ClubT20426038.620.0LOW
Multan Cricket StadiumT20425137.317.0LOW
University Oval, DunedinT20426529.332.5LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI363706.2—LOW
Holkar Cricket Stadium, IndoreODI365118.551.0LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI364307.2—LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT20362934.89.7LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20364617.746.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS462164427629.250.66.475.6HIGH
UnknownT20741629107630.2151.420.232.1HIGH
UnknownODI2874664137.3116.415.044.5HIGH
UnknownTEST933959122.657.47.871.4HIGH
New ZealandT202139432424.6121.613.333.0HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS214827037.054.88.175.6MEDIUM
UnknownHUNDRED1059607.498.38.346.7LOW
CanadaFIRST_CLASS2404620.087.013.060.9LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS52402724803.134.0HIGH
UnknownTEST19951198253.647.9HIGH
UnknownODI14641213325.037.9HIGH
UnknownT2013341780708.025.4HIGH
CanadaFIRST_CLASS37221643.554.0HIGH
New ZealandT20144196138.215.1LOW
UnknownHUNDRED11516578.623.6LOW
PakistanT2078133410.233.3LOW
PakistanODI602642.66.5LOW
ZimbabweT20426038.620.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS502234431231.051.86.675.2HIGH
middleT2067104178333.6133.015.531.5HIGH
old_ballTEST932258023.055.57.672.1HIGH
middleODI1941242041.298.112.949.8HIGH
deathT205267840423.4167.820.824.3HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2611828014.842.15.779.3MEDIUM
powerplayT203136826626.3138.322.946.6MEDIUM
deathODI1633821937.6154.319.231.5MEDIUM
deathHUNDRED846467.7100.08.743.5LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS53282804743.237.9HIGH
old_ballTEST18871128233.649.0HIGH
middleODI13081023284.736.5HIGH
middleT2010851418577.824.9HIGH
powerplayT20360506228.423.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS284136102.913.6MEDIUM
deathT20153245119.622.3MEDIUM
deathODI12616027.680.0LOW
new_ballTEST1087023.935.0LOW
middleHUNDRED9012668.421.0LOW
powerplayODI905663.79.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS461402288825.048.56.477.5HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS36712127035.656.16.972.3HIGH
PACET2091122376729.8159.522.933.6HIGH
SPINT207474361125.6121.612.131.3HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS1223843459.554.86.971.4HIGH
PACETEST818734523.454.27.873.0HIGH
PACEODI2644833740.7132.918.742.4HIGH
SPINODI2129730737.196.710.747.2HIGH
SPINTEST914323320.461.48.270.4MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20191217530.3161.321.326.7LOW
PACEHUNDRED8514610.2110.910.943.5LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.