MG Erasmus betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | ODI | 49 | 1800 | 2335 | 40.0 | 77.1 | 7.9 | 55.8 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 85 | 2090 | 1659 | 31.2 | 126.0 | 14.0 | 34.3 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 1481 | 1073 | 47 | 4.3 | 22.8 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 1022 | 1090 | 60 | 6.4 | 18.2 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where MG Erasmus scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Scotland (ODI)HIGH sample
331 runs off 400 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 82.8 vs 77.1 overall, average 55.2 vs 40.0 overall.
- Opposition: Oman (ODI)HIGH sample
304 runs off 387 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 78.6 vs 77.1 overall, average 50.7 vs 40.0 overall.
- Venue: Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek (ODI)HIGH sample
487 runs off 626 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 77.8 vs 77.1 overall, average 48.7 vs 40.0 overall.
- Venue: Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek (T20)HIGH sample
492 runs off 327 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 150.5 vs 126.0 overall, average 44.7 vs 31.2 overall.
- Opposition: United Arab Emirates (ODI)MEDIUM sample
152 runs off 174 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 87.4 vs 77.1 overall, average 25.3 vs 40.0 overall.
- Opposition: Scotland (T20)MEDIUM sample
197 runs off 134 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 147.0 vs 126.0 overall, average 49.3 vs 31.2 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Nepal (ODI)HIGH sample
259 runs off 381 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 68.0 vs 77.1 overall, average 37.0 vs 40.0 overall.
- Opposition: United States of America (ODI)HIGH sample
274 runs off 378 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 72.5 vs 77.1 overall, average 30.4 vs 40.0 overall.
- Venue: United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek (ODI)HIGH sample
259 runs off 378 balls in 7 ODI matches — strike rate 68.5 vs 77.1 overall, average 43.2 vs 40.0 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample
926 runs off 760 balls in 77 T20 matches — strike rate 121.8 vs 126.0 overall, average 22.0 vs 31.2 overall.
- Opposition: Netherlands (ODI)MEDIUM sample
119 runs off 174 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 68.4 vs 77.1 overall, average 29.8 vs 40.0 overall.
- Venue: Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur (ODI)MEDIUM sample
199 runs off 258 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 77.1 vs 77.1 overall, average 24.9 vs 40.0 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Scotland | ODI | 7 | 331 | 400 | 55.2 | 82.8 | 9.8 | 55.3 | HIGH |
| Oman | ODI | 7 | 304 | 387 | 50.7 | 78.6 | 6.5 | 51.7 | HIGH |
| Nepal | ODI | 7 | 259 | 381 | 37.0 | 68.0 | 6.3 | 60.6 | HIGH |
| United States of America | ODI | 9 | 274 | 378 | 30.4 | 72.5 | 7.4 | 58.5 | HIGH |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 17 | 430 | 363 | 35.8 | 118.5 | 12.7 | 33.1 | HIGH |
| Papua New Guinea | ODI | 4 | 201 | 243 | 67.0 | 82.7 | 8.6 | 51.4 | MEDIUM |
| Netherlands | ODI | 4 | 119 | 174 | 29.8 | 68.4 | 9.2 | 66.7 | MEDIUM |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 7 | 152 | 174 | 25.3 | 87.4 | 9.2 | 52.3 | MEDIUM |
| Scotland | T20 | 4 | 197 | 134 | 49.3 | 147.0 | 16.4 | 26.1 | MEDIUM |
| Oman | T20 | 6 | 166 | 133 | 33.2 | 124.8 | 13.5 | 35.3 | MEDIUM |
| Canada | ODI | 3 | 72 | 111 | 18.0 | 64.9 | 4.5 | 52.3 | LOW |
| Uganda | T20 | 4 | 166 | 110 | 166.0 | 150.9 | 19.1 | 31.8 | LOW |
| Dubai Capitals | T20 | 6 | 139 | 102 | 34.8 | 136.3 | 15.7 | 27.5 | LOW |
| Jersey | ODI | 1 | 88 | 87 | — | 101.1 | 11.5 | 46.0 | LOW |
| Nigeria | T20 | 4 | 149 | 81 | 49.7 | 184.0 | 24.7 | 34.6 | LOW |
| Desert Vipers | T20 | 6 | 76 | 79 | 15.2 | 96.2 | 7.6 | 39.2 | LOW |
| MI Emirates | T20 | 6 | 89 | 77 | 14.8 | 115.6 | 14.3 | 41.6 | LOW |
| Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | T20 | 3 | 72 | 76 | 24.0 | 94.7 | 11.8 | 48.7 | LOW |
