MJ Hay betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 54 | 3418 | 6498 | 46.2 | 52.6 | 5.8 | 71.7 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 40 | 591 | 409 | 18.5 | 144.5 | 15.4 | 27.1 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 5 | 166 | 159 | 41.5 | 104.4 | 11.9 | 47.2 | MEDIUM |
| overall | TEST | 1 | 61 | 93 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 10.8 | 75.3 | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where MJ Hay scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1470 runs off 2582 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.9 vs 52.6 overall, average 66.8 vs 46.2 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
344 runs off 768 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.8 vs 52.6 overall, average 57.3 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
916 runs off 1766 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.9 vs 52.6 overall, average 57.3 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
584 runs off 1172 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.8 vs 52.6 overall, average 58.4 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
510 runs off 1040 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.0 vs 52.6 overall, average 63.8 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
374 runs off 572 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.4 vs 52.6 overall, average 93.5 vs 46.2 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
574 runs off 1220 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.0 vs 52.6 overall, average 35.9 vs 46.2 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
434 runs off 796 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.5 vs 52.6 overall, average 27.1 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: Molyneux Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
76 runs off 152 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 52.6 overall, average 19.0 vs 46.2 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
78 runs off 144 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.2 vs 52.6 overall, average 19.5 vs 46.2 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample
218 runs off 178 balls in 32 T20 matches — strike rate 122.5 vs 144.5 overall, average 12.8 vs 18.5 overall.
- Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample
303 runs off 245 balls in 32 T20 matches — strike rate 123.7 vs 144.5 overall, average 15.9 vs 18.5 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 1470 | 2582 | 66.8 | 56.9 | 6.6 | 69.9 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 574 | 1220 | 35.9 | 47.0 | 4.9 | 73.4 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 596 | 1132 | 42.6 | 52.7 | 5.8 | 72.1 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 434 | 796 | 27.1 | 54.5 | 6.3 | 71.9 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 344 | 768 | 57.3 | 44.8 | 4.4 | 74.0 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 9 | 181 | 122 | 25.9 | 148.4 | 13.9 | 25.4 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | TEST | 1 | 61 | 93 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 10.8 | 75.3 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 3 | 107 | 88 | 53.5 | 121.6 | 15.9 | 45.5 | LOW |
| Wellington | T20 | 8 | 105 | 81 | 17.5 | 129.6 | 13.6 | 32.1 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 2 | 59 | 71 | 29.5 | 83.1 | 7.0 | 49.3 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 6 | 109 | 60 | 18.2 | 181.7 | 26.7 | 31.7 | LOW |
| Otago | T20 | 3 | 55 | 39 | 27.5 | 141.0 | 12.8 | 20.5 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 17.3 | 144.4 | 13.9 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 5 | 52 | 35 | 13.0 | 148.6 | 17.1 | 25.7 | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 3 | 33 | 30 | 16.5 | 110.0 | 10.0 | 33.3 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 916 | 1766 | 57.3 | 51.9 | 4.6 | 70.9 | HIGH |
| Mainpower Oval, Rangiora | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 584 | 1172 | 58.4 | 49.8 | 4.4 | 70.3 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 510 | 1040 | 63.8 | 49.0 | 5.2 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 374 | 572 | 93.5 | 65.4 | 9.1 | 67.5 | HIGH |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 170 | 318 | 85.0 | 53.5 | 6.9 | 71.1 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 144 | 308 | 72.0 | 46.8 | 5.2 | 73.4 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 160 | 280 | 40.0 | 57.1 | 9.3 | 75.7 | MEDIUM |
| Saxton Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 128 | 234 | 64.0 | 54.7 | 6.8 | 69.2 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 14 | 327 | 208 | 29.7 | 157.2 | 17.3 | 25.0 | MEDIUM |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 124 | 204 | — | 60.8 | 5.9 | 67.6 | MEDIUM |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 114 | 180 | 14.3 | 63.3 | 11.1 | 80.0 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 76 | 152 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 9.2 | 80.3 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 78 | 144 | 19.5 | 54.2 | 5.6 | 72.2 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | TEST | 1 | 61 | 93 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 10.8 | 75.3 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 1 | 99 | 78 | — | 126.9 | 17.9 | 47.4 | LOW |
| Pallekele International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 1 | 49 | 62 | 49.0 | 79.0 | 6.5 | 48.4 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 14 | 52 | 7.0 | 26.9 | 3.8 | 88.5 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | T20 | 4 | 53 | 49 | 13.3 | 108.2 | 10.2 | 34.7 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 20 | 34 | 10.0 | 58.8 | 11.8 | 76.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 46 | 2908 | 5458 | 44.1 | 53.3 | 6.0 | 71.5 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 510 | 1040 | 63.8 | 49.0 | 5.2 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 39 | 589 | 406 | 19.0 | 145.1 | 15.5 | 27.1 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 5 | 166 | 159 | 41.5 | 104.4 | 11.9 | 47.2 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | TEST | 1 | 61 | 93 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 10.8 | 75.3 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 54 | 2864 | 5682 | 46.2 | 50.4 | 5.5 | 72.5 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 554 | 816 | 46.2 | 67.9 | 8.1 | 65.7 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 32 | 303 | 245 | 15.9 | 123.7 | 11.0 | 28.2 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 17 | 271 | 148 | 24.6 | 183.1 | 23.0 | 25.0 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 4 | 92 | 114 | 92.0 | 80.7 | 7.0 | 50.0 | LOW |
| old_ball | TEST | 1 | 61 | 93 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 10.8 | 75.3 | LOW |
| death | ODI | 4 | 74 | 45 | 24.7 | 164.4 | 24.4 | 40.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 54 | 2006 | 3644 | 43.6 | 55.0 | 6.6 | 71.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 44 | 1190 | 2258 | 49.6 | 52.7 | 5.0 | 69.4 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 222 | 596 | 55.5 | 37.2 | 4.4 | 78.5 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 30 | 336 | 210 | 24.0 | 160.0 | 18.6 | 26.7 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 32 | 218 | 178 | 12.8 | 122.5 | 10.7 | 29.8 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | ODI | 3 | 100 | 96 | 100.0 | 104.2 | 12.5 | 51.0 | LOW |
| PACE | ODI | 5 | 66 | 63 | 22.0 | 104.8 | 11.1 | 41.3 | LOW |
| PACE | TEST | 1 | 52 | 60 | 52.0 | 86.7 | 15.0 | 70.0 | LOW |
| SPIN | TEST | 1 | 9 | 33 | — | 27.3 | 3.0 | 84.8 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.