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MJ Henry betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS581228144217.185.213.667.8HIGH
overallTEST2246062014.874.212.371.0HIGH
overallT204024418111.1134.813.830.9MEDIUM
overallODI1759795.474.76.357.0LOW
overallHUNDRED5322516.0128.016.032.0LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS1281058483002.719.5HIGH
overallTEST548727961273.122.0HIGH
overallT20209728421388.120.6HIGH
overallODI20011641724.922.8HIGH
overallHUNDRED286408208.620.4MEDIUM
overallLIST_A605635.618.7LOW

Why we like it

Splits where MJ Henry scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    232 runs off 312 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 74.4 vs 85.2 overall, average 38.7 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Lancashire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    138 runs off 152 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 90.8 vs 85.2 overall, average 34.5 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    95 runs off 129 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 73.6 vs 74.2 overall, average 23.8 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    214 runs off 253 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 84.6 vs 74.2 overall, average 23.8 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    196 runs off 184 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 106.5 vs 85.2 overall, average 19.6 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    138 runs off 152 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 90.8 vs 85.2 overall, average 34.5 vs 17.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    144 runs off 232 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.1 vs 85.2 overall, average 14.4 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    78 runs off 182 balls in 9 TEST matches — strike rate 42.9 vs 74.2 overall, average 5.2 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    80 runs off 128 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.5 vs 85.2 overall, average 13.3 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    82 runs off 120 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.3 vs 85.2 overall, average 10.3 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    68 runs off 110 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.8 vs 85.2 overall, average 6.8 vs 17.1 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    20 runs off 66 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.3 vs 85.2 overall, average 10.0 vs 17.1 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
ODI
2.1 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 7 · plays 45% · 10 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1238247823.979.913.472.4HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS1014423214.462.18.673.3MEDIUM
EnglandTEST9781825.242.97.783.0MEDIUM
LancashireFIRST_CLASS413815234.590.811.857.9MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST49512923.873.610.169.8MEDIUM
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS413411222.3119.617.960.7LOW
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS6681106.861.85.570.9LOW
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS414811037.0134.523.656.4LOW
AustraliaTEST310410320.8101.018.464.1LOW
PakistanTEST16881—84.012.360.5LOW
Sri LankaTEST1767876.097.416.764.1LOW
SurreyFIRST_CLASS2405010.080.020.080.0LOW
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS2804640.0173.930.430.4LOW
DurhamFIRST_CLASS24638—121.126.352.6LOW
Northern DistrictsT205553518.3157.120.025.7LOW
EssexFIRST_CLASS26341.517.60.088.2LOW
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS620342.558.811.876.5LOW
WellingtonT206423310.5127.312.133.3LOW

Bowling

Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS28641070682.215.7HIGH
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS26541128542.620.9HIGH
EnglandTEST17991080423.625.7HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1554736442.816.7HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1188548182.830.4HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS840376102.737.6HIGH
LancashireFIRST_CLASS828400262.915.4HIGH
South AfricaTEST828349202.517.4HIGH
AustraliaTEST770415193.221.8HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS648370183.420.6HIGH
Sri LankaTEST618254112.523.1HIGH
PakistanTEST48622032.773.3HIGH
DurhamFIRST_CLASS396222143.415.9HIGH
EssexFIRST_CLASS39620023.0100.0HIGH
PakistanODI388348135.426.8HIGH
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS384156102.415.6HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS38426484.133.0HIGH
NorthamptonshireFIRST_CLASS372218163.513.6HIGH
ZimbabweTEST351146162.59.1MEDIUM
SurreyFIRST_CLASS302160123.213.3MEDIUM
IndiaTEST293153103.115.3MEDIUM
BangladeshODI28821694.524.0MEDIUM
IndiaODI24619474.727.7MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI246119122.99.9MEDIUM
EnglandODI22220465.534.0MEDIUM
WellingtonT20216327179.119.2MEDIUM
West IndiesTEST1987242.218.0MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT20190235127.419.6MEDIUM
IrelandODI17417075.924.3MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT2016817476.224.9MEDIUM
PakistanT20162220118.120.0MEDIUM
AustraliaODI15815065.725.0MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI14410784.513.4LOW
BangladeshTEST14410724.553.5LOW
South AfricaODI13513345.933.3LOW
EssexT20117114155.87.6LOW
EnglandT2011114247.735.5LOW
Sri LankaT2010814277.920.3LOW
SurreyT2095124117.811.3LOW
OtagoT209413078.318.6LOW
South AfricaT208612578.717.9LOW
AucklandT20727626.338.0LOW
HampshireT207210338.634.3LOW
IndiaT2072142411.835.5LOW
Southern BraveHUNDRED615245.113.0LOW
WorcestershireLIST_A605635.618.7LOW
GlamorganT20606256.212.4LOW
KentT20608938.929.7LOW
Birmingham PhoenixHUNDRED55109211.954.5LOW
AustraliaT20547228.036.0LOW
London SpiritHUNDRED506367.610.5LOW
GloucestershireT20485727.128.5LOW
SussexT20487969.913.2LOW
Chennai Super KingsT20425417.754.0LOW
ZimbabweT20426058.612.0LOW
Rajasthan RoyalsT203672012.0—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS423231238.774.412.875.0HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST621425323.884.613.866.4MEDIUM
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS819618419.6106.520.767.4MEDIUM
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS413815234.590.811.857.9MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS613613217.0103.016.763.6MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS48012813.362.56.368.8MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamFIRST_CLASS413411222.3119.617.960.7LOW
National Stadium, KarachiTEST16881—84.012.360.5LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST3667011.094.317.171.4LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS2206610.030.36.187.9LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS2466011.576.710.073.3LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS2464823.095.812.554.2LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST218486.037.54.281.3LOW
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS2804640.0173.930.430.4LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST118469.039.18.787.0LOW
Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS614442.331.84.586.4LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20852398.7133.312.835.9LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS24638—121.126.352.6LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS26341.517.60.088.2LOW
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS420325.062.56.375.0LOW