| South Africa | T20 | 3 | 70 | 64 | 35.0 | 109.4 | 10.9 | 31.3 | LOW |
| United States of America | T20 | 3 | 85 | 62 | 28.3 | 137.1 | 17.7 | 30.6 | LOW |
| Tanzania | T20 | 2 | 76 | 59 | 38.0 | 128.8 | 13.6 | 37.3 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 1 | 36 | 43 | 36.0 | 83.7 | 11.6 | 65.1 | LOW |
| Kenya | T20 | 2 | 61 | 41 | 30.5 | 148.8 | 19.5 | 36.6 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 3 | 53 | 38 | 17.7 | 139.5 | 18.4 | 34.2 | LOW |
| Hong Kong | T20 | 2 | 51 | 35 | 25.5 | 145.7 | 14.3 | 22.9 | LOW |
| Sharjah Warriorz | T20 | 2 | 25 | 30 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 3.3 | 36.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| United States of America | ODI | 294 | 234 | 3 | 4.8 | 78.0 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 270 | 301 | 18 | 6.7 | 16.7 | MEDIUM |
| Nepal | ODI | 208 | 155 | 9 | 4.5 | 17.2 | MEDIUM |
| Netherlands | ODI | 198 | 122 | 8 | 3.7 | 15.3 | MEDIUM |
| Oman | ODI | 185 | 133 | 7 | 4.3 | 19.0 | MEDIUM |
| Papua New Guinea | ODI | 162 | 70 | 5 | 2.6 | 14.0 | MEDIUM |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 156 | 134 | 5 | 5.2 | 26.8 | MEDIUM |
| Canada | ODI | 134 | 72 | 7 | 3.2 | 10.3 | LOW |
| Oman | T20 | 114 | 86 | 10 | 4.5 | 8.6 | LOW |
| Scotland | ODI | 102 | 111 | 2 | 6.5 | 55.5 | LOW |
| United States of America | T20 | 66 | 82 | 6 | 7.5 | 13.7 | LOW |
| Uganda | T20 | 60 | 63 | 5 | 6.3 | 12.6 | LOW |
| MI Emirates | T20 | 48 | 49 | 1 | 6.1 | 49.0 | LOW |
| Scotland | T20 | 48 | 57 | 2 | 7.1 | 28.5 | LOW |
| Jersey | ODI | 42 | 42 | 1 | 6.0 | 42.0 | LOW |
| Canada | T20 | 42 | 52 | 1 | 7.4 | 52.0 | LOW |
| South Africa | T20 | 42 | 47 | 3 | 6.7 | 15.7 | LOW |
| Desert Vipers | T20 | 36 | 37 | 1 | 6.2 | 37.0 | LOW |
| Dubai Capitals | T20 | 36 | 40 | 1 | 6.7 | 40.0 | LOW |
| Kenya | T20 | 36 | 21 | 1 | 3.5 | 21.0 | LOW |
| Nigeria | T20 | 36 | 39 | 0 | 6.5 | — | LOW |
| Tanzania | T20 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 5.2 | 15.5 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek | ODI | 12 | 487 | 626 | 48.7 | 77.8 | 8.8 | 57.0 | HIGH |
| United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek | ODI | 7 | 259 | 378 | 43.2 | 68.5 | 6.6 | 59.3 | HIGH |
| Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 14 | 492 | 327 | 44.7 | 150.5 | 16.8 | 25.1 | HIGH |
| Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur | ODI | 8 | 199 | 258 | 24.9 | 77.1 | 10.1 | 60.9 | MEDIUM |
| Amini Park, Port Moresby | ODI | 4 | 231 | 243 | 57.8 | 95.1 | 9.5 | 46.1 | MEDIUM |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 17 | 250 | 228 | 17.9 | 109.6 | 9.6 | 33.8 | MEDIUM |
| Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 11 | 287 | 220 | 35.9 | 130.5 | 15.9 | 34.1 | MEDIUM |
| Forthill, Dundee | ODI | 4 | 160 | 180 | 40.0 | 88.9 | 11.1 | 53.3 | MEDIUM |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | T20 | 8 | 200 | 176 | 33.3 | 113.6 | 9.7 | 29.5 | MEDIUM |
| ICC Academy, Dubai | ODI | 2 | 131 | 143 | 131.0 | 91.6 | 8.4 | 51.7 | MEDIUM |
| United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 7 | 175 | 137 | 43.8 | 127.7 | 17.5 | 43.1 | MEDIUM |
| Sharjah Cricket Stadium | ODI | 2 | 92 | 124 | 46.0 | 74.2 | 4.8 | 43.5 | MEDIUM |
| Cambusdoon New Ground, Ayr | ODI | 2 | 75 | 119 | 37.5 | 63.0 | 5.0 | 61.3 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | T20 | 5 | 145 | 115 | 36.3 | 126.1 | 13.0 | 34.8 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | T20 | 4 | 152 | 107 | 38.0 | 142.1 | 16.8 | 34.6 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | ODI | 4 | 44 | 103 | 11.0 | 42.7 | 2.9 | 68.9 | LOW |
| Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi | T20 | 4 | 105 | 97 | 26.3 | 108.2 | 15.5 | 47.4 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 3 | 66 | 89 | 22.0 | 74.2 | 4.5 | 53.9 | LOW |
| Titwood, Glasgow | ODI | 1 | 56 | 72 | 56.0 | 77.8 | 5.6 | 51.4 | LOW |
| Sharjah Cricket Stadium | T20 | 4 | 73 | 61 | 36.5 | 119.7 | 14.8 | 37.7 | LOW |
| GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, Victoria | T20 | 3 | 52 | 60 | 17.3 | 86.7 | 3.3 | 35.0 | LOW |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 2 | 73 | 49 | 36.5 | 149.0 | 20.4 | 28.6 | LOW |
| Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua | T20 | 2 | 37 | 46 | 37.0 | 80.4 | 10.9 | 65.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek | ODI | 452 | 300 | 12 | 4.0 | 25.0 | HIGH |
| Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur | ODI | 244 | 166 | 12 | 4.1 | 13.8 | MEDIUM |
| Wanderers Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 216 | 216 | 17 | 6.0 | 12.7 | MEDIUM |
| Amini Park, Port Moresby | ODI | 204 | 108 | 5 | 3.2 | 21.6 | MEDIUM |
| United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek | ODI | 192 | 170 | 5 | 5.3 | 34.0 | MEDIUM |
| Forthill, Dundee | ODI | 151 | 121 | 2 | 4.8 | 60.5 | MEDIUM |
| Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 150 | 187 | 7 | 7.5 | 26.7 | MEDIUM |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | ODI | 136 | 134 | 7 | 5.9 | 19.1 | LOW |
| United Cricket Club Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 126 | 106 | 8 | 5.0 | 13.3 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 120 | 133 | 3 | 6.7 | 44.3 | LOW |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | T20 | 96 | 117 | 5 | 7.3 | 23.4 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | T20 | 90 | 66 | 8 | 4.4 | 8.3 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | T20 | 62 | 67 | 1 | 6.5 | 67.0 | LOW |
| Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, Barbados | T20 | 48 | 49 | 4 | 6.1 | 12.3 | LOW |
| Cambusdoon New Ground, Ayr | ODI | 42 | 31 | 2 | 4.4 | 15.5 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 36 | 23 | 2 | 3.8 | 11.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | ODI | 47 | 1708 | 2211 | 39.7 | 77.3 | 8.1 | 56.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 77 | 1865 | 1491 | 30.6 | 125.1 | 13.8 | 34.1 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 2 | 92 | 124 | 46.0 | 74.2 | 4.8 | 43.5 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 4 | 152 | 107 | 38.0 | 142.1 | 16.8 | 34.6 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 4 | 73 | 61 | 36.5 | 119.7 | 14.8 | 37.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | ODI | 1481 | 1073 | 47 | 4.3 | 22.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 960 | 1023 | 59 | 6.4 | 17.3 | HIGH |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 62 | 67 | 1 | 6.5 | 67.0 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | ODI | 48 | 1439 | 1921 | 38.9 | 74.9 | 7.2 | 55.0 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 70 | 1353 | 1111 | 38.7 | 121.8 | 11.6 | 30.4 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 35 | 490 | 285 | 24.5 | 171.9 | 23.2 | 27.4 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 36 | 247 | 263 | 20.6 | 93.9 | 14.4 | 58.2 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | ODI | 20 | 151 | 255 | 75.5 | 59.2 | 8.6 | 74.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 8 | 210 | 159 | 35.0 | 132.1 | 15.1 | 35.2 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| middle | ODI | 1186 | 783 | 40 | 4.0 | 19.6 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 612 | 635 | 36 | 6.2 | 17.6 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 224 | 285 | 14 | 7.6 | 20.4 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 186 | 170 | 10 | 5.5 | 17.0 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 175 | 189 | 5 | 6.5 | 37.8 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | ODI | 120 | 101 | 2 | 5.0 | 50.5 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | ODI | 48 | 1016 | 1282 | 39.1 | 79.3 | 7.2 | 52.4 | HIGH |
| PACE | ODI | 43 | 631 | 869 | 39.4 | 72.6 | 8.6 | 60.9 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 77 | 926 | 760 | 22.0 | 121.8 | 14.7 | 40.4 | HIGH |
| SPIN | T20 | 69 | 840 | 682 | 38.2 | 123.2 | 11.9 | 28.7 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 32 | 324 | 217 | 108.0 | 149.3 | 18.4 | 30.4 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 17 | 153 | 184 | 51.0 | 83.2 | 9.2 | 55.4 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.