Bowling

Hagley OvalFIRST_CLASS1624606382.215.9HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST1440706392.918.1HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS1386472302.015.7HIGH
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS1334794383.620.9HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS1212486242.420.3HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST1010527223.124.0HIGH
Edgbaston, BirminghamFIRST_CLASS840376102.737.6HIGH
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS840402162.925.1HIGH
Old Trafford, ManchesterFIRST_CLASS828400262.915.4HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS816378202.818.9HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS57819882.124.8HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS492236102.923.6HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS444190102.619.0HIGH
Queen's ParkFIRST_CLASS436274163.817.1HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS432240123.320.0HIGH
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS39620023.0100.0HIGH
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS396222143.415.9HIGH
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS384156102.415.6HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS372218163.513.6HIGH
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST351146162.59.1MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST32816983.121.1MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20305318206.315.9MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiTEST29412722.663.5MEDIUM
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonT20264361228.216.4MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundTEST26414823.474.0MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST253109112.69.9MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST25219524.697.5MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST22811463.019.0MEDIUM
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruTEST22711783.114.6MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiODI21319195.421.2MEDIUM
Seddon ParkTEST1988712.687.0MEDIUM
Hagley OvalTEST1929312.993.0MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI17417075.924.3MEDIUM
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumODI17016125.780.5MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI16115575.822.1MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI1598993.49.9MEDIUM
Eden Park, AucklandODI15611544.428.8MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST1506442.616.0MEDIUM
Basin ReserveTEST14410724.553.5LOW
Hagley OvalT2014320278.528.9LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT2012613976.619.9LOW
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI1208354.216.6LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffHUNDRED105101105.810.1LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT209614769.224.5LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaODI9212228.061.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT209010486.913.0LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST905113.451.0LOW
Harare Sports ClubT2080113108.511.3LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20728867.314.7LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2072155412.938.8LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamHUNDRED70123210.561.5LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20686485.68.0LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiTEST663623.318.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A605635.618.7LOW
Basin ReserveODI602742.76.8LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI601941.94.8LOW
Hagley OvalODI604814.848.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI602902.9—LOW
Lord's, LondonODI606926.934.5LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiODI605825.829.0LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI604834.816.0LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffODI604504.5—LOW
University OvalODI542612.926.0LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI514034.713.3LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI483113.931.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI484255.38.4LOW
Basin ReserveT20486718.467.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordT20485246.513.0LOW
County Ground, HoveT20487969.913.2LOW
McLean ParkT20486938.623.0LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT204887110.987.0LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT204884010.5—LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT20487118.971.0LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonODI424216.042.0LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT20365809.7—LOW
Seddon ParkT20365429.027.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS521214139818.486.813.967.2HIGH
UnknownTEST2145561314.774.212.271.0HIGH
UnknownT203221715610.8139.115.432.7MEDIUM
UnknownODI1759795.474.76.357.0LOW
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS614442.331.84.586.4LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS1118652422622.820.0HIGH
UnknownTEST495325091233.020.4HIGH
UnknownT20176623761168.120.5HIGH
UnknownODI16571379645.021.5HIGH
New ZealandFIRST_CLASS1624606382.215.9HIGH
New ZealandTEST33620033.666.7MEDIUM
UnknownHUNDRED286408208.620.4MEDIUM
New ZealandT20215299108.329.9MEDIUM
CanadaTEST1988712.687.0MEDIUM
New ZealandODI17410163.516.8MEDIUM
PakistanODI17016125.780.5MEDIUM
ZimbabweT2080113108.511.3LOW
UnknownLIST_A605635.618.7LOW
CanadaT20365429.027.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS541146132217.986.713.666.6HIGH
old_ballTEST2244856715.479.013.169.3HIGH
deathT203620714711.5140.814.328.6MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS128212010.368.313.381.7MEDIUM
new_ballTEST412536.022.63.888.7LOW
deathODI1035425.083.37.152.4LOW
middleODI824376.064.95.462.2LOW
middleT20837349.3108.811.841.2LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS843639781942.820.5HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS437418701062.617.6HIGH
old_ballTEST38482037903.222.6HIGH
new_ballTEST1639759372.820.5HIGH
powerplayT2012591493657.123.0HIGH
powerplayODI1074741294.125.6HIGH
middleODI579481155.032.1HIGH
deathT205028564910.217.5HIGH
deathODI348419287.215.0MEDIUM
middleT20336493248.820.5MEDIUM
powerplayHUNDRED176250138.519.2MEDIUM
middleHUNDRED656135.620.3LOW
deathHUNDRED4597412.924.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS5065278615.583.014.270.2HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS3446050217.791.612.762.9HIGH
PACETEST2128437017.876.813.270.8HIGH
SPINTEST2015320612.874.311.770.4MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS1211615429.075.313.071.4MEDIUM
PACET203216312111.6134.714.029.8MEDIUM
SPINT2015715210.1136.513.534.6LOW
PACEODI1437446.284.16.850.0LOW
UNKNOWNTEST323447.752.36.875.0LOW
SPINODI1022354.462.95.765.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.